North American Tour Odds

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  • FactoryMan93
    FactoryMan93 Posts: 723
    bootlegger10 said:
    Noload said:
    Are there multiple drawings for each show until they run out of tickets?  Do they start with NYC and pull everyone that had NYC as a 1st show choice, and then onto those that had NYC as a 2nd show choice and so on, or is it one big pool of everyone that put in for NYC in one drawing?  Has to be the former correct or the show priority really wouldn't matter?  This is the kind of thing that would have been useful to take deep dive into on the Faithful Forum, other than "hey, what shows plan to attend on the tour".
    Yeah, they are going to go show by show.  From the 16th - 19th.  Not sure if they will send by show or once all of your picks are done.
    So requested Toronto and Hamilton. Will I find out my results tomorrow?
  • jonsey30
    jonsey30 Rochester Hills, MI Posts: 1,005
    Good to be platinum at Sheraton hotels.  Booked a King bed room for Hamilton when I thought my wife was going.  Now a buddy is going so I wanted to switch to 2 queens.  They are already booked up, so they upgraded me to a deluxe corner king room on the club floor.  Other dude gets the sofa bed
    7/19/13 - Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
    10/11/13 - Pittsburgh, PA
    10/12/13 - Buffalo, NY
    10/16/2014 - Detroit, MI
    5/10/2016 - Toronto, ON
    3/24/2020 - Hamilton, ON
    9/7/2023 - Chicago, IL

  • PeterED
    PeterED Posts: 375
    josevolution said:
    For lower member numbers the reserved seating option is the way to go as far as I see it , GA is for folks who wanna line up and wait ..
    Any idea what is considered a lower number in 2020?
    Barrie, Ontario (August 05, 1992); Toronto, Ontario (August 18, 1993); Toronto, Ontario (October 05, 2000); Buffalo, New York (May 02, 2003); Toronto, Ontario (May 09, 2006); Toronto, Ontario (May 10, 2006); Toronto, Ontario (August 21, 2009); Buffalo, New York (May 10, 2010); Toronto, Ontario (September 11, 2011); Toronto, Ontario (September 12, 2011); Toronto 1 (May 10, 2016); Toronto 2 (May 12, 2016); Ottawa (September 3, 2022); Hamilton (September 6, 2022); Toronto (September 8, 2022)
  • Dissident67
    Dissident67 Posts: 570
    Really can't believe MSG is holding at 66%, figured it would be under 50/50. That's high enough that I'm going to be really annoyed if I don't hit 
    "Change don't come at once, it's a wave, building before it breaks"
  • jdizzle8291
    jdizzle8291 Erie, PA Posts: 456
    PeterED said:
    josevolution said:
    For lower member numbers the reserved seating option is the way to go as far as I see it , GA is for folks who wanna line up and wait ..
    Any idea what is considered a lower number in 2020?
    650,000
    2016: Toronto I, Chicago I + II
    2018: Seattle I + II, Chicago I + II
    2020: Toronto, Ottawa, Quebec, Hamilton, Nashville, St. Louis, Krakow, Budapest, Zurich
  • jdopj
    jdopj Posts: 771
    josevolution said:
    Both of my choices I put in for reserved only with a low number it makes more sense ...
    Me too
  • jdopj
    jdopj Posts: 771
    MD190661 said:
    OK. I'm focused on Oakland. I put in for 2 shows and let's say all seats are reserved. I am going to get tickets to both shows no matter what order I put them in. If I assume most people put Saturday as their first choice and I put Sunday first, wouldn't I get higher priority for better seats over anyone who put Saturday as their first choice? Even if my member number is higher? If there is 100% odds of getting both shows, then what is the point of even prioritizing the date if everyone with a lower member number gets better seats than me no matter what their priority show was?
    All reserved seats are determined by seniority
  • FactoryMan93
    FactoryMan93 Posts: 723
    I requested the following...

    Toronto - GA
    Toronto - RESERVED
    Hamilton - GA 
    Hamilton - RESERVED

    With the current odds, should my GA requests be granted?
  • smak
    smak Posts: 241
    It seems to me that if a show is at 50% GA, it includes people that put best available.  Which means the people who put best available, that don't get GA, will flow into the reserved section, maybe meaning the reserve % is a bit too high.

  • lfitzpatrick9
    lfitzpatrick9 NJ Posts: 396
    Dissident67 said:
    Really can't believe MSG is holding at 66%, figured it would be under 50/50. That's high enough that I'm going to be really annoyed if I don't hit 
    It is at 66% for now.  It should update within the next hour and then it will update once more probably since the lottery ends at 2:59am EST.  But if its at 50% or higher thats way better than what it was in 2016 when they had two nights.  You would think it would the complete opposite since its only one show.
  • Noload
    Noload Monticello, Georgia Posts: 1,634
    jdizzle8291 said:
    PeterED said:
    josevolution said:
    For lower member numbers the reserved seating option is the way to go as far as I see it , GA is for folks who wanna line up and wait ..
    Any idea what is considered a lower number in 2020?
    650,000
    Had a friend that just joined Friday and got 705xxx.
    www.twitter.com/robert_harbin
  • Noload
    Noload Monticello, Georgia Posts: 1,634
    Noload said:
    jdizzle8291 said:
    PeterED said:
    josevolution said:
    For lower member numbers the reserved seating option is the way to go as far as I see it , GA is for folks who wanna line up and wait ..
    Any idea what is considered a lower number in 2020?
    650,000
    Had a friend that just joined Friday and got 705xxx.
    I would consider sub 200k lower at this point
    www.twitter.com/robert_harbin
  • MickeyMouse
    MickeyMouse Posts: 1,057
    josevolution said:
    For lower member numbers the reserved seating option is the way to go as far as I see it , GA is for folks who wanna line up and wait ..
    I personally love GA for any concert so I can hang in the middle back, just behind everyone and have enough space to enjoy the show, move/jump around and not be elbow-to-elbow with people like if I’m in seats. 
    Uniondale, NY 04/30/03 - Camden, NJ 07/05/03 - MSG 07/08/03 - Reading, PA 10/01/04 - Philly 10/03/05 - Ed Sullivan Theatre 05/04/06 - MSG 06/25/08 - MSG 05/21/10 - NYC (EV solo) 06/21/11 - Montreal 09/07/11 - Brooklyn 10/18/13 - Central Park 09/26/15 - Philly 04/29/16 - MSG 05/01/16 - MSG 05/02/16 - Fenway 08/05/16 - Fenway 09/02/18 - Fenway 09/04/18 
  • Lerxst1992
    Lerxst1992 Posts: 7,891
    Lerxst1992 said:
    Mozzy said:
    Mozzy said:
    Odds updating now (8:10am PST)

    Baltimore: 16/74
    MSG: 11/66
    Nashville: 28/99
    StL: 25/99
    OKC: 77/99
    DEN: 27/99
    PHX: 44/99
    SD: 42/99
    LA1: 35/99
    LA2: 32/99
    OAK1: 37/99
    OAK2: 47/99
    So overnight changes in odds: 

    Baltimore: 19 to 16 / 85 to 74
    MSG: 13 to 11 / 74 to 66
    Nashville: 28 to 24 / 99
    STL: 28 to 25 / 99
    OKC: 92 to 77 / 99
    Denver: 32 to 27 /99
    PHX: 51 to 44 / 99
    SD: 49 to 42 / 99
    LA1: 37 to 35 / 99
    LA2: 39 to 32 / 99
    OAK1: 43 to 37 / 99
    OAK2: 55 to 47 /99

    Bump

    Bump. Awaiting the evening update 
  • jcmitchell28
    jcmitchell28 Fort Worth Posts: 217
    My thinking for wanting a seat but putting in Best Available is that my main goal is to be in the building. I would rather have two shots at that then putting in Reserved Seating and not getting anything. That happened to me for the Copenhagen show and I had to scramble for gen pop tickets. 
  • jethrojam420
    jethrojam420 Foxborough MA Posts: 1,075

    8/29/00*5/2/03*7/2/03*7/3/03*7/11/03*9/28/04*5/24/06*6/28/08*5/15/10*5/17/10* 10/16/13*10/25/13* 4/28/16*4/28/16*8/5/16*8/7/16 EV 6/15/11 Brad 10/27/02
  • mattsavard
    mattsavard Posts: 526
    edited January 2020
    Hoping for GA at Both Ottawa and Quebec City. Both are at 99% for Reserved so getting tickets is not a risk. It's all about GA. 

    Currently have: 
    1) Ottawa 64% of GA
    2) Quebec City 88% of GA

    My thoughts are this gives me the best odds of GA with a slim shot of Zero GA. 
    Or do I switch priority and all but guarantee GA at one show, but run slim odds of getting both. 

    What's everyone else thinking? What time (EST) are the odds updating? 
    Memphis '94 / Charlotte '96 / Birmingham '98 / Knoxville '98 / Memphis '00 / Nashville '00 / Nashville '03 / St. Louis '04 / Nashville Ryman N1 '09 (EV solo) / Nashville Ryman N2 '09 (EV solo) / Memphis '09 (EV solo) / New Orleans Jazzfest '10 / St Louis '10 / Memphis '12 (EV solo) / Memphis '14 / Boston Fenway N1 '16 / Boston Fenway N2 '16 / Chicago Wrigley N1 '18 / Chicago Wrigley N2 '18 /  Ottawa '22 / Quebec City '22 / Nashville '22 / St Louis '22

    Strong 2nd Amendment supporter and advocate targeted methods of reducing gun violence, sans-infringement. 
  • Sarava
    Sarava Naperville, IL Posts: 2,061
    Really is amazing that with hours left, only 2 shows in the North America tour are less than 99% for reserved. I love how Pearl Jam is looking out for their fans like this.
  • mcgruff10
    mcgruff10 New Jersey Posts: 29,118
    Sarava said:
    Really is amazing that with hours left, only 2 shows in the North America tour are less than 99% for reserved. I love how Pearl Jam is looking out for their fans like this.
    Agreed.  This is awesome.  
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
  • drando
    drando Posts: 73
    I put in for Best Available for NYC,  just for this reason.  I knew it would drop.  The Nashville show I stuck with reserved.

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