Global Warming Discussion
Comments
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bigdvs wrote:actually have not read it, but are you saying that there has been no PR for AGW, no money, no lobbying, no fraudlent half science politicalization of the facts?
i can't say that definitively but what i can say is this ...
the majority of scientists who support AGW are just that ... scientists working for universities and such ... as for PR and lobbying ... do you know how much money it takes to launch these kinds of campaigns!? ... NGO's like the Sierra Club, Greenpeace, WWF, etc. just don't have the money ... and they also realize that if they do something that is fraudulent - the consequences of that action far outweigh any benefit ..
if a tobacco company tells you their studies show that smoking a pack of day in front of kids doesn't cause any damage to the children - how would you approach that?0 -
So,bigdvs wrote:You can not hide behind only peer reviewed science if your peer review process has become politicized and is no longer willing to be scientific and entertain questions and challenges to its theories. Where is the scientist who wants to question AGW to go to get published if his own industry for politcal reasons silences his discension?
The peer-reviewed journal process ensures nothing but complete objectivity and scientific validity. Rigorous rules must be followed and if they're doing primary research, the scientific method is used (or it is trash).
If they are describing experiments or calculations, they must supply enough details that an independent researcher could repeat the experiment or calculation to verify the results. These are the basic tenets of scientific theory; observation agrees with the intended result, it can be replicated, and there aren't observations that prove otherwise.
Now, for there to be some sort of conspiracy, there would have to be thousands of scientists involved and they'd all be getting paid a lot of money to do so.
Having worked as an editor for a peer-reviewed journal (Thistlethwaite, Paul C., Dale Schofield, Ronald J. Bauerly, and Paul A. Willits (2003) Emerging Issues in Business and Technology Conference Proceedings [I'm Paul]) I can't begin to tell you how absurd your statements are. If you claim that peer-reviewed science is corrupt, that means to me that you have no idea what you're talking about. This isn't 1960s Russia.Everything not forbidden is compulsory and eveything not compulsory is forbidden. You are free... free to do what the government says you can do.0 -
Polaris,
I dont assume the politcal world is as disconnected from those organizations as you do."The really important thing is not to live, but to live well. And to live well meant, along with more enjoyable things in life, to live according to your principles."
— Socrates0 -
he still stands wrote:The peer-reviewed journal process ensures nothing but complete objectivity and scientific validity. Rigorous rules must be followed and if they're doing primary research, the scientific method is used (or it is trash).
If they are describing experiments or calculations, they must supply enough details that an independent researcher could repeat the experiment or calculation to verify the results. These are the basic tenets of scientific theory; observation agrees with the intended result, it can be replicated, and there aren't observations that prove otherwise.
Now, for there to be some sort of conspiracy, there would have to be thousands of scientists involved and they'd all be getting paid a lot of money to do so.
Having worked as an editor for a peer-reviewed journal (Thistlethwaite, Paul C., Dale Schofield, Ronald J. Bauerly, and Paul A. Willits (2003) Emerging Issues in Business and Technology Conference Proceedings [I'm Paul]) I can't begin to tell you how absurd your statements are. If you claim that peer-reviewed science is corrupt, that means to me that you have no idea what you're talking about. This isn't 1960s Russia.
Thanks for the explination on peer review and how it is suppose to function. It does not take millions and thousands to stifle credible science."The really important thing is not to live, but to live well. And to live well meant, along with more enjoyable things in life, to live according to your principles."
— Socrates0 -
Looks like good discussions here- sorry not enough time to read thoroughly today.
A good site to check for good sound climate science for those interested:
http://www.realclimate.org/"It's a sad and beautiful world"-Roberto Benigni0 -
he still stands wrote:So,bigdvs wrote:You can not hide behind only peer reviewed science if your peer review process has become politicized and is no longer willing to be scientific and entertain questions and challenges to its theories. Where is the scientist who wants to question AGW to go to get published if his own industry for politcal reasons silences his discension?
The peer-reviewed journal process ensures nothing but complete objectivity and scientific validity. Rigorous rules must be followed and if they're doing primary research, the scientific method is used (or it is trash).
If they are describing experiments or calculations, they must supply enough details that an independent researcher could repeat the experiment or calculation to verify the results. These are the basic tenets of scientific theory; observation agrees with the intended result, it can be replicated, and there aren't observations that prove otherwise.
Now, for there to be some sort of conspiracy, there would have to be thousands of scientists involved and they'd all be getting paid a lot of money to do so.
Having worked as an editor for a peer-reviewed journal (Thistlethwaite, Paul C., Dale Schofield, Ronald J. Bauerly, and Paul A. Willits (2003) Emerging Issues in Business and Technology Conference Proceedings [I'm Paul]) I can't begin to tell you how absurd your statements are. If you claim that peer-reviewed science is corrupt, that means to me that you have no idea what you're talking about. This isn't 1960s Russia.
Speaking as someone who's been published in a number of peer-reviewed journals, this is not completely true. Bias is often instilled in research from the get-go, and even so, is often published. The word objectivity is what really bothers me with your post.
Should the reviewers be able to replicate the findings with the supplied data? Yes. Is that often done? No. Even if it was, that doesn't mean that there wasn't bias instilled at the outset of the scientific method. In other words, some seek to create evidence for their underlying hypothesis.
One can use statistics and even the scientific method to almost always prove their original hypothesis. The way you do it is to start with the hypothesis, then test it using this data in this manner. If it doesn't get your point across, toss it. Then do it again from another angle, maybe different data, maybe a different series of empirical approaches. If it doesn't get your point across, toss it. This goes on and on until they find the data, and the method, that reveals statistically significant results, supporting the original bias hypothesis.
Statistics can be misused and abused. Anyone who says differently is not being truthful.Here's a new demo called "in the fire":
<object height="81" width="100%"> <param name="movie" value="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869"></param> <param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param> <embed allowscriptaccess="always" height="81" src="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="100%"></embed> </object> <span><a href=" - In the Fire (demo)</a> by <a href="0 -
I don't know about all of you, but where I live, the climate changes at least twice a year. Every March, it seems that a big wave of global warming hits my location, causing a sharp rise in temperature that continues until July or August. Then, usually around October, the climate changes yet again, and the days start becoming gradually cooler! Then the process seems to repeat itself. I'm not a scientist, but I have a theory that the blazing heat in the middle of the year might be caused by a "star" in the center of our solar system. I further hypothesize that the aforementioned "star" may just be the big yellow orb we see gradually moving across the sky every day.
Thoughts?0 -
bennett13 wrote:I don't know about all of you, but where I live, the climate changes at least twice a year. Every March, it seems that a big wave of global warming hits my location, causing a sharp rise in temperature that continues until July or August. Then, usually around October, the climate changes yet again, and the days start becoming gradually cooler! Then the process seems to repeat itself. I'm not a scientist, but I have a theory that the blazing heat in the middle of the year might be caused by a "star" in the center of our solar system. I further hypothesize that the aforementioned "star" may just be the big yellow orb we see gradually moving across the sky every day.
Thoughts?
:idea: I don't know much, but this sounds like a legit hypothesis to me.Here's a new demo called "in the fire":
<object height="81" width="100%"> <param name="movie" value="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869"></param> <param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param> <embed allowscriptaccess="always" height="81" src="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="100%"></embed> </object> <span><a href=" - In the Fire (demo)</a> by <a href="0 -
Local weather does not equal global climate. The facts on a global climate still stand: global temps are rising. By the way another giant ice shelf was lost off Iceland recently. ( I don't have a link at the moment.)"It's a sad and beautiful world"-Roberto Benigni0
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brianlux wrote:Local weather does not equal global climate. The facts on a global climate still stand: global temps are rising. By the way another giant ice shelf was lost off Iceland recently. ( I don't have a link at the moment.)
Another way to tell is extreme weather. Just remember what a bad tornado season 2011 has been. And a hurricane has devastated parts of New England!? All of these wild weather events and more equate to a global shift.0 -
cli·mate /ˈklaɪmɪt/ [klahy-mit] Show IPA
noun
1. the composite or generally prevailing weather conditions of a region, as temperature, air pressure, humidity, precipitation, sunshine, cloudiness, and winds, throughout the year, averaged over a series of years.
2. a region or area characterized by a given climate: to move to a warm climate.
3. the prevailing attitudes, standards, or environmental conditions of a group, period, or place: a climate of political unrest.0 -
gimmesometruth27 wrote:polaris_x wrote:hey ... brian ... don't let the ignorant send you away ... i know it's disheartening when people refuse to accept the science (btw there is no proof that global warming is not anthropogenic) ... what is even sadder is that all it takes is a little reading and an open mind to realize that global warming is real ... is caused by man and has already resulted in the loss of many lives ... denial was an operative word because that is what it is ... the science IS overwhelming ... all they have are links to articles that when traced and dissected are fraudulent ...
the motto of this place should be "everyone is right and no one is sorry. that's the start and the end of the story."
i think the only reason that huntsman is the only gop candidate that acknowledges that climate change is a problem speaks volumes. the rest of them are bought and paid for by oil lobbyists, so of course they are going to deny that man is contributing to climate change.....all you have to do is follow the money.
I agree with Gimme. Don't let the ignorant push your buttons to the point of wanting to leave... because that signifies that they win.
I'm taking an environmental science class right now, a required elective, so everyone in the school has to take it. I'm surrounded by the youth straight out of high school knocking down reasons to be more environmentally aware. But at the same time, some of them surprise me. Many of them also know the danger the planet and the human civilization are facing and are willing to do what they can. It gives me hope.0 -
he still stands wrote:This isn't 1960s Russia.
True, it's much worse. This is Orwell's 1984.9/13/1998 - 9/15/1998 - 8/29/2000 - 7/2/2003 - 7/3/2003 - 7/11/2003 - 9/28/2004 - 9/28/2005 - 5/13/2006 - 5/27/2006 - 6/1/2006 - 6/28/2008 - 6/30/2008 - 5/17/2010 - 10/25/20130 -
Jeanwah wrote:]
I'm taking an environmental science class right now, a required elective, so everyone in the school has to take it. I'm surrounded by the youth straight out of high school knocking down reasons to be more environmentally aware. But at the same time, some of them surprise me. Many of them also know the danger the planet and the human civilization are facing and are willing to do what they can. It gives me hope.
Sounds like a great class! Oh to have time for school again. Self education is good- AMT is motivating that way. But the class room- oh how I miss it sometimes! Let us know how it goes, what you learn.
Re. your comment on extreem climate: Yeah, I've read some pretty earth shaking (literally, now that I think of it!) statisics on the increased incidences of extreem weather. Good point! When I get time (or maybe someone else will) I'll post some statistics. Very eye opening!
Speaking of classes and education and such reminds me that one of my ideas for this thread from the get-go was to share ideas for slowing and dealing with global warming. Maybe now that we've ascertained who and who isn't convinced global warming is real etc. (I think we've discussed that enough but feel free to carry on, I'm not the boss of anybody here)-- maybe now would be a good time to start discussions about solutions-talk about some positive, useful things we can do and learn from each other. Any ideas anyone?"It's a sad and beautiful world"-Roberto Benigni0 -
brianlux wrote:Jeanwah wrote:]
I'm taking an environmental science class right now, a required elective, so everyone in the school has to take it. I'm surrounded by the youth straight out of high school knocking down reasons to be more environmentally aware. But at the same time, some of them surprise me. Many of them also know the danger the planet and the human civilization are facing and are willing to do what they can. It gives me hope.
Sounds like a great class! Oh to have time for school again. Self education is good- AMT is motivating that way. But the class room- oh how I miss it sometimes! Let us know how it goes, what you learn.
Re. your comment on extreem climate: Yeah, I've read some pretty earth shaking (literally, now that I think of it!) statisics on the increased incidences of extreem weather. Good point! When I get time (or maybe someone else will) I'll post some statistics. Very eye opening!
Speaking of classes and education and such reminds me that one of my ideas for this thread from the get-go was to share ideas for slowing and dealing with global warming. Maybe now that we've ascertained who and who isn't convinced global warming is real etc. (I think we've discussed that enough but feel free to carry on, I'm not the boss of anybody here)-- maybe now would be a good time to start discussions about solutions-talk about some positive, useful things we can do and learn from each other. Any ideas anyone?
Maybe, you folks should stop taking classes and get out in the real world. Or, go to Wall Street.Either one. But, be clear - just because people don't agree with you doesn't make them ignorant. You ignoring those points makes YOU the ignorant one. Why did that group have to make a fraudelent report regarding this. If it's so clear cut, there should be no need to put out such a report. That's why the normal people don't put out as many studies. Why bother proving something that doesn't exist? Do I need to put a paper out proving theres' no Easter Bunny?
Sorry. The world doesn't work the way you tell it to.0 -
these would my key priorities in addressing global warming:
1. education - too many people are "learning" about global warming from the wrong places ... we need to break down the science into it's simplest principles so, people aren't distracted by fraud graphs and personal scandals ...
2. embark on a major conservation strategy - which includes primarily reductions in consumption and efficiencies
3. i would develop a plan to be at least 75% renewables by the year 2050
4. i would develop a transportation strategy that would see better public transit from the municipal to the national level ... high speed trains that connect cities that are integrated with a local transportation network ... invest in infrastructure that would allow for clean transportation (whether they be plugs or hydrogen gas stations)
5. i would create trade incentives for goods produced environmentally and socially responsible0 -
EdsonNascimento wrote:Maybe, you folks should stop taking classes and get out in the real world. Or, go to Wall Street.
Either one. But, be clear - just because people don't agree with you doesn't make them ignorant. You ignoring those points makes YOU the ignorant one. Why did that group have to make a fraudelent report regarding this. If it's so clear cut, there should be no need to put out such a report. That's why the normal people don't put out as many studies. Why bother proving something that doesn't exist? Do I need to put a paper out proving theres' no Easter Bunny?
dude ... you've ignored my point about scientific associations in this entire thread and keep putting out lies ... essentially making you a troll ... at least bigdvs who shares similar views as you has the open-mindedness to listen and to explore ... he may not agree but he's listening and contributing to the discussion ... you want to be taken seriously!? ... you need to contribute instead of just trolling ...0 -
polaris_x wrote:EdsonNascimento wrote:Maybe, you folks should stop taking classes and get out in the real world. Or, go to Wall Street.
Either one. But, be clear - just because people don't agree with you doesn't make them ignorant. You ignoring those points makes YOU the ignorant one. Why did that group have to make a fraudelent report regarding this. If it's so clear cut, there should be no need to put out such a report. That's why the normal people don't put out as many studies. Why bother proving something that doesn't exist? Do I need to put a paper out proving theres' no Easter Bunny?
dude ... you've ignored my point about scientific associations in this entire thread and keep putting out lies ... essentially making you a troll ... at least bigdvs who shares similar views as you has the open-mindedness to listen and to explore ... he may not agree but he's listening and contributing to the discussion ... you want to be taken seriously!? ... you need to contribute instead of just trolling ...
The old your trolling device. Very nice. You seem to have ignored my main point - what of the fraud report?
To you post above this one. I actually agree with some of it. How much would going 75% renewable cost?Sorry. The world doesn't work the way you tell it to.0 -
EdsonNascimento wrote:The old your trolling device. Very nice. You seem to have ignored my main point - what of the fraud report?
To you post above this one. I actually agree with some of it. How much would going 75% renewable cost?
dude ... what fraud report? ... i don't recall you referencing anything ... you're just throwing out stuff ... if you're talking about the CRU ... that has been addressed ages ago ... 6 independent bodies went thru all the emails and found no evidence of fraud ... and you can't tell me you haven't been trolling ... why have you not addressed my points about the scientific associations?
as for going to renewables ... the cost is obviously dependent on how you calculate it ... but first and foremost, we can't continue to subsidize dirty energy like coal and oil ... if you factor in wars associated with oil ... there is a significant amount of dollars put in to keep us on this archaic fuel system ...
wind is the cheapest form of new energy right now with the lowest amount of risk ... the only thing preventing us from moving in that direction is a corporately driven gov't that is beholden to big oil ...0
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