Is the Death of the CD Looming?

Newch91Newch91 Posts: 17,560
edited July 2010 in Other Music
Great read. Would love to hear what all of you think.

http://www.cnn.com/2010/SHOWBIZ/Music/0 ... tml?hpt=C1

Is the death of the CD looming?
By Lisa Respers France, CNN
July 20, 2010 4:40 p.m. EDT

(CNN) -- If you think the musical compact disc is dying or dead, you're probably younger than it is.

"Show me a teenager buying a Susan Boyle album on CD and I'll show you someone buying a gift for their grandparent -- for Christmas," jokes Billboard senior chart manager and analyst Keith Caulfield. "There is definitely an age component to the consumption of music."

As the music industry as a whole struggles in a down economy and direct download business models like iTunes flourish, the compact disc -- which was commercially introduced in 1982 -- has the appearance of going the way of vinyl.

And contrary to the recent declaration of singer Prince -- who said that the Internet is dead and released his latest CD for free via European newspapers -- there's some evidence that consumers aren't as enamored with ripping the cellophane off that new CD as they once were.

According to data from Nielsen SoundScan, in 2007 CDs accounted for 90 percent of album sales in the United States, with digital accounting for the other 10 percent. Just two years later, that number had shifted to 79 percent CDs and 20 percent digital, with the remaining percentage point being made up of vinyl and other media.

Billboard's Caulfield said that so far this year, about 44 million digital albums have been sold, compared with 40 million during the same time frame last year. But while digital sales have increased slightly, CD sales have dropped from 147 million last year to 114 million this year for the same time period.

Caulfield stops short of speculating on a date when CDs might be phased out, but he does see similarities with the history of other media.

"Vinyl was the predominant configuration from the '50s and the '60s all the way up through the early '80s, and then cassettes became the predominant format from the early-mid '80s to the very early '90s," he said. "Then CDs became the predominant format and cassettes really didn't go away until a few years ago. It's kind of a natural progression, to a degree."

That's not to say that some artists aren't still selling well. Country group Lady Antebellum has so far racked up 2.4 million in album sales -- both CD and digital -- making them the top-selling act so far for 2010. In second place is teen phenom Justin Bieber, with 1.4 million.

"When an artist like a Drake or Eminem sells a bunch of albums, that shows that there are a lot of people that really want to spend money and give money to the artist that they are really, truly a fan of," Caulfield said. "The younger an artist skews in terms of who they appeal to, you'll see a larger share of their album sales tilt towards digital."

One obvious benefit of digital downloads is their ability to scratch an immediate itch. Caulfield observes shows like Fox's "Glee" make songs almost instant hits because "they have already heard and liked the song by the time they download it." Paul Grein, who writes the "Chart Watch" column for Yahoo.com, agrees, seeing hope for the music business in the success of "Glee" and "American Idol," which have helped spike downloads.

Despite the CD's decline, Grein believes the format will be around for the foreseeable future.

"I think it's becoming less of a mass-market item and kind of a niche product that caters to a small but loyal following," he said. "But there are enough cases where we are seeing albums that are selling in big numbers that I think they will be around for a while." Younger-skewing artists, such as singer-rapper Ke$ha, enjoy a larger slice of the digital pie than older-skewing artists such as James Taylor, he says.

Indeed, the format isn't the point, he said. In 100 years, recorded music has gone from cylinders to shellac 78s to vinyl LPs to cassettes, CDs and now digital downloads. Through it all, listeners still crave tunes.

"Music is definitely still in fashion," he said. "It's all around us."
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Comments

  • Newch91Newch91 Posts: 17,560
    I hate digital. There's nothing to hold and stare at the artwork.
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  • Empty GlassEmpty Glass In Rob's shed Posts: 12,329
    Newch91 wrote:
    I hate digital. There's nothing to hold and stare at the artwork.

    agreed. Don't buy what you can't touch.
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  • Yellow LedbellyYellow Ledbelly Posts: 3,749
    edited July 2010
    Newch91 wrote:
    I hate digital. There's nothing to hold and stare at the artwork.
    Same here. Downloading an album feels so empty...there's no joy or excitement in it. It just is.

    But, yes, I fear the cd will eventually go away. I'll be an old man paying hundreds and hundreds of dollars for a damn cd player just folks do for a record player nowadays I guess. I don't need no stinkin' ipod
    Post edited by Yellow Ledbelly on
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  • theserialthrillatheserialthrilla Posts: 15,760
    also agree but vinyl on a up...radio statons are not getting promo cdd anymore its all digital..but i hate paying for 10011110101111011101110111011110111110101101011
  • Newch91 wrote:
    I hate digital. There's nothing to hold and stare at the artwork.

    agreed. Don't buy what you can't touch.

    agreed again. i'd also like to screw this direct deposit buisness and get a hard check again, makes getting paid more exciting.
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  • dcfaithfuldcfaithful Posts: 13,076
    Newch91 wrote:
    I hate digital. There's nothing to hold and stare at the artwork.

    Well put. There is something about having that physical album that just satisfies me. Digital is always, always, always my last resort.

    I don't care if CD's or my vinyls take up too much room. I cherish them. I love them deeply and they all mean something to me. I generally can remember each purchase and I'll never get sick of the excitment of buying a new record/CD and (in the case of a CD) rushign to the car and through the cellophane to just get it in the player as if I'm fiending for sound.

    Digital might be the way of the future, but music is such a precious thing to people that physical media of it I don't think will ever vanish. Just look at vinyl, which has increased in popularity significantly within just the last 5 years when everyone was saying vinyl records will die and be no more.
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  • Newch91Newch91 Posts: 17,560
    dcfaithful wrote:
    Newch91 wrote:
    I hate digital. There's nothing to hold and stare at the artwork.

    Well put. There is something about having that physical album that just satisfies me. Digital is always, always, always my last resort.

    I don't care if CD's or my vinyls take up too much room. I cherish them. I love them deeply and they all mean something to me. I generally can remember each purchase and I'll never get sick of the excitment of buying a new record/CD and (in the case of a CD) rushign to the car and through the cellophane to just get it in the player as if I'm fiending for sound.

    Digital might be the way of the future, but music is such a precious thing to people that physical media of it I don't think will ever vanish. Just look at vinyl, which has increased in popularity significantly within just the last 5 years when everyone was saying vinyl records will die and be no more.

    I agree. It's an album like Hendrix's "Axis: Bold As Love", with its artwork, that makes me love the physical album 1000x more than digital.

    There's also nothing like waiting in line the day of an album release, waiting to get into the store hours and minutes before the store opens, just to get the album.

    I remember I skipped most of my school day in high school my freshman year when Pearl Jam's self-titled album came out. I waited outside the mall, waiting to go to FYE the minute it opened, just to get the album because that was the first Pearl Jam album I was getting out on its release date. I went home, listened twice, then went to school since I had a baseball game later on for school.
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    "Becoming a Bruce fan is like hitting puberty as a musical fan. It's inevitable." - dcfaithful
  • weekapaug19weekapaug19 Posts: 2,293
    When a ipod or hard drives crash on people and they lose all their digital music they bought, maybe they will stop buying digital music and buy a physical cd.
  • spencer958spencer958 Louisville, KY Posts: 279
    I still buy CD's but just recently bought my first MP3 player. I hate to admit it, but CD's are going away slowly. Just look at CD sales. Eminem was #1 a couple of weeks ago at around 260,000. I can remember when a #1 album sold in the millions.
  • mookeywrenchmookeywrench Posts: 5,953
    If you buy vinyl that comes with an Mp3 download....does that count as a digital download purchase?
    350x700px-LL-d2f49cb4_vinyl-needle-scu-e1356666258495.jpeg
  • mookeywrenchmookeywrench Posts: 5,953
    When a ipod or hard drives crash on people and they lose all their digital music they bought, maybe they will stop buying digital music and buy a physical cd.

    or Re-download their music illegally then back it up onto multiple hardrives
    350x700px-LL-d2f49cb4_vinyl-needle-scu-e1356666258495.jpeg
  • Johnny AbruzzoJohnny Abruzzo Philly Posts: 11,938
    When a ipod or hard drives crash on people and they lose all their digital music they bought, maybe they will stop buying digital music and buy a physical cd.

    When I buy an MP3 album, the first thing I do is burn it to a CD and print out the "artwork." I usually only buy digital if it's a good bit cheaper, or if you get nice bonus songs. For example, I bought Into the Wild in digital for the 3 extra songs (and I'm getting it in vinyl soon - yeah!!!). Anything from any of my favorites has to be on CD though.

    That said, I take the record with digital download if available, such as Them Crooked Vultures & the new Arcade Fire. I count this as a physical music purchase; I have the artwork and after I burn it I have the CD, in addition to having the most superior format for listening.
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  • BeeGirl86BeeGirl86 Pittsburgh Posts: 172
    I really really really really LOVE my CDs. I will buy them forever...end of story.
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  • mookeywrenchmookeywrench Posts: 5,953
    Sorry for being a post-whore but random thoughts keep on coming.

    The CD will never be phased out completely. It gives a tangible aspect for those who hate downloads. Artwork and sound quality would have been an issue years ago but the size capabilities of mp3 players is phasing out those issues.

    And a CD is much more dependable, reliable, and maitenance free, compared to vinyl. CD's are the perfect alternative to those who want something tangible and reliable.

    Cassettes didn't work because they were equally fussy as vinyl, didn't last as long, and the artwork was too small. Minidiscs didn't work because they weren't different enough from CD's. But the compact disc will always be around just as vinyl has lasted through the years.

    The only way I can see CD's going extinct is when downloading music of ANY album becomes instantaneous (less than the time it takes to open up a CD and put it into a player). Copyright laws will have to change so that music downloaded online can be owned as many times as one wants from a host company. The download quality will have to be superior, and artwork will have to be all inclusive when wanted to be viewed. And the computer/ download will have to be linked to a stereo system. And all of this will have to occur within 3 clicks of a mouse or remote.

    Basically the whole downloading, storage, and playing process will have to be perfectly fluid and as natural as the physical process. This isn't impossible and right now technology is in the primitive stages of making this happen. Right now the biggest hurdle is the copyright issue, the next is the instantaneous speed, the third is the simple linking to a sound system.

    Until then, viva la CD.
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  • 420Rick420Rick Posts: 68
    So, to the members of the TenClub, just wondering, do you download the Digital version of PJ Bootlegs or do you order the CD?

    I buy and download the FLACs and convert to M4a for my iPod and I can burn my own CD's for my car or whatever.

    I used to buy Vinyls, Cassettes and CD's, almost to the point of an addiction. I still have a great collection taking up a lot of room in my house. But I cant really play them. I would need to buy a new turntable and who uses cassettes anymore? I feel I have a lot of money invested in media that I cant really use anymore.

    I still continue to buy CD's from artists I really like and who I want to support. For example, Pearl Jam, TOOL, and Eminem to name a few. For my wife it's Bon Jovi and the Foo Fighters.
    The reason I purchased other random CD's of other artists in the last couple of years, is because I got something more for my money, for example Ozzfest tickets with the purchase of Ozzy's CD, CD's that included a free DVD of the band, or whatever. These little extras made me feel like I got a deal. I think record companies should do more like that.

    I love having the physical CD with the artwork, etc. But, I feel that out of my $14 only $1 from that CD sale goes to the band that wrote the material. The rest goes to all the middle men, promoters, distributers, advertisers, agents, record companies, etc. I think that sucks. I hate spending that kind of of money and knowing the band hardly made any money from it.

    I go to a lot of concerts and buy posters/shirts. I feel the band makes more money from the fans that way.
    I don't know if I am right in assuming that.

    I think another reason why the CD sales are dying is because people prefer to download only what they want to hear. Pay only for the 1 or 2 songs from a CD you want instead of paying 5 or 7 times as much for a whole CD of songs you dont like and may not listen to.
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  • JaneNYJaneNY Posts: 4,438
    I have come to the point where I prefer digital. I don't like clutter, and I *listen*, not look, at music. Even if I buy a CD, it gets ripped to the hard drive and the ipod almost immediately. I buy CDs of some artists who are my favorites, like Pearl Jam, and I try to buy them from the indie store, but for a casual interest I'm probably going straight to digital.
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  • matabelematabele Posts: 277
    Digital is for me, being a contractor and moving around so much is a nightmare with a couple of hundred Cd's.
  • youngsteryoungster Boston Posts: 6,576
    I get the convenience of digital, being able to carry around hundreds of albums in your pocket. But for me there is something more to a CD. I grew up in a vinyl household where all my mom and dad's albums were LP's. Never saw a CD until about 1990 and didn't own a CD player until 1992. I couldn't of cared less about vinyl at that point, CD's were it for me. I have about 500 CD's now and will continue to buy them for as long as they are available.
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  • Newch91Newch91 Posts: 17,560
    I love the iPod where we can carry hundreds, even thousands, of albums in our pocket. It's one of the best inventions EVER.
    Shows: 6.27.08 Hartford, CT/5.15.10 Hartford, CT/6.18.2011 Hartford, CT (EV Solo)/10.19.13 Brooklyn/10.25.13 Hartford
    "Becoming a Bruce fan is like hitting puberty as a musical fan. It's inevitable." - dcfaithful
  • Newch91 wrote:
    I love the iPod where we can carry hundreds, even thousands, of albums in our pocket. It's one of the best inventions EVER.


    I love my iPod too but all my music that gets on my iPod always comes from a CD. My iPod is mainly used for trips in the car. Shuffle is one of the greatest things for a drive. If I'm at home I will always throw CDs or vinyl on first.

    I don't think CD's will go away for a long time if at all
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  • keeponrockinkeeponrockin Posts: 7,446
    I do 90% of my listening on an iPod... Still, I buy everything on CD...

    Besides, you can't get an mp3 signed.
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  • Newch91Newch91 Posts: 17,560
    Newch91 wrote:
    I love the iPod where we can carry hundreds, even thousands, of albums in our pocket. It's one of the best inventions EVER.


    I love my iPod too but all my music that gets on my iPod always comes from a CD. My iPod is mainly used for trips in the car. Shuffle is one of the greatest things for a drive. If I'm at home I will always throw CDs or vinyl on first.

    I don't think CD's will go away for a long time if at all

    Same here. All of the music comes from CD, unless I have a crazy amount PJ boots and those come from pearljambootlegs.org.
    Shows: 6.27.08 Hartford, CT/5.15.10 Hartford, CT/6.18.2011 Hartford, CT (EV Solo)/10.19.13 Brooklyn/10.25.13 Hartford
    "Becoming a Bruce fan is like hitting puberty as a musical fan. It's inevitable." - dcfaithful
  • normnorm Posts: 31,146
    The problem with asking people here is that by and large the people here are huge music lovers...go to the Justin bieber board and ask the question and you'll get get 'whats a CD?' ;)

    Physical forms of music will become niche products like vinyl is now...which is fine by me as long as I can still buy a CD and/or vinyl
  • Newch91Newch91 Posts: 17,560
    norm wrote:
    The problem with asking people here is that by and large the people here are huge music lovers...go to the Justin bieber board and ask the question and you'll get get 'whats a CD?' ;)

    I think I'll do that.
    Shows: 6.27.08 Hartford, CT/5.15.10 Hartford, CT/6.18.2011 Hartford, CT (EV Solo)/10.19.13 Brooklyn/10.25.13 Hartford
    "Becoming a Bruce fan is like hitting puberty as a musical fan. It's inevitable." - dcfaithful
  • normnorm Posts: 31,146
    Newch91 wrote:
    norm wrote:
    The problem with asking people here is that by and large the people here are huge music lovers...go to the Justin bieber board and ask the question and you'll get get 'whats a CD?' ;)

    I think I'll do that.

    :lol: let us know the results! ;)
  • Newch91Newch91 Posts: 17,560
    norm wrote:
    Newch91 wrote:
    norm wrote:
    The problem with asking people here is that by and large the people here are huge music lovers...go to the Justin bieber board and ask the question and you'll get get 'whats a CD?' ;)

    I think I'll do that.

    :lol: let us know the results! ;)

    Oh boy. I have to have an account. I can't believe I'm actually going to do this.
    Shows: 6.27.08 Hartford, CT/5.15.10 Hartford, CT/6.18.2011 Hartford, CT (EV Solo)/10.19.13 Brooklyn/10.25.13 Hartford
    "Becoming a Bruce fan is like hitting puberty as a musical fan. It's inevitable." - dcfaithful
  • normnorm Posts: 31,146
    Newch91 wrote:
    norm wrote:
    Newch91 wrote:

    I think I'll do that.

    :lol: let us know the results! ;)

    Oh boy. I have to have an account. I can't believe I'm actually going to do this.

    :shock: :lol::lol:
  • Newch91Newch91 Posts: 17,560
    norm wrote:
    Newch91 wrote:
    norm wrote:
    :lol: let us know the results! ;)

    Oh boy. I have to have an account. I can't believe I'm actually going to do this.

    :shock: :lol::lol:

    This is all your fault for mentioning it.
    Shows: 6.27.08 Hartford, CT/5.15.10 Hartford, CT/6.18.2011 Hartford, CT (EV Solo)/10.19.13 Brooklyn/10.25.13 Hartford
    "Becoming a Bruce fan is like hitting puberty as a musical fan. It's inevitable." - dcfaithful
  • JaneNYJaneNY Posts: 4,438
    ^^^^ lulz re going to the Bieber website.

    One other thing about digital is the immediacy of it. I had to go out of town rather unexpectedly recently, and I'd been meaning to go get the new Eminem CD, but I didn't have time, and I really wanted it for my drive, so I just downloaded it off Amazon, slapped it on the ipod and there you go. Life is simpler.

    And on a related topic, even if you don't have a Kindle, getting a digital book can be pretty cool too - if you have an iphone or ipod touch, you can put a free Kindle app on it and get reading material on very short notice.

    So I guess in summary I like the quick and easy access to so much more material with digital availability of media.
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