Strong Economy? I call bullshit!

my2handsmy2hands Posts: 17,117
edited February 2007 in A Moving Train
Number of consecutive months that the American workforce has spent more than it's take-home pay: 20

Number of previous months since the Depression that this has happened: 0

(U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis) (Harpers Magazine 03/07 pg. 13)


the day everyone undertsands that there is a difference between Main St. and Wall St. we will all be a little better off.

now go back to reading your stock quotes
Post edited by Unknown User on
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Comments

  • jlew24asujlew24asu Posts: 10,118
    you obviously know nothing about economics. now go back to flippin your burgers
  • know1know1 Posts: 6,794
    Why would people spend more than their take home pay? That's just stupid.
    The only people we should try to get even with...
    ...are those who've helped us.

    Right 'round the corner could be bigger than ourselves.
  • AbuskedtiAbuskedti Posts: 1,917
    my2hands wrote:
    Number of consecutive months that the American workforce has spent more than it's take-home pay: 20

    Number of previous months since the Depression that this has happened: 0

    (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis) (Harpers Magazine 03/07 pg. 13)


    the day everyone undertsands that there is a difference between Main St. and Wall St. we will all be a little better off.

    now go back to reading your stock quotes

    they will come closer soon.. its time to take your money and run - the thieves are due to collect....
  • hippiemomhippiemom Posts: 3,326
    know1 wrote:
    Why would people spend more than their take home pay? That's just stupid.
    People do stupid things all the time. Some people, it's pretty much ALL they do.
    "Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity." ~ MLK, 1963
  • my2hands wrote:
    Number of consecutive months that the American workforce has spent more than it's take-home pay: 20

    Number of previous months since the Depression that this has happened: 0

    (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis) (Harpers Magazine 03/07 pg. 13)


    the day everyone undertsands that there is a difference between Main St. and Wall St. we will all be a little better off.

    now go back to reading your stock quotes

    Hehe...what the hell?
  • jlew24asu wrote:
    you obviously know nothing about economics. now go back to flippin your burgers

    care to elaborate?

    I think that this is a very important issue. Pretty much everyone I know spends more than they bring in and are piling up credit card debt. THIS ALONE isn't a major concern for our economy. But what if a lot of these people lose their job? Our economy is walking on eggshells at the moment, all it would take is another 9/11 type event (which I think is pretty likely in the next 5 years) to completely unnerve the job market and the economy... then what is going to happen to the millions who live paycheck to paycheck and have $10K to $30K and above in current debt?
    Everything not forbidden is compulsory and eveything not compulsory is forbidden. You are free... free to do what the government says you can do.
  • fanch75fanch75 Posts: 3,734
    know1 wrote:
    Why would people spend more than their take home pay? That's just stupid.

    LOL!

    That's what I'm screaming. Generally, this has more to do with people being DUMB with their money than economics. There are folks with sudden catastrophic bills, but overall, people are takign vacations, buying THINGS (like 10 Pearl Jam tickets in one tour) that they can't afford and are funding with credit card debt.

    My parents were poor (we lived in the ghetto area of Louisville) the first few years I was alive. They just didn't spend more than they made. They made more later and spent more later. It's not rocket science.
    Do you remember Rock & Roll Radio?
  • cornnifercornnifer Posts: 2,130
    know1 wrote:
    Why would people spend more than their take home pay? That's just stupid.

    Because things like food, clothes, shelter, etc. cost money. Because, i'm guessing, homelessness pretty much sucks.
    Do some people live foolishly beyond their means? Absolutely. But for many, spending a little more than they actually make is simply unavoidable.
    "When all your friends and sedatives mean well but make it worse... better find yourself a place to level out."
  • fanch75fanch75 Posts: 3,734
    care to elaborate?

    I think that this is a very important issue. Pretty much everyone I know spends more than they bring in and are piling up credit card debt. THIS ALONE isn't a major concern for our economy. But what if a lot of these people lose their job? Our economy is walking on eggshells at the moment, all it would take is another 9/11 type event (which I think is pretty likely in the next 5 years) to completely unnerve the job market and the economy... then what is going to happen to the millions who live paycheck to paycheck and have $10K to $30K and above in current debt?

    Because they are being STUPID with their money. Generally-speaking.

    ps - the Crue's "Looks That Kill" is on WEBN. Awesome.
    Do you remember Rock & Roll Radio?
  • NCfanNCfan Posts: 945
    know1 wrote:
    Why would people spend more than their take home pay? That's just stupid.

    Becuase our culture makes people feel like they're worth only as much as they can show off.

    Go to the mall, go in a department store and check out the $130 jeans for 12 year old girls... 5th avenue has come to your local shopping center. It's disgracefull.
  • NCfanNCfan Posts: 945
    cornnifer wrote:
    Because things like food, clothes, shelter, etc. cost money. Because, i'm guessing, homelessness pretty much sucks.
    Do some people live foolishly beyond their means? Absolutely. But for many, spending a little more than they actually make is simply unavoidable.

    The poor people in our country are not the ones we should be worried about as far as having an impact on our economy if shit ever hits the fan.

    It's the masses of middle class American's who are sucked into keeping up with the Jone's by blowing out credit cards and refinancing their homes to provide a life-style they can't afford, yet they feel entitled to.
  • jlew24asujlew24asu Posts: 10,118
    care to elaborate?

    I think that this is a very important issue. Pretty much everyone I know spends more than they bring in and are piling up credit card debt. THIS ALONE isn't a major concern for our economy. But what if a lot of these people lose their job? Our economy is walking on eggshells at the moment, all it would take is another 9/11 type event (which I think is pretty likely in the next 5 years) to completely unnerve the job market and the economy... then what is going to happen to the millions who live paycheck to paycheck and have $10K to $30K and above in current debt?

    people who live outside of their means has nothing to do with the strength/weakness of the economy
  • fanch75fanch75 Posts: 3,734
    NCfan wrote:
    The poor people in our country are not the ones we should be worried about as far as having an impact on our economy if shit ever hits the fan.

    It's the masses of middle class American's who are sucked into keeping up with the Jone's by blowing out credit cards and refinancing their homes to provide a life-style they can't afford, yet they feel entitled to.

    Can I have an AMEN?!?!?

    Preach on, brotha! Testify!
    Do you remember Rock & Roll Radio?
  • onelongsongonelongsong Posts: 3,517
    who's economy? when the government says the economy is up; that means the rich are getting richer. during times of war; the economy of those that have government defence contracts is booming. when gas prices are high; the economy of those who make high milege or alternative energy vehicles is booming.
    it depends on who's economy we're talking about.
  • onelongsongonelongsong Posts: 3,517
    NCfan wrote:
    The poor people in our country are not the ones we should be worried about as far as having an impact on our economy if shit ever hits the fan.

    It's the masses of middle class American's who are sucked into keeping up with the Jone's by blowing out credit cards and refinancing their homes to provide a life-style they can't afford, yet they feel entitled to.

    if the "shit hits the fan" as you put it; people will ignore their credit cards. this is seen now on a personal level like when someone gets sick; they stop paying credit cards and direct their money towards more important things.
  • know1know1 Posts: 6,794
    NCfan wrote:
    Becuase our culture makes people feel like they're worth only as much as they can show off.

    Go to the mall, go in a department store and check out the $130 jeans for 12 year old girls... 5th avenue has come to your local shopping center. It's disgracefull.

    Funny, but our culture didn't make me feel that way. I guess it's not really a culture issue then...
    The only people we should try to get even with...
    ...are those who've helped us.

    Right 'round the corner could be bigger than ourselves.
  • know1know1 Posts: 6,794
    cornnifer wrote:
    Because things like food, clothes, shelter, etc. cost money. Because, i'm guessing, homelessness pretty much sucks.
    Do some people live foolishly beyond their means? Absolutely. But for many, spending a little more than they actually make is simply unavoidable.


    My assumption is this overspending of income is across the economic spectrum and not just those teetering on the brink of homelessness.
    The only people we should try to get even with...
    ...are those who've helped us.

    Right 'round the corner could be bigger than ourselves.
  • jlew24asu wrote:
    people who live outside of their means has nothing to do with the strength/weakness of the economy

    right. I agree that it has no direct correlation with the well-being of the economy. In fact when people are spending more than they bring in it can only be interpreted asa GOOD thing from a national economic perspective. People are buying SHIT they don't need, but hey its good for all these corporations that took in record 4th quarter earnings last year.

    But it does have huge implications when the economy does head south. And there are lots of signs pointing that may happen. (I personally think it is unlikely, but very possible) What would happen to the millions who lose jobs and live paycheck to paycheck with a butt load of current debt?
    Everything not forbidden is compulsory and eveything not compulsory is forbidden. You are free... free to do what the government says you can do.
  • my2handsmy2hands Posts: 17,117
    you guys are right... it is the american publics fault, the era of "keep up with the jones'" just began 20 months ago :rolleyes:

    it has nothing to do with the skyrocketing cost of housing, energy, health care, college tuition, etc... coupled with stagnant wages. :rolleyes:
  • my2handsmy2hands Posts: 17,117
    jlew24asu wrote:
    you obviously know nothing about economics. now go back to flippin your burgers



    thanks for adding to the discussion, and sharing your vast ecominic knowledge with us. ;)
  • fanch75fanch75 Posts: 3,734
    my2hands wrote:
    it has nothing to do with the skyrocketing cost of housing, energy, health care, college tuition, etc... coupled with stagnant wages. :rolleyes:

    That all began 20 months ago as well. ;)
    Do you remember Rock & Roll Radio?
  • jlew24asujlew24asu Posts: 10,118
    right. I agree that it has no direct correlation with the well-being of the economy. In fact when people are spending more than they bring in it can only be interpreted asa GOOD thing from a national economic perspective. People are buying SHIT they don't need, but hey its good for all these corporations that took in record 4th quarter earnings last year.

    But it does have huge implications when the economy does head south. And there are lots of signs pointing that may happen. (I personally think it is unlikely, but very possible) What would happen to the millions who lose jobs and live paycheck to paycheck with a butt load of current debt?

    the stock market is in definite need of a correction. that may or may not however cause "millions" to loose their jobs. the economy is very resilient and with the current growth and strength of corporate profits, I do not see an all out recession anytime soon.
  • my2handsmy2hands Posts: 17,117
    fanch75 wrote:
    That all began 20 months ago as well. ;)


    i think if we checked the various needs listed above they have all seen record inflation in the last few years, so in a roundabout way i think you are right


    for the record i do not ignore the role of the consumer in this problem.
  • jlew24asu wrote:
    the stock market is in definite need of a correction. that may or may not however cause "millions" to loose their jobs. the economy is very resilient and with the current growth and strength of corporate profits, I do not see an all out recession anytime soon.
    This time a recession wouldn't be caused by a stock market correction. It'll be caused by a major crisis in the mid-east or even in the US. I'm not a doomsday conspirasist, but its not impossible.

    I think we're on the same page here though. :)
    Everything not forbidden is compulsory and eveything not compulsory is forbidden. You are free... free to do what the government says you can do.
  • my2handsmy2hands Posts: 17,117
    kind of a strange coincidence the "Bankruptcy bill" was passed about 20 months ago? hmmmmm... sometimes it isnt all rocket science folks :)


    The Debt-Peonage Society
    By Paul Krugman
    The New York Times

    Wednesday 09 March 2005

    Today the Senate is expected to vote to limit debate on a bill that toughens the existing bankruptcy law, probably ensuring the bill's passage. A solid bloc of Republican senators, assisted by some Democrats, has already voted down a series of amendments that would either have closed loopholes for the rich or provided protection for some poor and middle-class families.

    The bankruptcy bill was written by and for credit card companies, and the industry's political muscle is the reason it seems unstoppable. But the bill also fits into the broader context of what Jacob Hacker, a political scientist at Yale, calls "risk privatization": a steady erosion of the protection the government provides against personal misfortune, even as ordinary families face ever-growing economic insecurity.

    The bill would make it much harder for families in distress to write off their debts and make a fresh start. Instead, many debtors would find themselves on an endless treadmill of payments.

    The credit card companies say this is needed because people have been abusing the bankruptcy law, borrowing irresponsibly and walking away from debts. The facts say otherwise.

    A vast majority of personal bankruptcies in the United States are the result of severe misfortune. One recent study found that more than half of bankruptcies are the result of medical emergencies. The rest are overwhelmingly the result either of job loss or of divorce.

    To the extent that there is significant abuse of the system, it's concentrated among the wealthy - including corporate executives found guilty of misleading investors - who can exploit loopholes in the law to protect their wealth, no matter how ill-gotten.

    One increasingly popular loophole is the creation of an "asset protection trust," which is worth doing only for the wealthy. Senator Charles Schumer introduced an amendment that would have limited the exemption on such trusts, but apparently it's O.K. to game the system if you're rich: 54 Republicans and 2 Democrats voted against the Schumer amendment.

    Other amendments were aimed at protecting families and individuals who have clearly been forced into bankruptcy by events, or who would face extreme hardship in repaying debts. Ted Kennedy introduced an exemption for cases of medical bankruptcy. Russ Feingold introduced an amendment protecting the homes of the elderly. Dick Durbin asked for protection for armed services members and veterans. All were rejected.

    None of this should come as a surprise: it's all part of the pattern.

    As Mr. Hacker and others have documented, over the past three decades the lives of ordinary Americans have become steadily less secure, and their chances of plunging from the middle class into acute poverty ever larger. Job stability has declined; spells of unemployment, when they happen, last longer; fewer workers receive health insurance from their employers; fewer workers have guaranteed pensions.

    Some of these changes are the result of a changing economy. But the underlying economic trends have been reinforced by an ideologically driven effort to strip away the protections the government used to provide. For example, long-term unemployment has become much more common, but unemployment benefits expire sooner. Health insurance coverage is declining, but new initiatives like health savings accounts (introduced in the 2003 Medicare bill), rather than discouraging that trend, further undermine the incentives of employers to provide coverage.

    Above all, of course, at a time when ever-fewer workers can count on pensions from their employers, the current administration wants to phase out Social Security.

    The bankruptcy bill fits right into this picture. When everything else goes wrong, Americans can still get a measure of relief by filing for bankruptcy - and rising insecurity means that they are forced to do this more often than in the past. But Congress is now poised to make bankruptcy law harsher, too.

    Warren Buffett recently made headlines by saying America is more likely to turn into a "sharecroppers' society" than an "ownership society." But I think the right term is a "debt peonage" society - after the system, prevalent in the post-Civil War South, in which debtors were forced to work for their creditors. The bankruptcy bill won't get us back to those bad old days all by itself, but it's a significant step in that direction.

    And any senator who votes for the bill should be ashamed.





    Go to Original

    Bankruptcy Bill Set for Passage; Victory for Bush
    By Stephen Labaton
    The New York Times

    Wednesday 09 March 2005

    Washington - The Senate assured final passage of the first major overhaul of the nation's bankruptcy laws in 27 years on Tuesday, when it took two votes that cleared the remaining political obstacles to a measure that the nation's credit and retail industries have sought for years.

    The bill would disqualify many families from taking advantage of the more generous provisions of the current bankruptcy code that permit them to extinguish their debts for a "fresh start." It would also impose significant new costs on those seeking bankruptcy protection and give lenders and businesses new legal tools for recovering debts.

    The Senate on Tuesday first defeated an amendment that would have prevented violent protesters at abortion clinics from using the bankruptcy laws to shield themselves from judgments awarded in civil lawsuits. That amendment, which lost by a vote of 53 to 46, had threatened to derail the legislation. The senators then voted 69 to 31 to limit debate and cut off any effort to kill the legislation by filibuster.

    Final passage of the measure is now an inevitable formality.

    House leaders have said they will quickly approve the legislation once the Senate completes work on it as early as this week. President Bush has said he intends to sign it. His predecessor, President Bill Clinton, killed the measure in his final days in office in 2000 after it had been passed by Congress by declining to sign it at the end of the legislative session, issuing a so-called pocket veto.

    The sponsors of the legislation say that it will have the effect of lowering the costs of goods and services for all consumers by making it easier for companies and issuers of credit to collect unpaid debts rather than passing those costs on to everyone else. In the last 30 years, bankruptcy filings have steadily increased, rising eightfold since Congress last rewrote the bankruptcy laws.

    But critics said the measure was a thinly disguised gift to banks and credit card companies, which, they contend, are largely responsible for the high rate of bankruptcies because they heavily promote credit cards and loans that often come with large and largely unseen fees for late payments. They said that the measure would impose new obstacles on many middle-income families seeking desperately needed protection from creditors, and that it would take far longer for those families to start over after suffering serious illnesses, unemployment and other calamities.

    The votes on Tuesday were the second legislative victory in recent weeks both for Mr. Bush and the Senate majority leader, Bill Frist, himself a possible presidential contender in 2008. Mr. Frist nimbly moved both the bankruptcy bill and another bill last month making it more difficult to bring class-action lawsuits through the Senate.

    In both cases, he unified the Republicans to beat back every effort by the Democrats to water down or delay the measures. In both cases, he also reached a deal with House leaders in which the Senate blocked any significant changes to the measure in exchange for a commitment from the House that it would adopt unaltered what the Senate approved.

    The White House applauded the votes on Tuesday.

    "The administration supports the passage of bankruptcy reform because ultimately this will lead to more accessibility to credit for more Americans, particularly lower-income workers," said Trent D. Duffy, a deputy White House spokesman. "The fact that the Senate was able to set aside those issues and move toward passage shows it's another bipartisan accomplishment. Coupled with class actions, it shows we're off to a good start."

    The sponsors of the bankruptcy legislation say it is a badly needed measure to curb a growing number of abusive bankruptcy filings by individuals who ought to be able to meet their obligations. Those cases, supporters of the measure say, have added hundreds of dollars in annual costs to other consumers who wind up having to pick up the unpaid debt.

    "We are a compassionate nation but we should not be fools," said Senator Orrin G. Hatch, a Utah Republican who has fought for the measure for eight years. "We want to give our neighbors who get in over their heads a chance to get out of their financial troubles. But for some it is a way to avoid personal responsibility. There is something inherently unfair about denying full restitution to creditors."

    Supporters of the new law point to the rise of bankruptcy filings, from 200,000 in 1978 to 1.6 million last year, as evidence of abuses.

    But critics of the measure say that the rise in such filings is not evidence of unfair filings. Rather, they say, it is symptomatic of broader economic problems - the growing distress in families plagued by high health care and education costs. A recent study by bankruptcy and medical experts at Harvard University found that more than half of the 1,771 personal bankruptcy filers in five federal courts cited medical bills as a primary reason they filed.

    The critics - including consumer groups, Democrats and more than 100 bankruptcy law professors - say that the legislation's supporters have significantly exaggerated the problem with the current bankruptcy laws. They say the legislation will do far more damage than good by hitting middle-income families, women and the elderly who have used bankruptcy protection in growing numbers to protect themselves.

    "This bankruptcy bill is mean-spirited and unfair," said Senator Edward M. Kennedy, Democrat of Massachusetts. "In anything like its present form, it should and will be an embarrassment to anyone who votes for it. It's a bonanza for the credit card companies, which made $30 billion in profits last year, and a nightmare for the poorest of the poor and the weakest of the weak."

    In a letter to Congress two weeks ago, 104 bankruptcy law professors predicted that "the deepest hardship" would "be felt in the heartland," where the filing rates are highest - Utah, Tennessee, Georgia, Nevada, Indiana, Alabama, Arkansas, Ohio, Mississippi and Idaho.

    Critics also said the measure fails to do anything to curb abusive bankruptcy practices by wealthy families, who can create special trusts to shelter their assets, and by corrupt companies like Enron and WorldCom, which were able to find favorable bankruptcy courts and deprive many of their employees and retired employees of benefits. The Senate defeated a series of amendments proposed by Democrats that sought to address those issues.

    "The bill has a real bias," said Senator Charles E. Schumer, Democrat of New York, whose proposal to close a loophole that permits wealthy people to shelter assets through a special trust was defeated last week. "It deals with abuses in bankruptcy by one group but not with another group."

    The lobbying money for the legislation, which has come close to passage several times in the eight years since it was introduced, has been lopsided.

    The main lobbying forces for the bill - a coalition that included Visa, MasterCard, the American Bankers Association, MBNA America, Capital One, Citicorp, the Ford Motor Credit Company and the General Motors Acceptance Corporation - spent more than $40 million in political fund-raising efforts and many millions more on lobbying efforts since 1989, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, a nonpartisan organization that studies the role of money in the political process. By definition, the critics of the legislation had limited lobbying resources.

    The foundation of the legislation is a provision that would limit access by individuals to Chapter 7 of the bankruptcy code. It enables individuals to sharply limit payments on their obligations and get a "fresh start."

    The bill would instead impose a means test that would prompt many people to file for bankruptcy protection under Chapter 13, which requires a repayment plan. The means test would not be applied to debtors who earn less than the median income in their state. Those who earn more than that and can pay at least $6,000 over five years would have to seek protection under Chapter 13.

    The median income for a family of four in 2003 was $65,093, ranging from $45,867 in New Mexico to $82,561 in Massachusetts, according to the United States Census Bureau.

    The bill would also increase the costs of bankruptcy by increasing the amount of paperwork filed and force people in bankruptcy to pay for counseling about the way they use credit. It would also make it more difficult for some people to try to shelter their assets through the purchase of expensive homes in states like Florida and Texas, which have homestead exemptions. To shelter more than $125,000 in assets, homes must have been purchased at least three and a third years before a bankruptcy filing.

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  • jlew24asujlew24asu Posts: 10,118
    This time a recession wouldn't be caused by a stock market correction. It'll be caused by a major crisis in the mid-east or even in the US. I'm not a doomsday conspirasist, but its not impossible.

    I think we're on the same page here though. :)

    yea I agree. dont worry, predicting another crisis doesnt make you a doomsday conspiracist. crazy shit is bound to happen.
  • know1know1 Posts: 6,794
    I think filing bankruptcy just because you piled up high credit card debt buying junk is shameful and shouldn't be allowed. People should pay back what they owe.

    It's a different story if you had a crisis or major illness, etc. and truly cannot pay.
    The only people we should try to get even with...
    ...are those who've helped us.

    Right 'round the corner could be bigger than ourselves.
  • jlew24asujlew24asu Posts: 10,118
    know1 wrote:
    I think filing bankruptcy just because you piled up high credit card debt buying junk is shameful and shouldn't be allowed. People should pay back what they owe.

    It's a different story if you had a crisis or major illness, etc. and truly cannot pay.


    I think in the last few years bankruptcy laws have gotten alot tougher.
  • know1 wrote:
    It's a different story if you had a crisis or major illness, etc. and truly cannot pay.

    Why?
  • Why?

    I thought it was intuitive as to why its different...
    Everything not forbidden is compulsory and eveything not compulsory is forbidden. You are free... free to do what the government says you can do.
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