Romney now leading or tied in OHIO polls!

24

Comments

  • brianlux
    brianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 43,846
    vant0037 wrote:
    realclearpolitics.com, which is a poll-gathering site that is generally moderate to moderate-conservative, has Obama ahead in Ohio 48.6 to 46.7.

    I have no desire to get into the argument here, but I am curious as to where OP got his/her info.
    A quick review of various polls shows results all over the place. Poll-gathering sites like the one you mention seem to indicate Obama has a slight lead in Ohio. Fox show Romney in the lead. Of course I'm SURE there are no biases in any of these polls. :fp:
    "It's a sad and beautiful world"
    -Roberto Benigni

  • vant0037
    vant0037 Posts: 6,170
    brianlux wrote:
    vant0037 wrote:
    realclearpolitics.com, which is a poll-gathering site that is generally moderate to moderate-conservative, has Obama ahead in Ohio 48.6 to 46.7.

    I have no desire to get into the argument here, but I am curious as to where OP got his/her info.
    A quick review of various polls shows results all over the place. Poll-gathering sites like the one you mention seem to indicate Obama has a slight lead in Ohio. Fox show Romney in the lead. Of course I'm SURE there are no biases in any of these polls. :fp:

    Oh I completely agree. I think polls have their place, but they should be taken with a grain of salt. I was just pointing out that if a moderate to moderate-conservative site like realclearpolitics.com has Obama with a slight lead in Ohio (I should note that the site gathers polls from several places - NPR, Rasmussen, dailies etc), what poll is OP getting his numbers from? In looking over several Ohio polls, I can't find one that indicates he has a lead.
    1998-06-30 Minneapolis
    2003-06-16 St. Paul
    2006-06-26 St. Paul
    2007-08-05 Chicago
    2009-08-23 Chicago
    2009-08-28 San Francisco
    2010-05-01 NOLA (Jazz Fest)
    2011-07-02 EV Minneapolis
    2011-09-03 PJ20
    2011-09-04 PJ20
    2011-09-17 Winnipeg
    2012-06-26 Amsterdam
    2012-06-27 Amsterdam
    2013-07-19 Wrigley
    2013-11-21 San Diego
    2013-11-23 Los Angeles
    2013-11-24 Los Angeles
    2014-07-08 Leeds, UK
    2014-07-11 Milton Keynes, UK
    2014-10-09 Lincoln
    2014-10-19 St. Paul
    2014-10-20 Milwaukee
    2016-08-20 Wrigley 1
    2016-08-22 Wrigley 2
    2018-06-18 London 1
    2018-08-18 Wrigley 1
    2018-08-20 Wrigley 2
    2022-09-16 Nashville
    2023-08-31 St. Paul
    2023-09-02 St. Paul
    2023-09-05 Chicago 1
    2024-08-31 Wrigley 2
    2024-09-15 Fenway 1
    2024-09-27 Ohana 1
    2024-09-29 Ohana 2
    2025-05-03 NOLA (Jazz Fest)
  • Cliffy6745
    Cliffy6745 Posts: 34,075
    Nate Silver has Obama with a 73.3% chance of taking Ohio, which not surprisingly, is essentially the exact percentage he has him winning the election.
  • dignin
    dignin Posts: 9,478
    vant0037 wrote:
    brianlux wrote:
    vant0037 wrote:
    realclearpolitics.com, which is a poll-gathering site that is generally moderate to moderate-conservative, has Obama ahead in Ohio 48.6 to 46.7.

    I have no desire to get into the argument here, but I am curious as to where OP got his/her info.
    A quick review of various polls shows results all over the place. Poll-gathering sites like the one you mention seem to indicate Obama has a slight lead in Ohio. Fox show Romney in the lead. Of course I'm SURE there are no biases in any of these polls. :fp:

    Oh I completely agree. I think polls have their place, but they should be taken with a grain of salt. I was just pointing out that if a moderate to moderate-conservative site like realclearpolitics.com has Obama with a slight lead in Ohio (I should note that the site gathers polls from several places - NPR, Rasmussen, dailies etc), what poll is OP getting his numbers from? In looking over several Ohio polls, I can't find one that indicates he has a lead.


    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/10 ... p=trending
  • vant0037
    vant0037 Posts: 6,170
    dignin wrote:
    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/10/29/poll-gives-romney-edge-in-ohio-as-battleground-contest-tightens/?intcmp=trending

    Here's why I missed that: this Rasmussen poll was factored into the composite polling that realclearpolitics.com does, and is why that poll shows Obama with a lead.

    This latest Rasmussen poll that the FOX news story refers to is one of 10 polls for Ohio (all updated this week) and the only one to list Romney with a lead. Selective reporting I guess.
    1998-06-30 Minneapolis
    2003-06-16 St. Paul
    2006-06-26 St. Paul
    2007-08-05 Chicago
    2009-08-23 Chicago
    2009-08-28 San Francisco
    2010-05-01 NOLA (Jazz Fest)
    2011-07-02 EV Minneapolis
    2011-09-03 PJ20
    2011-09-04 PJ20
    2011-09-17 Winnipeg
    2012-06-26 Amsterdam
    2012-06-27 Amsterdam
    2013-07-19 Wrigley
    2013-11-21 San Diego
    2013-11-23 Los Angeles
    2013-11-24 Los Angeles
    2014-07-08 Leeds, UK
    2014-07-11 Milton Keynes, UK
    2014-10-09 Lincoln
    2014-10-19 St. Paul
    2014-10-20 Milwaukee
    2016-08-20 Wrigley 1
    2016-08-22 Wrigley 2
    2018-06-18 London 1
    2018-08-18 Wrigley 1
    2018-08-20 Wrigley 2
    2022-09-16 Nashville
    2023-08-31 St. Paul
    2023-09-02 St. Paul
    2023-09-05 Chicago 1
    2024-08-31 Wrigley 2
    2024-09-15 Fenway 1
    2024-09-27 Ohana 1
    2024-09-29 Ohana 2
    2025-05-03 NOLA (Jazz Fest)
  • dignin
    dignin Posts: 9,478
    vant0037 wrote:
    dignin wrote:
    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/10/29/poll-gives-romney-edge-in-ohio-as-battleground-contest-tightens/?intcmp=trending

    Here's why I missed that: this Rasmussen poll was factored into the composite polling that realclearpolitics.com does, and is why that poll shows Obama with a lead.

    This latest Rasmussen poll that the FOX news story refers to is one of 10 polls for Ohio (all updated this week) and the only one to list Romney with a lead. Selective reporting I guess.

    Try reading through the FOX "News" sight. I just did, as far as I can tell its all selective reporting. But I can only guess this is the poll OP is referring to....they will not state as much. Probably because they know how much stock people here take in anything that comes from that sensationalist "news" sight.

    I prefer http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ myself......mostly because (showing my bias here) it tells me what I want to here.
  • ComeToTX
    ComeToTX Austin Posts: 8,113
    Cliffy6745 wrote:
    Nate Silver has Obama with a 73.3% chance of taking Ohio, which not surprisingly, is essentially the exact percentage he has him winning the election.

    Saw him on maher last week. Made me feel a little better.
    This show, another show, a show here and a show there.
  • Cliffy6745
    Cliffy6745 Posts: 34,075
    ComeToTX wrote:
    Cliffy6745 wrote:
    Nate Silver has Obama with a 73.3% chance of taking Ohio, which not surprisingly, is essentially the exact percentage he has him winning the election.

    Saw him on maher last week. Made me feel a little better.

    Such a nerd, but so damn smart. His model is pretty accurate and I'll take the chances he has Obama at right now.
  • Prince Of Dorkness
    Prince Of Dorkness Posts: 3,763
    edited October 2012
    fear4freedom wrote:
    So Romney has a bunch of billionaires and Obama has a bunch of poor people donating? However the total number of people are about 50/50 for each side?? Yet they both have about 1 billion dollars total in this venture! Hmmmm something dont add up! Maybe the truth is that there are just as many rich people for Obama and just as many poor people for Romney! How about that bud?


    You failed at math.

    And your basic grasp of community politics.

    Although more people donated to President Obama (and not "a bunch of poor people," either... I donated and I don't call myself "poor"), the individual donations to Mitt Romney are higher in number, on average. But it shows that more people who support president Obama are willing to donate to him... and fewer of Mitt Romney's supporters have donated to HIM.

    And don't call me "bud." I'm not your bud.
    Post edited by Prince Of Dorkness on
    I can't drive without Pearl Jam
  • usamamasan1
    usamamasan1 Posts: 4,695
    Obama bought the last election. this time around, Romney earns it!

    WOOT!
  • fear4freedom
    fear4freedom Posts: 920
    edited October 2012
    Truth....there are just as many rich people for Obama as Romeny: There are just as many poor people for Romney as Obama......and the middle class....is now for Romney! They both got 1 billion dollars...so its time for liberals and Obama to quit saying that Romney gets all the millionaires money....cause its the same on both sides
    Theres no time like the present

    A man that stands for nothing....will fall for anything!

    All people need to do more on every level!
  • JOEJOEJOE
    JOEJOEJOE Posts: 10,865
    They need to use the BCS computer to come up with an accurate read of all the polls combined. :?
  • usamamasan1
    usamamasan1 Posts: 4,695
    Way-to-go-Mitt-Romney.jpg
  • lukin2006
    lukin2006 Posts: 9,087
    JOEJOEJOE wrote:
    They need to use the BCS computer to come up with an accurate read of all the polls combined. :?

    :lol::lol::lol::lol::lol::lol:
    I have certain rules I live by ... My First Rule ... I don't believe anything the government tells me ... George Carlin

    "Life Is What Happens To You When Your Busy Making Other Plans" John Lennon
  • Prince Of Dorkness
    Prince Of Dorkness Posts: 3,763
    usamamasan1 wrote:
    Obama bought the last election. this time around, Romney earns it!

    WOOT!

    But... I thought you said that the 47%'ers are all poor. How did he buy the last election?

    With food stamps?
    I can't drive without Pearl Jam
  • Prince Of Dorkness
    Prince Of Dorkness Posts: 3,763
    fear4freedom wrote:
    Truth....


    OK... when you make a statement like that. You kinda have to back it up with something. You have a link to a poll or a story or a pie chart?
    I can't drive without Pearl Jam
  • g under p
    g under p Surfing The far side of THE Sombrero Galaxy Posts: 18,253
    usamamasan1 wrote:
    Way-to-go-Mitt-Romney.jpg

    Yes he DID IT.....

    He'll be eating sand come next week.

    WOOT!

    Peace
    *We CAN bomb the World to pieces, but we CAN'T bomb it into PEACE*...Michael Franti

    *MUSIC IS the expression of EMOTION.....and that POLITICS IS merely the DECOY of PERCEPTION*
    .....song_Music & Politics....Michael Franti

    *The scientists of today think deeply instead of clearly. One must be sane to think clearly, but one can think deeply and be quite INSANE*....Nikola Tesla(a man who shaped our world of electricity with his futuristic inventions)


  • Hugh Freaking Dillon
    Hugh Freaking Dillon Posts: 14,010
    usamamasan1 wrote:
    Obama bought the last election. this time around, Romney earns it!

    WOOT!

    yeah, it had nothing to do with running against a 100 year old man and a fucking train wreck for a VP candidate.
    Gimli 1993
    Fargo 2003
    Winnipeg 2005
    Winnipeg 2011
    St. Paul 2014
  • Hugh Freaking Dillon
    Hugh Freaking Dillon Posts: 14,010
    Prince Of Dorkness wrote:
    usamamasan1 wrote:
    Obama bought the last election. this time around, Romney earns it!

    WOOT!

    But... I thought you said that the 47%'ers are all poor. How did he buy the last election?

    With food stamps?

    :lol:
    Gimli 1993
    Fargo 2003
    Winnipeg 2005
    Winnipeg 2011
    St. Paul 2014
  • Hugh Freaking Dillon
    Hugh Freaking Dillon Posts: 14,010
    fear4freedom wrote:
    The energy and support keeps growing for Romney in Ohio and elsewhere. All battleground states moving in his favor and Ohio for the first time, is now showing Romney taking a clear advantage. Why? Obama's ground game there in Ohio has been in place since the last election, now for almost 4 years. The money, organization and ads there were overwhelming. The policy strategy with the auto industry was a very big power play. The ads were very attacking, divisive and memorable. What is happening? So now what does the President do, if all he has done, is not working? Throw more money at it? Change tactics and message in attack ads? Deploy bus drivers to pick people up and take them to the polling stations? What will he do.....as time goes by....and desperation takes part?

    Your thoughts on what Obama can do?

    hypothetical question: if Obama wins, what will you have to say? that it was fixed or something?
    Gimli 1993
    Fargo 2003
    Winnipeg 2005
    Winnipeg 2011
    St. Paul 2014

Categories