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Pearl Jam Tour 2017 Speculation Thread. No Rumors, Just The Odds (source: Tour History)

Go AnimalGo Animal Posts: 4,454
edited February 2017 in The Porch
So, I was combing through the tour history, and with the guys being inducted into the R&R HoF this year, and things in North America being the way they are (Orangey McTinyHands), I'm thinking the guys will either hit the road & test out their new material, or do a quick run with some angry classics & covers in front of the new album.

I complied this list using the Tour History page, and factored-in the number of times a city has been visited, along with the band's initiative to play new places (like Jacksonville, Hampton, VA, etc.)

To simplify, I left out the actual percentage, and just grouped them according to the odds they produced. The last category ("LONG Overdue") is a bit of a hodgepodge, including one-offs, and states never visited. Please feel free to add a city, and/or speculate!

Won't Play
  • Chicago
  • Boston
  • NY (MSG)
  • Tampa
  • Jacksonville
  • Miami
  • Philly
  • New Orleans (arena)
  • Kentucky
  • Nashville
  • Manchester, TN
  • Columbia, SC
  • Greenville, SC
  • Hampton, VA
  • Toronto
  • Ottawa
  • Quebec City

Long Shot
  • Cincinnati
  • St. Louis
  • Austin (arena)
  • Tulsa, OK
  • Lincoln, NE
  • Memphis
  • Detroit
  • Moline, IL
  • Minneapolis, or Woodbury, MN
  • Denver
  • Mountain View, CA

A Good Bet
  • Buffalo
  • Brooklyn (Barclays Center)
  • Manchester, CT
  • Worcester, or Mansfield, MA
  • Newark, or Camden, NJ
  • Pittsburgh
  • Baltimore
  • Virginia Beach, or Richmond, VA
  • Charlotte, or Raleigh* (make-up)
  • Atlanta (Imagine Music Festival?)
  • Voodoo-Fest (New Orleans)
  • Oklahoma City
  • Dallas
  • San Antonio

A REAL Good Bet
  • Seattle (new album)
  • Outside Lands (San Francisco)
  • ACL (Austin)
  • Lollapalooza (Grant Park - Chicago, IL)
  • Phoenix
  • San Diego
  • Los Angeles (Pico Rivera)
  • Oakland
  • Sacramento
  • Portland
  • Spokane
  • Vancouver
  • Saskatoon (or *Winnipeg!)
  • Edmonton
  • Calgary

LONG Overdue
  • The Gorge
  • Red Rocks
  • Hawaii
  • Niagara Falls (both)
  • Augusta, or Portland, ME
  • Saratoga Springs, NY
  • Des Moines
  • Casper, WY
  • Fargo, ND
  • Rapid City, SD
  • Wichita, KS
  • Boise
  • Providence, RI
  • Delaware
  • Mississippi
  • Arkansas
  • Alabama
  • West Virginia
  • Nova Scotia
  • Thunder Bay
  • St. Johns (Canada)
  • Orlando
Keep on rockin' in the free world!
PJ - 09/23/98: West Palm Beach II, 08/12/00: Tampa, 04/12/03: Orlando, 04/13/03: Tampa, 06/12/08: Tampa, 06/27/08: Hartford, 09/22/09: Seattle II, 04/11/16: Tampa, 05/01 & 05/02/16: MSG I & II, 09/18/21: Sea Hear Now, 10/01 & 10/02/21: Ohana Encore I & II, 05/06 & 05/07/22: Los Angeles I & II, 09/11/22: MSG, 09/16/22: Nashville, 09/02/23: St. Paul II, 09/07/23: Chicago II, 09/18 & 09/19/23: Austin I & II, 05/16 & 05/18/24: Las Vegas I & II. Michael Jordan's #!

EV - 08/04 & 08/05/08: (Eddie solo, w/Liam Finn) NYC I & II, 11/27 & 11/28/12: (Eddie solo, w/Glen Hansard) Orlando I & II, 02/09 & 02/10/22: (Eddie & the Earthlings) Chicago I & II, 09/30/23: (Eddie & the Earthlings) Ohana Festival

Song Wishlist: Oceans, Brother, Alone, Let Me Sleep, full W.M.A., Hold On, all of Vitalogy or Satan's Bed, Gremmie Out Of Control, Mankind, Around The Bend (full band), Don't Gimme No Lip, Pilate, Push Me Pull Me, All Those Yesterdays, Rival, Parting Ways (full band), You Are (thank you, Vegas!), Bu$hleaguer, Inside Job (Vegas!), low octave Driftin', Strangest Tribe, Other Side, Undone, Of The Earth, Love Reign O'er Me, Comfortably Numb, and the Mamasan Trilogy.

Wanted Posters: WPB '98, Tampa/WPB '00, Tampa '03, EV Batmobile '08        ISO: any picks, or setlists from any of my shows!
Post edited by Go Animal on
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Comments

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    Missing 4th largest city in the US, which has two, major intl airports, great food, great weather, arena and 2nd largest outdoor amphitheater in US. Haven't played here since 2003....
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    Go AnimalGo Animal Posts: 4,454
    Houston. That's fair. I think they'd play where the Rockets play. Although, if they hit Texas, they've got to do at least 3 towns to make it fair (or hit a profit). Maybe!
    PJ - 09/23/98: West Palm Beach II, 08/12/00: Tampa, 04/12/03: Orlando, 04/13/03: Tampa, 06/12/08: Tampa, 06/27/08: Hartford, 09/22/09: Seattle II, 04/11/16: Tampa, 05/01 & 05/02/16: MSG I & II, 09/18/21: Sea Hear Now, 10/01 & 10/02/21: Ohana Encore I & II, 05/06 & 05/07/22: Los Angeles I & II, 09/11/22: MSG, 09/16/22: Nashville, 09/02/23: St. Paul II, 09/07/23: Chicago II, 09/18 & 09/19/23: Austin I & II, 05/16 & 05/18/24: Las Vegas I & II. Michael Jordan's #!

    EV - 08/04 & 08/05/08: (Eddie solo, w/Liam Finn) NYC I & II, 11/27 & 11/28/12: (Eddie solo, w/Glen Hansard) Orlando I & II, 02/09 & 02/10/22: (Eddie & the Earthlings) Chicago I & II, 09/30/23: (Eddie & the Earthlings) Ohana Festival

    Song Wishlist: Oceans, Brother, Alone, Let Me Sleep, full W.M.A., Hold On, all of Vitalogy or Satan's Bed, Gremmie Out Of Control, Mankind, Around The Bend (full band), Don't Gimme No Lip, Pilate, Push Me Pull Me, All Those Yesterdays, Rival, Parting Ways (full band), You Are (thank you, Vegas!), Bu$hleaguer, Inside Job (Vegas!), low octave Driftin', Strangest Tribe, Other Side, Undone, Of The Earth, Love Reign O'er Me, Comfortably Numb, and the Mamasan Trilogy.

    Wanted Posters: WPB '98, Tampa/WPB '00, Tampa '03, EV Batmobile '08        ISO: any picks, or setlists from any of my shows!
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    bootlegger10bootlegger10 Posts: 15,622
    Go Animal said:

    Houston. That's fair. I think they'd play where the Rockets play. Although, if they hit Texas, they've got to do at least 3 towns to make it fair (or hit a profit). Maybe!

    Oh, they would profit in Texas.
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    CopperTomCopperTom Posts: 2,990
    Brooklyn is a borough in New York City. You have cities in the same market under different "odds." Poor job.
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    RyanRyan Posts: 1,039
    CopperTom said:

    Brooklyn is a borough in New York City. You have cities in the same market under different "odds." Poor job.

    Same for Chicago/Lollapalooza. And why Saskatoon and not Winnipeg? Winnipeg gets way more shows than Saskatoon does. Obviously this was just an excercise to kill time.

    Still no legit rumours for this year.
    2003 - June 15 Fargo
    2005 - Sept 1 George, Sept 8 Winnipeg
    2006 - May 9/10 Toronto, June 26/27 St. Paul, July 22/23 George, Oct 21/22 Mountain View
    2007 - Aug 2/5 Chicago
    2008 - June 22 Washington, June 24/25 New York
    2009 - Aug 21 Toronto, Aug 23/24 Chicago, Sept 21/22 Seattle, Oct 27/28/30/31 Philadelphia
    2010 - May 15 Hartford, May 17 Boston, Oct 23/24 Mountain View
    2011 - Sept 3/4 Alpine Valley, Sept 11/12 Toronto, Sept 17 Winnipeg, Sept 19 Saskatoon
    2012 - Sept 30 Missoula
    2013 - July 16 London, July 19 Chicago, Oct 12 Buffalo, Dec 2 Calgary, Dec 4 Vancouver, Dec 6 Seattle
    2014 - Oct 16 Detroit, Oct 19 St. Paul, Oct 20 Milwaukee
    2015 - Sept 23 (Colbert)/Sept 26, New York
    2016 - Apr 28/29 Philadelphia, May 10/12 Toronto, Aug 20/22 Chicago
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    Weston1283Weston1283 Fredericksburg, VA Posts: 4,656
    edited February 2017
    Cleveland, Columbus, Indianapolis, Kansas City, Nashville, Atlanta have to be in the REAL good bet category
    Houston has to be at the top of the long overdue category
    Hampton, VA is basically Virginia beach, no shot of a show there in my opinion
    And Philadelphia should always be in the "a good bet" category... You can never count out Philly shows
    Post edited by Weston1283 on
    2010: Cleveland
    2012: Atlanta
    2013: London ONT / Wrigley Field / Pittsburgh / Buffalo / San Diego / Los Angeles I / Los Angeles II
    2014: Cincinnati / St. Louis / Tulsa / Lincoln / Detroit / Denver
    2015: New York City
    2016: Ft. Lauderdale / Miami / Jacksonville / Greenville / Hampton / Columbia / Lexington / Philly II / New York City II / Toronto II / Bonnaroo / Telluride / Fenway I / Wrigley I / Wrigley - II / TOTD - Philadelphia, San Francisco
    2017: Ohana Fest (EV)
    2018: Amsterdam I / Amsterdam II / Seattle I / Seattle II / Boston I / Boston II
    2021: Asbury Park / Ohana Encore 1 / Ohana Encore 2
    2022: Phoenix / LA I / LA II / Quebec City / Ottawa / New York City / Camden / Nashville / St. Louis / Denver
    2023: St. Paul II
    2024: Las Vegas I / Las Vegas II / New York City I / New York City II / Philly I / Philly II / Baltimore
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    my2handsmy2hands Posts: 17,117
    Considering they have played Newark and Baltimore once in their 25+ year career I would say they are far from a "Good Bet"
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    Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 7,026
    I don't get how Chicago is a "won't play" but Lollapalooza is a good bet.
    personally I hope they never play Lolla again. I don't know why any fan would want them to play a fest at all.
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    7 years since Cleveland this May.
    10-26-91 Cleveland
    4-2-92
    7-29-92
    5-4-95 Hovercraft / Cleveland
    8-26-98
    4-25-03
    5-20-06
    8-21-08 E.V. Chicago
    10-31-09 Philadelphia
    5-09-10 Cleveland
    5-10-10 Buffalo
    6-26-11 E.V. Detroit
    10-11-13 Pittsburgh
    10-12-13 Buffalo
    10-29-13 Charlottesville
    4-18-16 Hampton
    8-22-16 Chicago

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    TooMutsTooMuts Posts: 19
    edited February 2017
    Winnipeg should fall in real good bet, and the fact you left it out but included Saskatoon is insulting
    Post edited by TooMuts on
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    SpartanacusSpartanacus Oviedo, FL Posts: 825
    Not sure they'll be playing Houston or any Texas cities after today's news about the transgender bathroom ruling possibility (the NFL basically said if a law passed like that they wouldn't have any more Superbowls there). My vote is for San Diego. :)
    19 Pearl Jam shows and still searching for Deep!
    1998 (2) - East Lansing & Auburn Hills; 2000 (2) - Tampa & Noblesville; 2003 (2) - Lexington & Noblesville; 2006 (1) - Cincinnati; 2007 (1) - Chicago (Lollapalooza); 2008 (Ed in Milwaukee); 2009 (1) - Chicago; 2010 (1) - Noblesville; 2013 (3) - San Diego & Los Angeles I & II; 2016 (Temple of the Dog in Los Angeles); 2017 (Ed at Ohana in Dana Point);
    2021 (3) - Dana Point I, II & III; 2022 (3) - San Diego & Los Angeles I & II; 2025 - Southern U.S. Tour Please!
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    vedpunkvedpunk Posts: 853
    edited February 2017
    Can you imagine if Pearl Jam toured like Def Leppard, a band that is 10 years older than them? Seriously, look at their last three years of touring. I'm not even a real fan of the band but they put PJ to shame. Touring just isn't in their blood any more.
    Post edited by vedpunk on
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    oomm053oomm053 Posts: 7
    edited February 2017
    How about Hartford? Preferably the XL center (indoors). It has been 3 1/2 years. They seem to have confused the location with Manchester, Conn.
    Post edited by oomm053 on
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    Woodbury! LOL. Hell they can play at East Ridge high school, a little closer to my house. ;)
    Target Center - Jun 30, 1998
    Allstate Arena - Oct 09, 2000
    Xcel Energy Center - Jun 16, 2003
    United Center - Jun 18, 2003
    Fort William Garden - Sep 09, 2005
    Xcel Energy Center - Jun 27, 2006
    United Center - Aug 23, 2009
    Xcel Energy Center - Oct 19, 2014
    Xcel Energy Center - August 31, 2023
    Xcel Energy Center - September 2, 2023
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    Torontos a for sure wont play? I dont know about that
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    jessebasijessebasi Toronto Posts: 149

    Torontos a for sure wont play? I dont know about that

    They were here last year.
    2016 - Toronto I (Binaural!), Toronto II
    2020 - Toronto, Hamilton
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    KC138045KC138045 Columbus, OH Posts: 2,715

    Cleveland, Columbus, Indianapolis, Kansas City, Nashville, Atlanta have to be in the REAL good bet category
    Houston has to be at the top of the long overdue category
    Hampton, VA is basically Virginia beach, no shot of a show there in my opinion
    And Philadelphia should always be in the "a good bet" category... You can never count out Philly shows

    Totally agree.
    Columbus-2000
    Columbus-2003
    Cincinnati-2006
    Columbus-2010
    Wrigley-2013
    Cincinnati-2014
    Lexington-2016
    Wrigley 1 & 2-2018
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    Weston1283Weston1283 Fredericksburg, VA Posts: 4,656
    KC138045 said:

    Cleveland, Columbus, Indianapolis, Kansas City, Nashville, Atlanta have to be in the REAL good bet category
    Houston has to be at the top of the long overdue category
    Hampton, VA is basically Virginia beach, no shot of a show there in my opinion
    And Philadelphia should always be in the "a good bet" category... You can never count out Philly shows

    Totally agree.
    I truly think the best US tour, whenever it may be, will be VERY similar to the 2013 tour.

    Instead of starting in Pittsburgh and going northeast and then west coast, they will start in Cleveland and go south/Midwest and then west coast.
    2010: Cleveland
    2012: Atlanta
    2013: London ONT / Wrigley Field / Pittsburgh / Buffalo / San Diego / Los Angeles I / Los Angeles II
    2014: Cincinnati / St. Louis / Tulsa / Lincoln / Detroit / Denver
    2015: New York City
    2016: Ft. Lauderdale / Miami / Jacksonville / Greenville / Hampton / Columbia / Lexington / Philly II / New York City II / Toronto II / Bonnaroo / Telluride / Fenway I / Wrigley I / Wrigley - II / TOTD - Philadelphia, San Francisco
    2017: Ohana Fest (EV)
    2018: Amsterdam I / Amsterdam II / Seattle I / Seattle II / Boston I / Boston II
    2021: Asbury Park / Ohana Encore 1 / Ohana Encore 2
    2022: Phoenix / LA I / LA II / Quebec City / Ottawa / New York City / Camden / Nashville / St. Louis / Denver
    2023: St. Paul II
    2024: Las Vegas I / Las Vegas II / New York City I / New York City II / Philly I / Philly II / Baltimore
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    coco buttercoco butter Posts: 1,438
    They haven't played Madison, Wisconsin since 1991. A perfect city for the band. They would sell out in minutes.
    Do you know what it's like to fall in the mud and get kicked... in the head... with an iron boot? Of course you don't, no one does. It never happens. Sorry, Ted, that's a dumb question... skip that.
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    Let us not forget the amazing place found in northwest Ohio... Holy Toledo
    Pittsburgh 2013
    Cincinnati 2014
    Greenville 2016
    (Raleigh 2016)
    Columbia 2016
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    alphawolfalphawolf DelMarVa/Big Sky Posts: 646
    Washington D.C.
    1996 - Columbia Maryland, Hartford

    1998 - DC RFK Stadium, Virginia Beach, Columbia Maryland, DC Constitution Hall
    2000 - Virginia Beach, Camden I+II, Columbia Maryland

    2002 - Seattle Key Arena I+II

    2003 - Raleigh, Charlotte, State College, Bristow, Camden II

    2004 - Asheville

    2006 - Boston II, Camden I+II, DC

    2008 - Virginia Beach, Camden I+II, DC

    2009 - Philadelphia I, II, III, IV

    2010 - Bristow

    2013 - Philadelphia II, Baltimore, Charlottesville, Charlotte

    2022 - Camden

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    ZodZod Posts: 10,378
    edited February 2017
    I'm not sure that Vancouver is a real good shot, because they played Pemberton last year. Playing Pemberton is to Vancouver, what playing the Gorge is to Seattle. In fact Pemberton is closer to Vancouver than the Gorge is to Seattle.

    On the other hand if they're touring the West Coast there's only so many places to play.
    Post edited by Zod on
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    mwplummwplum Posts: 1,528

    They haven't played Madison, Wisconsin since 1991. A perfect city for the band. They would sell out in minutes.

    Yeah but they played the two PJ20 shows in East Troy in 2011, and Milwaukee in 2014, all within an hour's drive from Madison. Don't get me wrong, I love that area and would love to come back, but there are probably some more under serviced markets.
    1992-07-21 Vancouver
    1993-9-4 Vancouver
    1996-9-16 Seattle
    1998-7-19 Vancouver, 7-21 Seattle, Memorial Stadium
    2000-11-6 Seattle
    2001-10-22 Seattle
    2002 -12-09 Seattle
    2009-8-17 Manchester, 9-25 Vancouver
    2011-6-16 Seattle (EV), 9-3/4 PJ20, 9-25 Vancouver
    2012-6-27 Amsterdam (#2!)
    2013-11-29 Portland, 12-4 Vancouver, 12-6 Seattle
    2014-AUS - 1-26 Sydney, 1-31 Adelaide, 2-11/12 EV Sydney State Theatre, 2-13 EV Opera House
    2014 - USA - Memphis, Detroit, MOLINE, St. Paul, MILWAUKEE, Denver, 25/26 Bridge School
    2016 - Lexington, Philly x 2, MSG x 2, Quebec City, Ottawa, Toronto x 2, Pemberton, Fenway x 2, Wrigley x 2
    2018 - Seattle x 2, Missoula, Fenway x 2
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    madtowndavemadtowndave Minneapolis, MN Posts: 4,012

    They haven't played Madison, Wisconsin since 1991. A perfect city for the band. They would sell out in minutes.

    YES!!!!
    Nashville-00
    Nashville-03
    Chicago-07
    E.V. Milwaukee-08
    Chicago 1 & 2-09
    Alpine Valley 1 & 2-11
    Wrigley-13
    St. Paul-14
    Milwaukee-14
    Denver-22
    St. Paul 1 & 2 - 23
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    dimitrispearljamdimitrispearljam NINUNINOPRO Posts: 139,458
    there are 7 billion more people on this planet
    "...Dimitri...He talks to me...'.."The Ghost of Greece..".
    "..That's One Happy Fuckin Ghost.."
    “..That came up on the Pillow Case...This is for the Greek, With Our Apologies.....”
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    tylermooretylermoore St. Joseph, MI Posts: 903
    If they play Chicago this year it'll be Lolla probably. Easy gig for them, Ed can catch a Cubs game or 2 if they're in town.
    However, I don't see it happening this year.
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    evenflow82evenflow82 Posts: 3,862
    Woodbury, MN 2017 or bust!
    I've got a fever, and the only prescription is more cowbell.
    -Christopher Walken

    you're=you are
    your=showing ownership

    The truth has a well known liberal bias.
    -Stephen Colbert
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    JojoRiceJojoRice Kennesaw, GA Posts: 4,083
    Atlanta please
    "I got memories, I got shit"

    ISO 2016 Greenville shirt. Size medium. PM me if you have one for sale/trade.
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    JojoRice said:

    Atlanta please

    I don't see any possibility of that since its so close to Greenville. And I have a hunch that the only reason they played Gville is because Atlanta places were booked when they would have needed
    Pittsburgh 2013
    Cincinnati 2014
    Greenville 2016
    (Raleigh 2016)
    Columbia 2016
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    Weston1283Weston1283 Fredericksburg, VA Posts: 4,656

    JojoRice said:

    Atlanta please

    I don't see any possibility of that since its so close to Greenville. And I have a hunch that the only reason they played Gville is because Atlanta places were booked when they would have needed
    Atlanta and Nashville were 100% scheduled for the 2016 tour. Bonnaroo was a last minute addition, scratching the two shows due to the radius clause. These were then replaced with Hampton and Greenville.
    2010: Cleveland
    2012: Atlanta
    2013: London ONT / Wrigley Field / Pittsburgh / Buffalo / San Diego / Los Angeles I / Los Angeles II
    2014: Cincinnati / St. Louis / Tulsa / Lincoln / Detroit / Denver
    2015: New York City
    2016: Ft. Lauderdale / Miami / Jacksonville / Greenville / Hampton / Columbia / Lexington / Philly II / New York City II / Toronto II / Bonnaroo / Telluride / Fenway I / Wrigley I / Wrigley - II / TOTD - Philadelphia, San Francisco
    2017: Ohana Fest (EV)
    2018: Amsterdam I / Amsterdam II / Seattle I / Seattle II / Boston I / Boston II
    2021: Asbury Park / Ohana Encore 1 / Ohana Encore 2
    2022: Phoenix / LA I / LA II / Quebec City / Ottawa / New York City / Camden / Nashville / St. Louis / Denver
    2023: St. Paul II
    2024: Las Vegas I / Las Vegas II / New York City I / New York City II / Philly I / Philly II / Baltimore
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