**Fortis Bank Predicts U.S. Financial Market Meltdown Within Weeks**
Comments
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            I don't know, but my wife's dad owns land in Colorado. my last resort would be to go out there and literally live off the land. they have cows and chickens and a big garden. if I lose my job, i'll go there and ride it out."An investment in knowledge pays the best interest."
 "Beer is living proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy."
 - Ben Franklin0
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 I can't really control what my 403b invests in, it's either high yield or low yield. but if you can manage your money, you should be buying gold. gold will retain it's value and actually go up while the dollar is in a free fall. If i had any expendable income, i would be buying gold and silver...mammasan wrote:I'm in the opposite situation as you. I work in advertising, most of our clients are financial firms, and I'm looking to leave. I'm still going to stay in advertising but I'm looking to get back into pharmaceutical advertising. It is one of those industries where economic downturns do not affect as much as other areas of advertising. I'm scared shitless of what might happen. I have a pretty decent amount of money tied up in stocks and mutual funds. I have taken a bit of a beating lately but I'm still up from when I first got into the market. I ponder daily wether I should get my money out now or ride this shit storm out."An investment in knowledge pays the best interest."
 "Beer is living proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy."
 - Ben Franklin0
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            noodles_jefferson wrote:I can't really control what my 403b invests in, it's either high yield or low yield. but if you can manage your money, you should be buying gold. gold will retain it's value and actually go up while the dollar is in a free fall. If i had any expendable income, i would be buying gold and silver...
 Well expendable income is something I do not have loads of right now. I"m trying to put as much as possible away in case the agency I work for does have to start laying off. I have been on a few interviews in the past two weeks with pharma firms so hopefully I can land a job with one of them and use some of that saving to start purchasing gold as an investment. That still doesn't ease my concern over my stocks. I currently have about 50K tied up in the market and my good friend, who is also my broker, is telling me to sit tight but my gut intuition is to sell and buy gold."When one gets in bed with government, one must expect the diseases it spreads." - Ron Paul0
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            I'll tell you one thing. the super rich will be fine. the poor and destitute are way ahead of the curve when the shit hits the fan. when you've got nothing, you've got nothing to lose. but they know how to live with next to nothing, they've been doing it for years. It's us that are facing a major culture shock and lifestyle adjustment."An investment in knowledge pays the best interest."
 "Beer is living proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy."
 - Ben Franklin0
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 I don't think so. The super rich are rich because they've learned to exploit cheap labor. If the don't have the support of the poor to make their businesses run efficiently, they are fucked. What are they going to do with all their money when it won't buy them anything.noodles_jefferson wrote:I'll tell you one thing. the super rich will be fine. the poor and destitute are way ahead of the curve when the shit hits the fan. when you've got nothing, you've got nothing to lose. but they know how to live with next to nothing, they've been doing it for years. It's us that are facing a major culture shock and lifestyle adjustment.0
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 i have to restate that. considerign how global the economy is now, you're probably right. but I would bet they can still take their money, invest in in gold, silver, oil, things that will continue to do well, foreign markets to a point, although a collapse of our economy will affect them as well. basically i think they can just shift their investments into things not tied to the dollar. but I admit i'm no financial expert.LikeAnOcean wrote:I don't think so. The super rich are rich because they've learned to exploit cheap labor. If the don't have the support of the poor to make their businesses run efficiently, they are fucked. What are they going to do with all their money when it won't buy them anything."An investment in knowledge pays the best interest."
 "Beer is living proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy."
 - Ben Franklin0
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            FYI, to underscore this.
 Fortis is the 20th largest business in the world, by revenue, it's not some bullshit pissant bank.
 Translation: they would be in a position to know.
 FYI 2: The DOW dropped 166 points today. S&P dropped 23.
 New lows.
 More to come.If I was to smile and I held out my hand
 If I opened it now would you not understand?0
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             unsung I stopped by on March 7 2024. First time in many years, had to update payment info. Hope all is well. Politicians suck. Bye. Posts: 9,487I firmly believe that if you shop at places like Wal-Mart and buy Made in China/Mexico to save a couple of bucks over buying Made in USA you are directly to blame for the poor economy. unsung I stopped by on March 7 2024. First time in many years, had to update payment info. Hope all is well. Politicians suck. Bye. Posts: 9,487I firmly believe that if you shop at places like Wal-Mart and buy Made in China/Mexico to save a couple of bucks over buying Made in USA you are directly to blame for the poor economy.
 Stop shopping at Wal-Mart and have some pride in your country and yourself.0
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            http://www.fortis.com
 Not sure if this has anything to do with the post. !st page of a PDF file
 Press release
 Brussels / Utrecht, 26 June 2008
 THIS ANNOUNCEMENT IS NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR
 DISTRIBUTION DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY IN OR INTO THE UNITED
 STATES, CANADA, AUSTRALIA OR JAPAN.
 Fortis accelerates the execution of its solvency plan
 Equity raising of EUR 1.5 billion launched today; proposal for full-year dividend paid
 in shares based on full-year profit and no interim dividend
 Fortis announces today its intention to accelerate its solvency plan. Fortis confirms that its
 current solvency is strong and that the commercial momentum of its businesses remains
 resilient. The decision to accelerate the plan is based on the expected outcome in the coming
 weeks of the imposed sale of some of the Dutch commercial banking activities under the
 European Commission (EC) remedies ruling, the planned acquisition of the remaining 51%
 stake in the Dutch insurance joint venture with Delta Lloyd, and anticipates a continued
 challenging market environment as well as taking a prudent stance on required capital in the
 current environment.
 To achieve this acceleration, the Fortis Board of Directors has decided to take additional
 measures, some of which will have an immediate impact. These measures include:
 • an equity raising of approximately EUR 1.5 billion by means of an accelerated
 bookbuilding offering, starting today. This increase is well within the mandate given by
 shareholders to the Board to issue new shares
 • the decision not to pay an interim 2008 dividend. This will preserve solvency as the
 interim dividend was expected to impact second quarter solvency by EUR 1.3 billion. A
 proposal to pay the full-year 2008 dividend in shares will be made to the Annual General
 Meetings of Shareholders in March 2009.
 Current exceptional circumstances necessitate these exceptional measures. The Board of
 Directors of Fortis has decided that under the current circumstances it is more prudent to
 strengthen the capital base and not pay an interim dividend. Fortis intends to resume its
 practice of paying dividend in cash, probably as early as the interim 2009 dividend.
 In addition, the updated solvency plan now includes:
 • a capital relief programme and a sale and lease-back transaction of real estate, for around
 EUR 1.5 billion
 • the issuance of non-dilutive capital instruments up to EUR 2 billion
 • additional disposals of mature non-core assets, which are expected to lead to a total
 solvency uplift of around EUR 2 billion
 The updated solvency plan is expected to result in more than EUR 8 billion of additional
 solvency in total in the short to medium term. The capital raising of approximately EUR 1.5
 billion will broadly offset the future impact on solvency of the EC remedies and the intended
 acquisition of the Dutch insurance joint venture. These measures will increase the core Tier 1
 ratio of Fortis Bank, which at the end of the first quarter stood at 8.5%, and will –
 considering full consolidation of the acquired ABN AMRO assets – enable Fortis to keep the
 core Tier 1 ratio well above 6% by year-end 2009 (under Basel I).I want to point out that people who seem to have no power, whether working people, people of color, or women -- once they organize and protest and create movements -- have a voice no government can suppress. Howard Zinn0
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            unsung wrote:I firmly believe that if you shop at places like Wal-Mart and buy Made in China/Mexico to save a couple of bucks over buying Made in USA you are directly to blame for the poor economy.
 Stop shopping at Wal-Mart and have some pride in your country and yourself.
 Point me to a store that sells any products made in the US. In fact point me to any product, besides cars, motorcycles, or other motorized vehicles, that are made in the US."When one gets in bed with government, one must expect the diseases it spreads." - Ron Paul0
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            mammasan wrote:Point me to a store that sells any products made in the US. In fact point me to any product, besides cars, motorcycles, or other motorized vehicles, that are made in the US.
 and that my friend is the crux of the problem ...
 although there are tons of things outside your list that are made locally - like clothes, food products, plates, cups, etc ...0
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            that's the toughest challenge yet. how do we bring manufacturing jobs back to the US when they can use cheaper labor markets overseas? one solution woyuld be to tarrifs on imports but you mention tarrifs and our "friends" on the right go bananas.
 the utopian solution would be that the standard of living increases in other countries to the point where their labor force makes a wage comparable to that of US workers . Nice idea but light years away probably.
 But if we want to cash in the coming boom of green technologies we can't jsut be involved in the service end we have to be involved in the manufacturing end as well. How do we do this? How have other countries like Germany that have a high standard of living, continue to manufacture products?"An investment in knowledge pays the best interest."
 "Beer is living proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy."
 - Ben Franklin0
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            mammasan wrote:I'm in the opposite situation as you. I work in advertising, most of our clients are financial firms, and I'm looking to leave. I'm still going to stay in advertising but I'm looking to get back into pharmaceutical advertising. It is one of those industries where economic downturns do not affect as much as other areas of advertising. I'm scared shitless of what might happen. I have a pretty decent amount of money tied up in stocks and mutual funds. I have taken a bit of a beating lately but I'm still up from when I first got into the market. I ponder daily wether I should get my money out now or ride this shit storm out.
 I am a man of many hats. I was an engineer while at the same time I was a freelance photographer for many newpapers and a few mags. When I was downsized in 05 in Telecom I started working fulltime as a photographer. Well lets say that well dried up pretty quick. Newpapers are cutting everyone so once I saw that market drying up I decided to get myself a job that needed to be done on a daily basis. Now I have been offered by a few Telecoms a position but I was in that industry for 12 years and I know how ficil(sp??) it can be. Do I risk the stability I have now for a bigger payout that most likely will not last as long. As far as my stocks and what not, I am not worried I don't have any real money in anything right now so I am not losing much. For me its a question of stability.
 On a side note, where are you in Jersey?Thats a lovely accent you have. New Jersey?
 www.seanbrady.net0
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            noodles_jefferson wrote:that's the toughest challenge yet. how do we bring manufacturing jobs back to the US when they can use cheaper labor markets overseas? one solution woyuld be to tarrifs on imports but you mention tarrifs and our "friends" on the right go bananas.
 the utopian solution would be that the standard of living increases in other countries to the point where their labor force makes a wage comparable to that of US workers . Nice idea but light years away probably.
 But if we want to cash in the coming boom of green technologies we can't jsut be involved in the service end we have to be involved in the manufacturing end as well. How do we do this? How have other countries like Germany that have a high standard of living, continue to manufacture products?
 Make the US an attractive haven for industry with a good tax system and a ready made labor force. IE. Bring trade school back into high school. Don't make Vocations seem like bad options. Liberal Arts colleges have done a great job at marketing especially with all the great lottery paid scholarship options but at the end of the day... how is an Art degree really going to get you paid? Hell I majored in Communication and Electronic Media, if I relied completely on that I'd only be making around 12 grand a year unless I was doing more with promotions and advertising but I wanted to be a broadcaster.
 Perhaps the standard of living is artificially too high or rather we have simply found ways to increase profitablility that are no longer viable. Sure labor is cheap in china, but fuel costs are now leveling the playing field. The market has changed, same with groceries. In a world where energy costs are high, in season local fruits and veggies become far smarter options than prepackaged frozen dinners or foriegn foods, but the people have to learn to adjust to these changes and adapt.
 Tarriffs only hurt the rest of the worlds peoples. I'd rather find ways to make companies want to invest in this country.My Girlfriend said to me..."How many guitars do you need?" and I replied...."How many pairs of shoes do you need?" She got really quiet.0
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            Pacomc79 wrote:Make the US an attractive haven for industry with a good tax system and a ready made labor force. IE. Bring trade school back into high school. Don't make Vocations seem like bad options. Liberal Arts colleges have done a great job at marketing especially with all the great lottery paid scholarship options but at the end of the day... how is an Art degree really going to get you paid? Hell I majored in Communication and Electronic Media, if I relied completely on that I'd only be making around 12 grand a year unless I was doing more with promotions and advertising but I wanted to be a broadcaster.
 Perhaps the standard of living is artificially too high or rather we have simply found ways to increase profitablility that are no longer viable. Sure labor is cheap in china, but fuel costs are now leveling the playing field. The market has changed, same with groceries. In a world where energy costs are high, in season local fruits and veggies become far smarter options than prepackaged frozen dinners or foriegn foods, but the people have to learn to adjust to these changes and adapt.
 Tarriffs only hurt the rest of the worlds peoples. I'd rather find ways to make companies want to invest in this country.
 you make such a great point about our standard of living. it is artificially high. look at how much crap we buy that we don't need. we work our asses off to afford all the crap we use, most of which is unnecessasy stuff just make to make our convenient lives that much more convenient, to the point that it becomes inconvenient, needing two incomes jsut to get by. fuel costs and insurance rates are artificially high so that the fat cats in those industries can get richer and ricjer. and we keep goign more and more into debt to keep up, spurring the current credit crisis. i suppose it's like consumption bubble or a standard of living bubble that is going to pop and We'll have to simplify big time to get ourselves out if it.
 regaerding making our country an attractive haven for businesses, which candidate do you think has the best plan to do this? I've heard Obama mention lowein the corporate tax rate but also closing tax loopholes. sounds nice but i ahven't realyl heard enough specifics from either side, although I imagine they will both be talknig about it a lot more pretty soon if fortis' prediction is correct."An investment in knowledge pays the best interest."
 "Beer is living proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy."
 - Ben Franklin0
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            I guess the markets plunged a bit yesterday (dow down 200pts or so, SP down 28).
 Remember, Jlew was calling a bottom at DOW 12,800 - 12,600.
 DOW is now at 11,160. Thats about 1,500 points lower. 
 No end is in sight.
 US Home Foreclosures DOUBLED AGAIN in June.
 I think they doubled in Feb or March, so the is really a QUADRUPLING.
 BERNANKE's dumb ass is on TV right now, testifying about how best to INTERVENE in the markets ... about what is needed, what further power is needed for the Fed to save us all.
 What a big fucking joke.
 :sigh:If I was to smile and I held out my hand
 If I opened it now would you not understand?0
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            DriftingByTheStorm wrote:I guess the markets plunged a bit yesterday (dow down 200pts or so, SP down 28).
 Remember, Jlew was calling a bottom at DOW 12,800 - 12,600.
 DOW is now at 11,160. Thats about 1,500 points lower. 
 No end is in sight.
 US Home Foreclosures DOUBLED AGAIN in June.
 I think they doubled in Feb or March, so the is really a QUADRUPLING.
 BERNANKE's dumb ass is on TV right now, testifying about how best to INTERVENE in the markets ... about what is needed, what further power is needed for the Fed to save us all.
 What a big fucking joke.
 :sigh:
 Yeah, I saw that. It is disappointing to say the least, but not entirely surprising.0
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            The writing has been on the wall for a long time.
 We can expect big changes in basically all areas of life these next few years.
 The pride cometh before the fall.
 Remember people, as the inimitable Stuart Wilde* says:
 "No one cares to experience adverse circumstances, but one's emotional response to those circumstances is very much a subjective decision. Thus, there are no real crises, there are only circumstances, which of themselves when observed correctly are just energy. If you had no concept of high and low, better or worst, good or bad, you couldn't experience negative emotion or crisis. So crises are only crises when you first establish an opinion, and secondly, when you quantify or qualify your experiences."
 What we're facing is the death of the ego. The death of our beliefs of what "should" be. When we can get past these ideas we fixate on. we can adapt with ease, generate energy and be front-runners of the new ways that are being ushered in as we speak.
 *Stuart Wilde, "The Whispering Winds of Change", 1993."The opposite of a fact is falsehood, but the opposite of one profound truth may very well be another profound truth." ~ Niels Bohr
 http://www.myspace.com/illuminatta
 Rhinocerous Surprise '08!!!0
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            DriftingByTheStorm wrote:what do you fucking want from me?
 i mean,
 even when it is in a legitimate news source,
 you people give me shit.
 sometimes bad things happen.
 you may have to deal with it some day.
 god forbid, i try and give someone some warning.
 guess it is unwanted. 
 it's all good.
 thing is, as others already mention...what to do with this information? sure, people may 'know...but then what? do i really pull all my $$$ out of the stock market at a tremendous loss on a 'what-if'.......or ride it out til things self-correct, as the cycles usually do? beyond that, most have very little control over their jobs, prices, etc. so yes...we can know and it's great to be informed....but yea, that's it? 
 so no, not unwanted...but sure to some degree most probably don't like to be reminded of things so out of their own control that leaves them feeling rather helpless. it's ominous and sure, rather depressing eh. sure, good idea to try and save up some cash, have a nest egg, etc. my personal nest egg is all invested, so yes...i just hope all can hold on, at least ride out the storm until needed. or, guess i'd take a big hit...that's the gamble, that's life. i sure HOPE we don't have a true depression again, i cannot even imagine...but i am an optimist at heart, so yea.....still hope things won't get THAT bad. and if they do? well we're fucked, most of us anyway, in any case. yikes.Stay with me...
 Let's just breathe...
 I am myself like you somehow0
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            It's time for the fed and markets to just suck it up and get this over with. Interest rates should have been raised a year ago, this past year has done nothing but make the impending recession more powerful.
 The dollar and oil are at the core of this problem. I disagree with manufacturing being a cause, or trade deficits. We can survive as a service based economy. We can't survive with miscalculated interest rates killing the dollar at a time when oil speculators are just absolutely going insane.
 I received an interesting email yesterday from ALL of the major airline CEO's calling for government regulations to curb oil speculation. Very telling that these CEOs, who undoubtedly are NOT all democrats, are really pushing for some government intervention. An interesting excerpt from that email:
 "Twenty years ago, 21 percent of oil contracts were purchased by speculators who trade oil on paper with no intention of ever taking delivery. Today, oil speculators purchase 66 percent of all oil futures contracts, and that reflects just the transactions that are known.
 Speculators buy up large amounts of oil and then sell it to each other again and again. A barrel of oil may trade 20-plus times before it is delivered and used; the price goes up with each trade and consumers pick up the final tab. Some market experts estimate that current prices reflect as much as $30 to $60 per barrel in unnecessary speculative costs."
 I'm not so sure everyone knows how these speculators function, so let me drop this on you....
 Say oil is $160/bar. Oil is traded in 1000 barrel lots, so a single lot is worth roughly $160k on the market. Would you believe that the margin on those lots is ONLY $10K?!?!?! These guys are paying less than 10% to gamble, assuming they can deal with the consequences later if this were to somehow fall. But it won't fall because it's entirely too cheap for them to line one another's pockets. A simple step by the government like requiring 50% margin on purchases would DRAMATICALLY slow speculation, imo.
 If the government, which I absolutely HATE getting involved in the economy typically, were to impose small regulations on speculators as well as pumped up interest rates a point, this snowball of doom would slow dramatically.
 The markets would hurt after these moves, sensing panic from the Fed, but it would pass. The dollar would strengthen as the government and Fed show that they have some balls. Inflation would slow. Food and gas prices drop. Unemployment would level out as companies face lower overhead costs associated with fuel and shipments.
 Instead we'll sit here and talk about drilling for more oil, a completely pointless effort right now. The problem isn't supply, there is absolutely PLENTY of supply right now. Oil prices didn't drop a dime when Saudi agreed to increase output, what the hell is stating that ANWR will produce oil in a decade going to do for current prices? NOTHING.
 Bernanke needs to go and the GOP needs to work with the dems to dissuade the oil speculators."Worse than traitors in arms are the men who pretend loyalty to the flag, feast and fatten on the misfortunes of the nation while patriotic blood is crimsoning the plains." -- Abraham Lincoln0
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