Official 2024 Ticket Lottery Results Thread

Hankj25

Went 2/4 yesterday, but didn’t get my personal top 2 choices, so hoping for Seattle N1 or N2 today (not looking good).  Verified Fan will be my friend, if not, I’ll try F5 for a few weeks.  If i get SEA, I’m going to sell PDX, and I’ll drop them with notice here for anyone interested.  

Lowlight11

BloodMeridian80 said:

Lowlight11 said:

Does anyone know when the fan to fan opens up?

My guess would be 1st or 2nd week of March (at least for the Leg 1 shows), but it is not known at this point.

OK thanks! I need to offload some shows. I went 4/4 and was not expecting that having been shut out for years!

MookieBlaylockMN

Curious - has anyone gotten the actual REJECTION email yet?  I'm still holding out hope for the only two shows I put in for (both Chicago nights) until that happens.  

goldenegg

MookieBlaylockMN said:

Curious - has anyone gotten the actual REJECTION email yet?  I'm still holding out hope for the only two shows I put in for (both Chicago nights) until that happens.  

Rejection e-mails come after the lottery as a whole is finished.

DEGBTI

anyone want to trade my Vegas night 1 GA for either night Wrigley GA?

BF25394

CM189191 said:

Gibson said:

I'm sorry for all the folks that didn't get their hometown requests fulfilled. Please kindly remember that an overwhelming number of Pearl Jam fans don't live in major cities, meaning they will never have the luxury of a hometown show. Thus, every show is going to have out of towners that deserve to be there as much as the locals.

83% of the U.S. population lives in urban areas

All major cities are urban areas, but all urban areas are not major cities. Pearl Jam plays a limited number of cities at this point.

The Rock

RT228921 said:

Anyone have the Tottenham seating chart?

curmudgeoness

Lerxst1992 said:

SHZA said:

PJ and Dylan are my muse said:

RE4790 said:

CurtisMartin said:

Correct, the system is very flawed or corrupt.  Simple statistics show multiple people shouldn't be winning 8 shows and others getting nothing.  Time to stop wasting money on the ten club if this is how things are being handled.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/gamblersfallacy.asp

If every requester has exactly the same chance as every other requester at every show requested this absolutely could happen as winning a show has zero effect on winning any other show.  It's even possible the same 10 clubber could have been drawn as the first for every single show.

This!

Everyone knows it's possible. But if the odds of it happening are 1 in 10 million, yet the actual results are 1 in 100, something is wrong.

People are getting confused with lottery odds. If I have a ten percent chance to win a high demand show and win, I still have a ten percent chance of winning the next show.

but to win both, my odds are 1% (10%*10%)

We are seeing fans go four for four (ny and Balt one chance each, Philly two chances)

the odds of hitting all four assuming 10% odds are 10%*10%*10%*10% or 0.01%.

to see that happen multiple times is astounding. It’s possible but very very strange.

But we don't know what the odds for each show are. That makes a difference. Odds for pulling an MSG ticket were very low, due to both demand and fewer available seats. But what were the odds for, say, Portland? If there was a 90% chance of getting a ticket to one show, 75% chance at another, 25% chance at getting Philly 2, 10% chance of getting an MSG show, your total odds are different.

And yes, if the odds of getting a ticket were 95%, someone still was getting shut out. I got Philly 1 and 2 but not Seattle 2, that's just how it turned out.

ssommers21

goldenegg said:

MookieBlaylockMN said:

Curious - has anyone gotten the actual REJECTION email yet?  I'm still holding out hope for the only two shows I put in for (both Chicago nights) until that happens.  

Rejection e-mails come after the lottery as a whole is finished.

In reading through most of this to me it sounds like the least amount of people posted on here about actually getting wrigley night 2 tickets.   Lots of night 1 and other shows but there just doesn't seem to be a lot of night 2 confirmations.  Still holding out hope for night 2.  

Anyone want to trade wrigley night 2 preferably GA for MSG p1 - I have two

Sugarloafer04

put in for Vegas X 2 MSG X 2 Fenway X 2 

Got: 
Vegas 1&2 P1 
MSG 2 P1 
Fenway 1&2 P1. 
No pit but am stoked for some shows! 

BF25394

Lerxst1992 said:

Didn’t you (maybe another member?) earlier say it wasn’t common to have multiple winners for high demand shows?
...

considering such low odds and how high demand these cities are, it seems very weird considering how many in northeast are completely shut out. I’ve seen ALOT of members here with this type of luck. Great for them , but very weird.

I have said that you would expect all possible outcomes. Some people will win everything, some will win nothing, some will win something. The lower the demand for the shows you request, the better your chances of winning everything. And, yes, there will be some people who get everything even among the high-demand shows.

If you go back through the 70 pages of this thread relevant to North America, you will see all varieties of outcomes. People are glossing over the mixed outcomes and paying special attention to the all-or-nothing outcomes.

For example, people have referred to lots of people going 10-for-10, but exactly two people in this thread (as of page 89) have reported going 10-for-10.

PhartN

Lowlight11 said:

BloodMeridian80 said:

Lowlight11 said:

Does anyone know when the fan to fan opens up?

My guess would be 1st or 2nd week of March (at least for the Leg 1 shows), but it is not known at this point.

OK thanks! I need to offload some shows. I went 4/4 and was not expecting that having been shut out for years!

which shows, I might be interested?  I went 0/3

BloodMeridian80

BF25394 said:

Lerxst1992 said:

Didn’t you (maybe another member?) earlier say it wasn’t common to have multiple winners for high demand shows?
...

considering such low odds and how high demand these cities are, it seems very weird considering how many in northeast are completely shut out. I’ve seen ALOT of members here with this type of luck. Great for them , but very weird.

I have said that you would expect all possible outcomes. Some people will win everything, some will win nothing, some will win something. The lower the demand for the shows you request, the better your chances of winning everything. And, yes, there will be some people who get everything even among the high-demand shows.

If you go back through the 70 pages of this thread relevant to North America, you will see all varieties of outcomes. People are glossing over the mixed outcomes and paying special attention to the all-or-nothing outcomes.

For example, people have referred to lots of people going 10-for-10, but exactly two people in this thread (as of page 89) have reported going 10-for-10.

Can you show me a N1 P1 and N2 GA result from 2-show city from the same TC account? The one example highlighted a few pages back turned out not to be from the same account. I do agree that there were bound to be some of the 0-fer and all-fer outcomes, but there also seems to be some real oddities with the double GA's for one city.

NewfieintheUSA

BloodMeridian80 said:

BF25394 said:

Lerxst1992 said:

Didn’t you (maybe another member?) earlier say it wasn’t common to have multiple winners for high demand shows?
...

considering such low odds and how high demand these cities are, it seems very weird considering how many in northeast are completely shut out. I’ve seen ALOT of members here with this type of luck. Great for them , but very weird.

I have said that you would expect all possible outcomes. Some people will win everything, some will win nothing, some will win something. The lower the demand for the shows you request, the better your chances of winning everything. And, yes, there will be some people who get everything even among the high-demand shows.

If you go back through the 70 pages of this thread relevant to North America, you will see all varieties of outcomes. People are glossing over the mixed outcomes and paying special attention to the all-or-nothing outcomes.

For example, people have referred to lots of people going 10-for-10, but exactly two people in this thread (as of page 89) have reported going 10-for-10.

Can you show me a N1 P1 and N2 GA result from 2-show city from the same TC account? The one example highlighted a few pages back turned out not to be from the same account. I do agree that there were bound to be some of the 0-fer and all-fer outcomes, but there also seems to be some real oddities with the double GA's for one city.

I saw someone on FB hit Philly x2 and Boston x2 GA on the same account 

EVOLUTIONBABAY

PhartN said:

Lowlight11 said:

BloodMeridian80 said:

Lowlight11 said:

Does anyone know when the fan to fan opens up?

My guess would be 1st or 2nd week of March (at least for the Leg 1 shows), but it is not known at this point.

OK thanks! I need to offload some shows. I went 4/4 and was not expecting that having been shut out for years!

which shows, I might be interested?  I went 0/3

LIKEWISE.

BF25394

SHZA said:

BF25394 said:

NewfieintheUSA said:

BF25394 said:

Vedder4Prez said:

NewfieintheUSA said:

Vedder4Prez said:

NickTender said:

Vedd Hedd said:

Keep checking with your credit card companies to see if they declined the transactions.  Don't wait for Ticketmaster to tell you.  

10C was extremely helpful last tour, and they have been this tour too, trying to get tickets in the hands of people who lost out due to strange issues.  If you were drawn, but your Credit Card declined the transaction, you may not even know it.  If you find out that your card declined, contact 10C at tickets@tenclub.net and also TM at tenclubsupport@ticketmaster.com

This is what I am paranoid about, but I see no indications/alerts that a charge was denied. How does one know? 

I called Chase and asked if any charges were attempted that were denied. They said yes 2 at $380ish. I asked why I wasn't told. They said sorry not sure why you weren't told by Chase. 

Chase told you they weren't sure why they didn't tell you?

Nope.. They removed it and all good to go. Didn't help being a federal holiday I feel like. but I'm .1% who got screwed so oh well 

Had you given your bank a heads-up that there might be charges as the ticketing instructions suggested?

Dude the bank literally doesn't care. You can tell them, but they don't and can't do anything with that info 

I called my bank and gave them a heads-up. They noted it on my account, and then they did not blink at over $2,200 in charges on my card. This is from someone who rarely charges more than $500 in a month.

That's only one data point. Means nothing. Most banks use a fraud algorithm that can't be manually bypassed 

When someone asserts that banks won't do anything, and you provide a data point that shows that the bank did do something, then one data point is sufficient to disprove the assertion.

mookieb14

BloodMeridian80 said:

BF25394 said:

Lerxst1992 said:

Didn’t you (maybe another member?) earlier say it wasn’t common to have multiple winners for high demand shows?
...

considering such low odds and how high demand these cities are, it seems very weird considering how many in northeast are completely shut out. I’ve seen ALOT of members here with this type of luck. Great for them , but very weird.

I have said that you would expect all possible outcomes. Some people will win everything, some will win nothing, some will win something. The lower the demand for the shows you request, the better your chances of winning everything. And, yes, there will be some people who get everything even among the high-demand shows.

If you go back through the 70 pages of this thread relevant to North America, you will see all varieties of outcomes. People are glossing over the mixed outcomes and paying special attention to the all-or-nothing outcomes.

For example, people have referred to lots of people going 10-for-10, but exactly two people in this thread (as of page 89) have reported going 10-for-10.

Can you show me a N1 P1 and N2 GA result from 2-show city from the same TC account? The one example highlighted a few pages back turned out not to be from the same account. I do agree that there were bound to be some of the 0-fer and all-fer outcomes, but there also seems to be some real oddities with the double GA's for one city.

Also curious 

TheAnc31

EVOLUTIONBABAY said:

PhartN said:

Lowlight11 said:

BloodMeridian80 said:

Lowlight11 said:

Does anyone know when the fan to fan opens up?

My guess would be 1st or 2nd week of March (at least for the Leg 1 shows), but it is not known at this point.

OK thanks! I need to offload some shows. I went 4/4 and was not expecting that having been shut out for years!

which shows, I might be interested?  I went 0/3

LIKEWISE.

Same here, lol

BF25394

steven87 said:

BF25394 said:

steven87 said:

Finally getting around to posting my results:

Vancouver N1 and N2- P1 reserved
MSG N1- nothing
MSG N2- P2 reserved
Philly N1- P1 reserved
Philly N2- GA
Baltimore- P1 reserved

Feel very fortunate to have scored my first GA ever in a 10c lottery (in about 50 attempts). Now on to F2F to try to upgrade the rest!

Here's another person who had a split GA/P1 result in a city.

Sorry I should’ve been more specific here and inadvertently created some confusion by combining the results from mine and my wife’s accounts. 

My account:
Vancouver N1 and N2- P1 reserved
MSG N1- nothing
MSG N2- P2 reserved
Philly N1 and N2- P1 reserved
Baltimore- P1 reserved

Wife’s account
MSG N1- nothing
MSG N2- nothing
Philly N2- GA

My wife only put in for Philly N2, not N1. I guess in retrospect she should’ve also put in for N1 cause it sounds like she probably would’ve won GA for that as well. Based on what I’ve seen on here and FB, it seems like a lot of people got the same result for both nights of a two-night stand- i.e., P1 or GA. If I had to venture a guess, it sounds like what may have happened here is that the lottery may have been run for each city, as opposed to each individual show. But ultimately who knows. 

There are a bunch of examples of people with split results in the same city-- I started pointing them out on about page 80, but there were dozens more in the sixty pages before that-- which would not happen if the lottery had been run by city instead of by show.

PearlJamPerk

Anyone get new ticket confirmations today?  I haven’t seen anyone confirm that tickets are still going out….???