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but i thought exit polls were useless???

El_KabongEl_Kabong Posts: 4,141
edited February 2008 in A Moving Train
I recall when the exit polls showed Kerry winning Ohio soooo many ppl said how exit polls are useless, worthless, don't really reflect true votes....all sorts of reasons

so i was surprised to see in some states where, at the time, only 10% of the polls reported in CNN was using the exit polls to predict the winners of a lot of the races on super tuesday...i wonder...was wolf blitzer wrong w/ any of these predictions or was Ohio the only time it seemed that exit polls were so far off?
standin above the crowd
he had a voice that was strong and loud and
i swallowed his facade cos i'm so
eager to identify with
someone above the crowd
someone who seemed to feel the same
someone prepared to lead the way
Post edited by Unknown User on

Comments

  • flywallyflyflywallyfly Posts: 1,453
    El_Kabong wrote:
    I recall when the exit polls showed Kerry winning Ohio soooo many ppl said how exit polls are useless, worthless, don't really reflect true votes....all sorts of reasons

    so i was surprised to see in some states where, at the time, only 10% of the polls reported in CNN was using the exit polls to predict the winners of a lot of the races on super tuesday...i wonder...was wolf blitzer wrong w/ any of these predictions or was Ohio the only time it seemed that exit polls were so far off?

    No kidding. Last night CNN and even the Clinton camp said that she had won Missouri. Oops... Obama ended up winning the state.
  • my2handsmy2hands Posts: 17,117
    2004 was stolen...


    whatever is convenient at the time i guess


    good point kabong
  • blackredyellowblackredyellow Posts: 5,889
    The can be relatively useless or they can be pretty accurate... But what does CNN care? For them, it seemed more important to call a race first, then to wait and make sure it was right.
    My whole life
    was like a picture
    of a sunny day
    “We can complain because rose bushes have thorns, or rejoice because thorn bushes have roses.”
    ― Abraham Lincoln
  • LikeAnOpeningBandForTheSunLikeAnOpeningBandForTheSun Posts: 6,097
    they are pretty useless. sometimes they are accurate sometimes they are not. i trust the weatherman's forecast more.
  • ndv180ndv180 Posts: 80
    my2hands wrote:
    2004 was stolen...


    whatever is convenient at the time i guess


    good point kabong


    If anyone wants to know the specifics related to the theft of the 2004 Presidential election, follow the House Judiciary hearings on oversight of the Justice Department. They are going down that road to revealing the whole thing. The hearings are set to resume tommorrow (Thurs). I already know what it's all about and I have a thread with most of the information needed to follow along. Here's the thread

    http://forums.pearljam.com/showthread.php?t=271695

    Basically the exit polls were dead on in 2004.
  • farfromglorifiedfarfromglorified Posts: 5,696
    El_Kabong wrote:
    I recall when the exit polls showed Kerry winning Ohio soooo many ppl said how exit polls are useless, worthless, don't really reflect true votes....all sorts of reasons

    so i was surprised to see in some states where, at the time, only 10% of the polls reported in CNN was using the exit polls to predict the winners of a lot of the races on super tuesday...i wonder...was wolf blitzer wrong w/ any of these predictions or was Ohio the only time it seemed that exit polls were so far off?

    Exit polls aren't useless. They're just not the same as actual votes. Hence, they can be wrong.
  • SweetHarmonicsSweetHarmonics Posts: 290
    Vegas had Kerry as a heavy favorite, serious guys in a serious business...no way they miss the mark that badly
    hate was just a legend
  • farfromglorifiedfarfromglorified Posts: 5,696
    SweetHarmonics wrote:
    Vegas had Kerry as a heavy favorite, serious guys in a serious business...no way they miss the mark that badly

    You mean like they did with the Super Bowl just a few days ago?
  • ndv180ndv180 Posts: 80
    SweetHarmonics wrote:
    Vegas had Kerry as a heavy favorite, serious guys in a serious business...no way they miss the mark that badly

    Vegas didn't catch onto the fix until later that evening. If anyone wants to know what actually happened in 2004, go to my thread and check out the various links or at least read Chapter 4 of "Armed Madhouse" by Greg Palast.

    Jail time is upcoming for the perpetrators of this crime. I expect they won't be found guilty until after Bush leaves office (so they won't get a Presidential Pardon). Do yourself a favor and follow the House Judiciary hearing on oversight of the Justice Dept. They going down the path to revealing it all.
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