Most polar bears could die out by 2050

SuzannePjamSuzannePjam Posts: 411
edited September 2007 in A Moving Train
I was just on vacation in Alaska and one of our guides told us a how polar bears will aggressively hunt humans and can track them for up to a half a mile away. Then he told us a story of how he was kayaking up in the northern regions and had pitched a tent to stay for the night. He heard a rustling and his tent started shaking and he polked his head out and was face to face with a polar bear. He ran and grabbed his gun, a .22 caliber, not to shoot the bear, but to shoot himself if the bear attacked him. He said he couldn't imaging anything more painful than getting eaten by a polar bear. He managed to back out of the tent and run to his kayak and the polar bear followed him and then swam alongside his kayak for almost a mile. Later, when he got into town, he asked why the bear didn't attack him, and the resident town expert on polar bears said the guide was unbelievably lucky, and that bear was probably very young, and had never seen anything like him, and was caught off guard and didn't eat him.

For the rest of the article here's the link: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/20645362/

Most polar bears could die out by 2050
U.S. Geological Survey says two-thirds could vanish because of ebbing ice

WASHINGTON - Two-thirds of the world's polar bears will be killed off by 2050 — and the entire population gone from Alaska — because of thinning sea ice from global warming in the Arctic, government scientists forecast Friday.
Only in the northern Canadian Arctic islands and the west coast of Greenland are any of the world's 16,000 polar bears expected to survive through the end of the century, said the U.S. Geological Survey, which is the scientific arm of the Interior Department.
USGS projects that polar bears during the next half-century will disappear along the north coasts of Alaska and Russia and lose 42 percent of the Arctic range they need to live in during summer in the Polar Basin when they hunt and breed. A polar bear's life usually lasts about 30 years.
"Projected changes in future sea ice conditions, if realized, will result in loss of approximately two-thirds of the world's current polar bear population by the mid 21st century," the report says.
Polar bears depend on sea ice as a platform for hunting seals, which is their primary food. They rarely catch seals on land or in open water. Because the general decline of Arctic sea ice appears to be underestimated, scientists said their forecast of how much polar bear populations will shrink also may be on the low side.
"There is a definite link between changes in the sea ice and the welfare of polar bears," said USGS scientist Steven Amstrup, the lead author of the new studies. "As the sea ice goes, so goes the polar bear."
Amstrup said 84 percent of the scientific variables affecting the polar bear's fate was tied to changes in sea ice.
As of this week, the extent of Arctic sea ice had fallen to 4.75 million square miles — or 250,000 square miles below the previous record low of 5.05 million square miles in September 2005, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
No hope for quick change
Scientists do not hold out much hope that the buildup of carbon dioxide and other industrial gases blamed for heating the atmosphere like a greenhouse can be turned around in time to help the polar bears anytime soon.
Polar bears have walked the planet for at least 40,000 years.
"In spite of any mitigation of greenhouse gases, we are going to see the same amount of energy in the system for at least 20, 30, 40 years," Mark Myers, the USGS director, said.
Greenland and Norway have the most polar bears, while a quarter of them live mainly in Alaska and travel to Canada and Russia. The agency says their range will shrink to no longer include Alaska and other southern regions.
The findings of U.S. and Canadian scientists are based on six months of new studies, during which the health of three polar bear groups and their dependency on Arctic sea ice were examined using "new and traditional models," Myers said.
"Where there is sacrifice there is someone collecting the sacrificial offerings."-- Ayn Rand

"Some of my friends sit around every evening and they worry about the times ahead,
But everybody else is overwhelmed by indifference and the promise of an early bed..."-- Elvis Costello
Post edited by Unknown User on

Comments

  • If they have been around for 40, 000 y then they lived though at least one glacial and 2 inter-glacials (when there was no or very little ice). Even the worst forecasts don't expect all the arctic ice to go. So i don't see how things will be differnet now.

    And bizarely they seem to survive the summers fine when most of the ice disapears.
  • ajedigeckoajedigecko \m/deplorable af \m/ Posts: 2,430
    i wonder if they could survive in antarctica? we could ship them down there.
    live and let live...unless it violates the pearligious doctrine.
  • ajedigecko wrote:
    i wonder if they could survive in antarctica? we could ship them down there.
    if the south pole is called antarctica.... what's the north pole called again? sorry.... i never enjoyed my geography class much :(
    This isn't the land of opportunity, it's the land of competition.
  • tybirdtybird Posts: 17,388
    if the south pole is called antarctica.... what's the north pole called again? sorry.... i never enjoyed my geography class much :(
    The Arctic is what the area up north goes by......not a large landmass like the Southern region.
    All the world will be your enemy, Prince with a thousand enemies, and whenever they catch you, they will kill you. But first they must catch you, digger, listener, runner, prince with the swift warning. Be cunning and full of tricks and your people shall never be destroyed.
  • You fuckers are NUTS. We're a lot fucking tougher than you give us credit!!!!!!



    signed,

    Pissed off Polar Bears
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