Is world more violent place today than 50 yrs ago? Nope.

truroutetruroute Posts: 251
edited September 2006 in A Moving Train
http://blogs.guardian.co.uk/news/archives/2006/09/21/the_world_just_how_dangerous_is_it.html



So, it's not just the Daily Mail that believes we are all doomed. According to a new survey almost three-quarters of Britons think the world is a more dangerous, war-like place than it was 50 years ago, writes Peter Walker.

Conducted to mark the UN Peace Day today, the poll found 74% of the public believes the globe is more violent now than it was in 1956 while 63% think the situation will get worse in the next 50 years. So far, so gloomy. But are they right? Well, not really.

Despite the daily headlines about violence and death in Iraq, Darfur and elsewhere, the statistics suggest that in many ways the world is a safer place now than in 1956. The number of conflicts around the globe has been dropping more or less steadily since the second world war.

According to the Human Security Report, an exhaustive round-up published by the Canadian-based Human Security Centre, even since 1992 the number of wars has dropped by more than 40%.

Still more dramatically, the average number of battle-deaths per conflict per year - a measure of the deadliness of warfare - has plummeted from 38,000 in 1950 to just 600 in 2002.

Dan Smith, the head of International Alert, the British-based peace group which commissioned the new survey, believes the public should perhaps lighten up a bit.


The survey shows there are serious misunderstandings about the true nature of conflict and peace. There is more room for cautious optimism than the British public feel.

Of course, there is one key reason for much of the negativity: terrorism. Almost 40% see terrorism as the greatest threat to Britain, only just behind the figure for crime.

Apart from the shocks of September 11 and July 7, a perception that the Iraq war has helped fuel global tensions has filled the public with what Mr Smith calls "a strong feeling of spiralling violence". More than half believe the government has made the country a more had dangerous place through its policies.

Of course, the actual danger from terrorism is very hard to quantify. Apart from the fact that the annual terrorist death toll in a country can leap from zero to thousands in a day - witness 9/11 - few agree on what actually constitutes a terrorist attack.

Some have attempted to make a tally. US thinktank the Rand Corporation calculated that 5,362 people died from terrorism worldwide in the year from March 2004, almost double the 12-month period before the 2003 invasion of Iraq.

Reports from Iraq this June showed that Baghdad's main mortuary had already received the bodies of more than 6,000 people since that start of 2006, most killed violently and probably due to sectarian killings, which many would see as terrorism.

But 1956 was not a peaceful year either. As well as the Suez crisis, thousands died when Soviet tanks rolled into Hungary.

**Its all America's fault.**
Post edited by Unknown User on

Comments

  • even flow?even flow? Posts: 8,066
    "Apart from the shocks of September 11 and July 7, a perception that the Iraq war has helped fuel global tensions has filled the public with what Mr Smith calls "a strong feeling of spiralling violence". More than half believe the government has made the country a more had dangerous place through its policies."

    Did they convieniently forget Spain? Or was it that more people died in London than Spain so it dosen't matter? Slag!
    You've changed your place in this world!
  • NMyTreeNMyTree Posts: 2,412
    even flow? wrote:
    Did they convieniently forget Spain? Or was it that more people died in London than Spain so it dosen't matter? Slag!

    Spain=brown skin, right?
  • aBoxOfFear wrote:
    "The number of conflicts around the globe has been dropping more or less steadily since the second world war."

    except when it comes to america. they're always bombing somebody.

    You win the award for the *most cliche post* on this board. Regaurdless of the topic.

    RTFA
  • even flow?even flow? Posts: 8,066
    Why do I have to read so many posts from paranoid Yankees then? You know if the world ain't so bad. You guys born with a hard on for wars?
    You've changed your place in this world!
  • i kinda think the whole 24-7 mass media news coverage internet flow of information thing allows people to assume the world is more dangerous than it was 'back in the day'. But what do I know.
  • CosmoCosmo Posts: 12,213
    In 1956... did you hear about what was happening in Iran? You didn't even know what Iran was. And in 1956... kids Trick or Treated without their parents along. You never heard about razor blades in apples or having your candy X-Rayed at the closest E.R. In 1956, you read about a murder in your city, but not in other cities... definately not in other countries.
    Information is what has changed. The more information you get, the more reality comes into your scope, the more frieghtened you become. And the type of information you get... who's in charge of that? Why do they run the stories they do? Are you going to let them scare you?
    Even if the statistic says that 14% of Americans will be the victim of a violent crime in their lifetime... so what? It means that 86% will never experience that.
    Allen Fieldhouse, home of the 2008 NCAA men's Basketball Champions! Go Jayhawks!
    Hail, Hail!!!
  • even flow? wrote:
    Why do I have to read so many posts from paranoid Yankees then? You know if the world ain't so bad. You guys born with a hard on for wars?

    Nah, its all the Viagra and Cialas(sp) that we can get w/out a prescription from the internet.

    Seriously tho, the whole war thing, while i dont agree w/ retarded decisions that moron politicians make, I beleive that its the "Id rather have US as world power than China, Non-Alligned Nations, Russia"

    But thats my opinion. Damn me for lookin way deep into the big picture.
  • CosmoCosmo Posts: 12,213
    truroute wrote:
    Nah, its all the Viagra and Cialas(sp) that we can get w/out a prescription from the internet.

    Seriously tho, the whole war thing, while i dont agree w/ retarded decisions that moron politicians make, I beleive that its the "Id rather have US as world power than China, Non-Alligned Nations, Russia"

    But thats my opinion. Damn me for lookin way deep into the big picture.
    ...
    I used to think that... then, I thought about it... WHY?
    Let fucking China be the one that has to do all this shit... let us kick back and build our economy. What is the big threat of having them be the one in the spotlight? Are they gonna nuke us?
    Allen Fieldhouse, home of the 2008 NCAA men's Basketball Champions! Go Jayhawks!
    Hail, Hail!!!
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