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2020 Election Predictions

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Comments

  • brianluxbrianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain.Posts: 32,760
    brianlux said:
    I predicted I'll have a drink... I'm having a fucking drink!  :lol:
    Just one???

    Don't get me started.
    Oh, wait, too late.
    OK, number two... comin' up!
    “In all human affairs there are efforts, and there are results, and the strength of the effort is the measure of the result.”
    -James Allen










  • CM189191CM189191 Minneapolis via ChicagoPosts: 6,074
    brianlux said:
    brianlux said:
    I predicted I'll have a drink... I'm having a fucking drink!  :lol:
    Just one???

    Don't get me started.
    Oh, wait, too late.
    OK, number two... comin' up!
    I'm ready


    WI 6/27/98 WI 10/8/00 MO 10/11/00 IL 4/23/03 MN 6/26/06 MN 6/27/06 WI 6/30/06 IL 8/5/07 IL 8/21/08 (EV) IL 8/22/08 (EV) IL 8/23/09 IL 8/24/09 IN 5/7/10 IL 6/28/11 (EV) IL 6/29/11 (EV) WI 9/3/11 WI 9/4/11 IL 7/19/13 NE 10/09/14 IL 10/17/14 MN 10/19/14 FL 4/11/16 IL 8/20/16 IL 8/22/16 IL 08/18/18 IL 08/20/18 IT 07/05/2020 AT 07/07/2020
  • CM189191CM189191 Minneapolis via ChicagoPosts: 6,074


    WI 6/27/98 WI 10/8/00 MO 10/11/00 IL 4/23/03 MN 6/26/06 MN 6/27/06 WI 6/30/06 IL 8/5/07 IL 8/21/08 (EV) IL 8/22/08 (EV) IL 8/23/09 IL 8/24/09 IN 5/7/10 IL 6/28/11 (EV) IL 6/29/11 (EV) WI 9/3/11 WI 9/4/11 IL 7/19/13 NE 10/09/14 IL 10/17/14 MN 10/19/14 FL 4/11/16 IL 8/20/16 IL 8/22/16 IL 08/18/18 IL 08/20/18 IT 07/05/2020 AT 07/07/2020
  • brianluxbrianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain.Posts: 32,760
    CM189191 said:
    brianlux said:
    brianlux said:
    I predicted I'll have a drink... I'm having a fucking drink!  :lol:
    Just one???

    Don't get me started.
    Oh, wait, too late.
    OK, number two... comin' up!
    I'm ready



    Alright!  Cheers, CM!   I'll hit you up for a shot of that Drambuie Tuesday night.

    Stiff upper lip, all.  Here we go.
    “In all human affairs there are efforts, and there are results, and the strength of the effort is the measure of the result.”
    -James Allen










  • josevolutionjosevolution Posts: 24,240
    CM189191 said:


    Who are these deplorables let me guess Linda’s family members or the pizza maker?
    jesus greets me looks just like me ....
  • CM189191CM189191 Minneapolis via ChicagoPosts: 6,074
    brianlux said:
    CM189191 said:
    brianlux said:
    brianlux said:
    I predicted I'll have a drink... I'm having a fucking drink!  :lol:
    Just one???

    Don't get me started.
    Oh, wait, too late.
    OK, number two... comin' up!
    I'm ready



    Alright!  Cheers, CM!   I'll hit you up for a shot of that Drambuie Tuesday night.

    Stiff upper lip, all.  Here we go.
    Rusty Nail is my new favorite drink lately

    1 part Drambuie
    2 parts Scotch
    add ice and stir
    WI 6/27/98 WI 10/8/00 MO 10/11/00 IL 4/23/03 MN 6/26/06 MN 6/27/06 WI 6/30/06 IL 8/5/07 IL 8/21/08 (EV) IL 8/22/08 (EV) IL 8/23/09 IL 8/24/09 IN 5/7/10 IL 6/28/11 (EV) IL 6/29/11 (EV) WI 9/3/11 WI 9/4/11 IL 7/19/13 NE 10/09/14 IL 10/17/14 MN 10/19/14 FL 4/11/16 IL 8/20/16 IL 8/22/16 IL 08/18/18 IL 08/20/18 IT 07/05/2020 AT 07/07/2020
  • eeriepadaveeeriepadave West Chester, PAPosts: 34,004
    Prediction? I'm sure this will happen somewhere in the US


    bf959b1f-9b77-457c-baf8-038776f33339_zps8a6a389d.jpg?t=1365722973
    8/28/98- Camden, NJ
    10/31/09- Philly
    5/21/10- NYC
    9/2/12- Philly, PA
    7/19/13- Wrigley
    10/19/13- Brooklyn, NY
    10/21/13- Philly, PA
    10/22/13- Philly, PA
    10/27/13- Baltimore, MD
    Tres Mts.- 3/23/11- Philly
    Eddie Vedder- 6/25/11- Philly
  • Spiritual_ChaosSpiritual_Chaos Posts: 22,744
    Trump will somehow win.
    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • tbergstbergs Posts: 7,354
    Just did the interactive electoral map and went the aggressive route which gave Biden 405 to 131. If only it could be that much of a blow out.
    It's a hopeless situation...
  • Matts3221Matts3221 Posts: 450
    Trump will somehow win.


    I live in the Northeast ( New Hampshire ) I can tell you the amount of Trump signs in 2016 vs 2020 is way down , the amount of BLM signs have honestly surprised me , I feel hope and I really thing people will make the correct decision.

    I have no doubt that if it is close that Trump will dispute but in the end will still fall.

    God Forbid we have another four years , I think the senate will flip and the dems will hold the house and that takes a lot away from him. I don't want to think that route right now. I figure I can be optimistic and if Biden wins that keeps rolling , if he loses at least I had hope for a couple of days.


  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Your Mom'sPosts: 11,096
    Matts3221 said:
    Trump will somehow win.


    I live in the Northeast ( New Hampshire ) I can tell you the amount of Trump signs in 2016 vs 2020 is way down , the amount of BLM signs have honestly surprised me , I feel hope and I really thing people will make the correct decision.

    I have no doubt that if it is close that Trump will dispute but in the end will still fall.

    God Forbid we have another four years , I think the senate will flip and the dems will hold the house and that takes a lot away from him. I don't want to think that route right now. I figure I can be optimistic and if Biden wins that keeps rolling , if he loses at least I had hope for a couple of days.


    I have noticed that in Indiana.  My FB feed is full of tRumpsters but driving cross county a few weeks ago we noticed that the Biden/Trump signs were break even.  Four years ago there were significantly more tRump signs.
    Remember the Thomas Nine!! (10/02/2018)

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    2020: Oakland1, Oakland2
  • HughFreakingDillonHughFreakingDillon I'm from Winnipeg, you idiot! (Chris Jericho)Posts: 23,802
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
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    2003 - Fargo, ND
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    2014 - St. Paul, MN
    2020 - Ottawa, ON
  • mcgruff10mcgruff10 New JerseyPosts: 24,057
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
    I'm really nervous bud after 2016.
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
  • HughFreakingDillonHughFreakingDillon I'm from Winnipeg, you idiot! (Chris Jericho)Posts: 23,802
    mcgruff10 said:
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
    I'm really nervous bud after 2016.
    i go back and forth, but i think the pollsters, even though they were only wrong within the margin of error in 2016, are going to be extra conservative with making their predictions. 
    1993 - Gimli, MB (Sun/Mudfest)
    2003 - Fargo, ND
    2005 - Winnipeg, MB
    2011 - Minneapolis, MN (EV)
    2011 - Winnipeg, MB
    2014 - St. Paul, MN
    2020 - Ottawa, ON
  • PJNBPJNB New BrunswickPosts: 7,761
    mcgruff10 said:
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
    I'm really nervous bud after 2016.
    i go back and forth, but i think the pollsters, even though they were only wrong within the margin of error in 2016, are going to be extra conservative with making their predictions. 
    Voter turnout has to be a sign comparing to 2016. I just don't see Trump gaining those extra votes to put him over again where he barely won last time. 
    PJ
    2013 Worcester 1 & 2
    2016 Quebec, Toronto 2, Fenway 1&2, Wrigley 2
    2018 Prague, Krakow, Berlin, Seattle 2, Wrigley 2, Fenway 1&2 

    EV
    2017 Firenze, Taormina 1 & 2
  • HughFreakingDillonHughFreakingDillon I'm from Winnipeg, you idiot! (Chris Jericho)Posts: 23,802
    PJNB said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
    I'm really nervous bud after 2016.
    i go back and forth, but i think the pollsters, even though they were only wrong within the margin of error in 2016, are going to be extra conservative with making their predictions. 
    Voter turnout has to be a sign comparing to 2016. I just don't see Trump gaining those extra votes to put him over again where he barely won last time. 
    agreed. it's two fold. trump hasn't really increased his base at all, and with the turnout looking massive, that has to translate into big numbers for biden. 

    IT HAS TO
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    2003 - Fargo, ND
    2005 - Winnipeg, MB
    2011 - Minneapolis, MN (EV)
    2011 - Winnipeg, MB
    2014 - St. Paul, MN
    2020 - Ottawa, ON
  • josevolutionjosevolution Posts: 24,240
    I’m watching old shows lol I’m a wuzz watching Bonanza & the waltons lol can’t watch any coverage yet, I’ll make a dry martini around 7:30 suck it down in two sips and tune in and see where we are in the election! 
    jesus greets me looks just like me ....
  • static111static111 Posts: 1,883
    PJNB said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
    I'm really nervous bud after 2016.
    i go back and forth, but i think the pollsters, even though they were only wrong within the margin of error in 2016, are going to be extra conservative with making their predictions. 
    Voter turnout has to be a sign comparing to 2016. I just don't see Trump gaining those extra votes to put him over again where he barely won last time. 
    agreed. it's two fold. trump hasn't really increased his base at all, and with the turnout looking massive, that has to translate into big numbers for biden. 

    IT HAS TO
    Imagine if out of nowhere we get a Howie Hawkins lol
  • PJNBPJNB New BrunswickPosts: 7,761
    FL is going Blue and we know by 9est tonight Biden will win. That or we are in for 3 days of hell waiting for PA and a Trump win. That is my best case and worse case prediction. 
    PJ
    2013 Worcester 1 & 2
    2016 Quebec, Toronto 2, Fenway 1&2, Wrigley 2
    2018 Prague, Krakow, Berlin, Seattle 2, Wrigley 2, Fenway 1&2 

    EV
    2017 Firenze, Taormina 1 & 2
  • RoleModelsinBlood31RoleModelsinBlood31 Austin TXPosts: 5,644
    PJNB said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
    I'm really nervous bud after 2016.
    i go back and forth, but i think the pollsters, even though they were only wrong within the margin of error in 2016, are going to be extra conservative with making their predictions. 
    Voter turnout has to be a sign comparing to 2016. I just don't see Trump gaining those extra votes to put him over again where he barely won last time. 
    agreed. it's two fold. trump hasn't really increased his base at all, and with the turnout looking massive, that has to translate into big numbers for biden. 

    IT HAS TO
    Dems misjudged this one, and it will be studied and discussed for the next 4 years.  The trump base is enormous and energized like they weren’t in 2016, and he gained a TON of never Trumpers, Hispanics and black votes this time around.  
    I'm like an opening band for your mom.
  • Halifax2TheMaxHalifax2TheMax Posts: 26,106
    PJNB said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
    I'm really nervous bud after 2016.
    i go back and forth, but i think the pollsters, even though they were only wrong within the margin of error in 2016, are going to be extra conservative with making their predictions. 
    Voter turnout has to be a sign comparing to 2016. I just don't see Trump gaining those extra votes to put him over again where he barely won last time. 
    agreed. it's two fold. trump hasn't really increased his base at all, and with the turnout looking massive, that has to translate into big numbers for biden. 

    IT HAS TO
    Dems misjudged this one, and it will be studied and discussed for the next 4 years.  The trump base is enormous and energized like they weren’t in 2016, and he gained a TON of never Trumpers, Hispanics and black votes this time around.  
    Is that enormous Team Trump Treason Tax Cheat base energized by those Hillary, Obama and Sleepy Woke Joe Basement Biden indictments?

    Team Trump Treason Tax Cheat picked up 1% of black voter support and 6% of Hispanic voters but he’s way, way down in every other demographic, including NCW and particularly suburban women. Hardly “enormous.” Keep the jokes coming.
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  • PJNBPJNB New BrunswickPosts: 7,761
    PJNB said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
    I'm really nervous bud after 2016.
    i go back and forth, but i think the pollsters, even though they were only wrong within the margin of error in 2016, are going to be extra conservative with making their predictions. 
    Voter turnout has to be a sign comparing to 2016. I just don't see Trump gaining those extra votes to put him over again where he barely won last time. 
    agreed. it's two fold. trump hasn't really increased his base at all, and with the turnout looking massive, that has to translate into big numbers for biden. 

    IT HAS TO
    Dems misjudged this one, and it will be studied and discussed for the next 4 years.  The trump base is enormous and energized like they weren’t in 2016, and he gained a TON of never Trumpers, Hispanics and black votes this time around.  
    One thing is for certain you are either right or wrong! 
    PJ
    2013 Worcester 1 & 2
    2016 Quebec, Toronto 2, Fenway 1&2, Wrigley 2
    2018 Prague, Krakow, Berlin, Seattle 2, Wrigley 2, Fenway 1&2 

    EV
    2017 Firenze, Taormina 1 & 2
  • static111static111 Posts: 1,883
    PJNB said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
    I'm really nervous bud after 2016.
    i go back and forth, but i think the pollsters, even though they were only wrong within the margin of error in 2016, are going to be extra conservative with making their predictions. 
    Voter turnout has to be a sign comparing to 2016. I just don't see Trump gaining those extra votes to put him over again where he barely won last time. 
    agreed. it's two fold. trump hasn't really increased his base at all, and with the turnout looking massive, that has to translate into big numbers for biden. 

    IT HAS TO
    Dems misjudged this one, and it will be studied and discussed for the next 4 years.  The trump base is enormous and energized like they weren’t in 2016, and he gained a TON of never Trumpers, Hispanics and black votes this time around.  
    Is this a parody account?
  • HughFreakingDillonHughFreakingDillon I'm from Winnipeg, you idiot! (Chris Jericho)Posts: 23,802
    PJNB said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
    I'm really nervous bud after 2016.
    i go back and forth, but i think the pollsters, even though they were only wrong within the margin of error in 2016, are going to be extra conservative with making their predictions. 
    Voter turnout has to be a sign comparing to 2016. I just don't see Trump gaining those extra votes to put him over again where he barely won last time. 
    agreed. it's two fold. trump hasn't really increased his base at all, and with the turnout looking massive, that has to translate into big numbers for biden. 

    IT HAS TO
    Dems misjudged this one, and it will be studied and discussed for the next 4 years.  The trump base is enormous and energized like they weren’t in 2016, and he gained a TON of never Trumpers, Hispanics and black votes this time around.  
    i'd like to know where you get this from. you're literally the only person, all sides included, that has claimed this. 
    1993 - Gimli, MB (Sun/Mudfest)
    2003 - Fargo, ND
    2005 - Winnipeg, MB
    2011 - Minneapolis, MN (EV)
    2011 - Winnipeg, MB
    2014 - St. Paul, MN
    2020 - Ottawa, ON
  • PJNBPJNB New BrunswickPosts: 7,761
    PJNB said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
    I'm really nervous bud after 2016.
    i go back and forth, but i think the pollsters, even though they were only wrong within the margin of error in 2016, are going to be extra conservative with making their predictions. 
    Voter turnout has to be a sign comparing to 2016. I just don't see Trump gaining those extra votes to put him over again where he barely won last time. 
    agreed. it's two fold. trump hasn't really increased his base at all, and with the turnout looking massive, that has to translate into big numbers for biden. 

    IT HAS TO
    Dems misjudged this one, and it will be studied and discussed for the next 4 years.  The trump base is enormous and energized like they weren’t in 2016, and he gained a TON of never Trumpers, Hispanics and black votes this time around.  
    i'd like to know where you get this from. you're literally the only person, all sides included, that has claimed this. 
    Texas in 2012 was +16 GOP, 2016 +9 GOP, this one is going to be closer than that. Maybe that is what he is talking about? Texas closer than Dems imagined? 
    PJ
    2013 Worcester 1 & 2
    2016 Quebec, Toronto 2, Fenway 1&2, Wrigley 2
    2018 Prague, Krakow, Berlin, Seattle 2, Wrigley 2, Fenway 1&2 

    EV
    2017 Firenze, Taormina 1 & 2
  • mcgruff10mcgruff10 New JerseyPosts: 24,057
    I will be shocked if Texas goes to Biden.  If texas does go blue I will play you are 38 times in a row to represent the 38 electoral votes Biden got in the Lone Star State.
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
  • RunIntoTheRainRunIntoTheRain TexasPosts: 843
    mcgruff10 said:
    I will be shocked if Texas goes to Biden.  If texas does go blue I will play you are 38 times in a row to represent the 38 electoral votes Biden got in the Lone Star State.
    With the sound turned on? ;)
  • PJNBPJNB New BrunswickPosts: 7,761
    mcgruff10 said:
    I will be shocked if Texas goes to Biden.  If texas does go blue I will play you are 38 times in a row to represent the 38 electoral votes Biden got in the Lone Star State.
    LOL! I will do the same but choose Sleeping By Myself. Beto put in work the last couple of months it looks like. 
    PJ
    2013 Worcester 1 & 2
    2016 Quebec, Toronto 2, Fenway 1&2, Wrigley 2
    2018 Prague, Krakow, Berlin, Seattle 2, Wrigley 2, Fenway 1&2 

    EV
    2017 Firenze, Taormina 1 & 2
  • OnWis97OnWis97 St. Paul, MNPosts: 3,264
    PJNB said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    with this many people voting, I have a feeling this is going to be a trouncing. the media is going to keep saying it's close no matter what; they need to keep the drama as high as possible so people tune in. 

    I don't know. I just have this feeling he's going down in an epic ball of orange fire. 
    I'm really nervous bud after 2016.
    i go back and forth, but i think the pollsters, even though they were only wrong within the margin of error in 2016, are going to be extra conservative with making their predictions. 
    Voter turnout has to be a sign comparing to 2016. I just don't see Trump gaining those extra votes to put him over again where he barely won last time. 
    agreed. it's two fold. trump hasn't really increased his base at all, and with the turnout looking massive, that has to translate into big numbers for biden. 

    IT HAS TO
    Dems misjudged this one, and it will be studied and discussed for the next 4 years.  The trump base is enormous and energized like they weren’t in 2016, and he gained a TON of never Trumpers, Hispanics and black votes this time around.  

    If this is the case, the studying will be for naught.  The Democratic Party is done.  It's a one-party system: the GOP/Party of Trump.  And my statement that the United States exists in the image of Donald Trump is right, and my fears of autocracy aren't nearly as crazy as many of you think.
    1995 Milwaukee
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  • tbergstbergs Posts: 7,354
    mcgruff10 said:
    I will be shocked if Texas goes to Biden.  If texas does go blue I will play you are 38 times in a row to represent the 38 electoral votes Biden got in the Lone Star State.
    Doesn't count if you don't take a video and post it ;) Maybe even do multiple camera angles so @mrussel1 can make a video from the raw footage.
    It's a hopeless situation...
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