Estimates say fed budget deficit nearing $407B

inmytreeinmytree Posts: 4,741
edited September 2008 in A Moving Train
wow...

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080909/ap_on_bi_ge/budget_deficit

Estimates say fed budget deficit nearing $407B

By ANDREW TAYLOR, Associated Press Writer1 hour, 15 minutes ago

The federal government will run a near-record deficit of $407 billion this year, according to the latest Capitol Hill estimates.

The Congressional Budget Office released figures Tuesday that indicate the red ink will spill over into next year, when the deficit would reach a record $438 billion — and could go even higher as the government takes over mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

The worsening deficit is largely due to continuing weakness in the economy, high energy and food prices, and the slump in the housing and financial markets, the CBO said. And the economy could still slide into a recession, according to the forecast.

"The economy is likely to experience at least several more months of very slow growth," the new report said. "Whether this period will ultimately be designated a recession or not is still uncertain, but the increase in the unemployment rate and the pace of economic growth are similar to conditions during previous periods of mild recession."

The economy will grow 1.5 percent this year in real terms and slip to just 1.1 percent growth in 2009, CBO predicts.

The nonpartisan agency, which makes economic and budget estimates for Congress, also sees unemployment averaging 6.2 percent next year.

The CBO figures for this fiscal year, which ends Sept. 30, are slightly worse than White House predictions released in July. The White House foresees a $389 billion deficit for 2008, growing to $482 billion in 2009.

If Congress fixes the alternative minimum tax, or AMT, next year's deficit could rise another $80 billion, according to CBO.

The numbers represent about 3 percent of the economy, which is the deficit measure seen as most relevant by economists. That's considerably smaller than the deficits of the 1980s and early 1990s, when Congress and earlier administrations cobbled together politically painful deficit-reduction packages.

Still, the new dollar figures are so eye-popping that they may restrain the appetite of the next president, who takes office Jan. 20, from adding expensive spending programs or new tax cuts. Pressure may build to allow some tax cuts enacted in 2001 and 2003 to expire as scheduled at the end of 2010, with Congress also feeling pressure to curb spending growth.

The deficit for 2007 totaled $161.5 billion, the lowest number since an imbalance of $159 billion in 2002. The 2002 performance marked the first budget deficit after four consecutive years of budget surpluses.

"Today's estimates provide the latest evidence of the fiscal legacy of Republican policies: record deficits and a weak economy," said House Budget Committee Chairman John Spratt Jr., D-S.C. "It's another reminder of the dismal economy and budget that Republicans are leaving others to sort out."

Under the promises of Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama and Republican nominee John McCain — who both say they want to extend most of the tax cuts passed in 2001 and 2003 at the urging of President Bush — the deficit is likely to remain high.

Even if all of the Bush tax cuts were allowed to expire at the end of 2010, the budget would still run a considerable deficit of $325 billion in the following year, CBO says.

The cost of extending the Bush tax cuts and other expiring pieces of the tax code, along with making sure the AMT doesn't trap more and more middle class families, would reach more than $400 billion a year by 2012, CBO says.

Budget deficits tend to bounce around, and the CBO's long term projections likely inflate the cost of ongoing military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. The agency assumes current war costs — Congress approved $186 billion for Iraq and Afghanistan for this budget year — continue indefinitely.

The agency's latest estimate of total appropriations since 2001 to fight terrorism and for operations in Iraq and Afghanistan is $858 billion.
Post edited by Unknown User on

Comments

  • know1know1 Posts: 6,794
    Time to cut spending.
    The only people we should try to get even with...
    ...are those who've helped us.

    Right 'round the corner could be bigger than ourselves.
  • know1 wrote:
    Time to cut spending.
    ha. who's going to do that?
  • MrSmith wrote:
    ha. who's going to do that?

    Cynthia McKinney?

    ;)
    If I was to smile and I held out my hand
    If I opened it now would you not understand?
  • puremagicpuremagic Posts: 1,907
    8 years of Bush and 12 years of a Republican controlled Congress what did people expect?
    SIN EATERS--We take the moral excrement we find in this equation and we bury it down deep inside of us so that the rest of our case can stay pure. That is the job. We are morally indefensible and absolutely necessary.
  • know1know1 Posts: 6,794
    MrSmith wrote:
    ha. who's going to do that?

    Nobody.
    The only people we should try to get even with...
    ...are those who've helped us.

    Right 'round the corner could be bigger than ourselves.
  • spyguyspyguy Posts: 613
    know1 wrote:
    Time to cut spending.

    spending obama > mccain

    deficit mccain > obama


    our economy/fiscal policy is fucked no matter who we pick. which really sucks
  • we spend more on "defense" than the rest of the planet combined.
  • ... and the Pentagons books are in such shambles they were determined to be unauditable.

    Thats our money they are wasting(lining the pockets of their cronies)!!!
Sign In or Register to comment.