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  • mrussel1
    mrussel1 Posts: 30,879
    @Lerxst1992 This is another example of under-sampling.  Both most recent polls on the special election had the Democrat up by 4 and within the MOE.  He outperformed the polls by four points.  Considering the polling is within a small congressional district, it should be even more accurate.  
  • mickeyrat
    mickeyrat Posts: 44,342
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • mickeyrat
    mickeyrat Posts: 44,342
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • gimmesometruth27
    gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 24,031
    mrussel1 said:
    Blowout
    i heard frank luntz called this "the final wake up call for the gop house". whatever the fuck that means, as we all know they will triple down on their unpopular positions on basically everything.
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • mrussel1 said:
    Blowout
    i heard frank luntz called this "the final wake up call for the gop house". whatever the fuck that means, as we all know they will triple down on their unpopular positions on basically everything.
    The POOTWH minority wing of the party, and I’m not sure they’re the minority, is owned lock, stock and barrel by Putin on the ritz. Of course they’re going to quadruple down.
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

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  • mrussel1
    mrussel1 Posts: 30,879
    mrussel1 said:
    Blowout
    i heard frank luntz called this "the final wake up call for the gop house". whatever the fuck that means, as we all know they will triple down on their unpopular positions on basically everything.
    Right, their takeaway is that they were not extreme enough and the mass of right wing voters stayed home.  
  • josevolution
    josevolution Posts: 31,553
    Nice job ha off for two weeks! After another mass shooting and this https://www.threads.net/@barryrmccaffrey/post/C3WP7q5v9Q1/?igshid=NTc4MTIwNjQ2YQ==
    jesus greets me looks just like me ....
  • yup, it’s a cult.

    Much of the GOP is on-board with the Taylor Swift conspiracy theories

    A new poll shows nearly one-third of Republicans believe Swift is part of a ‘covert government effort.’ Those who have heard of the theory are about evenly split.

    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

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  • mickeyrat
    mickeyrat Posts: 44,342
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • brianlux
    brianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 43,661
    yup, it’s a cult.

    Much of the GOP is on-board with the Taylor Swift conspiracy theories

    A new poll shows nearly one-third of Republicans believe Swift is part of a ‘covert government effort.’ Those who have heard of the theory are about evenly split.


    You've really gotta watch out for Taylor Swift and her radical band of left wing senators:

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    "It's a sad and beautiful world"
    -Roberto Benigni

  • Scrolling down I wasn't expecting to see a hockey player.  Hilarious; well done!

  • brianlux
    brianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 43,661
    Scrolling down I wasn't expecting to see a hockey player.  Hilarious; well done!


    LOL.  Would of be a Washington Senator, but that baseball team is long gone!
    "It's a sad and beautiful world"
    -Roberto Benigni

  • gimmesometruth27
    gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 24,031
    yup, it’s a cult.

    Much of the GOP is on-board with the Taylor Swift conspiracy theories

    A new poll shows nearly one-third of Republicans believe Swift is part of a ‘covert government effort.’ Those who have heard of the theory are about evenly split.

    i know i have said it before, but we really are in the stupidest of all timelines.
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • yup, it’s a cult.

    Much of the GOP is on-board with the Taylor Swift conspiracy theories

    A new poll shows nearly one-third of Republicans believe Swift is part of a ‘covert government effort.’ Those who have heard of the theory are about evenly split.

    i know i have said it before, but we really are in the stupidest of all timelines.
    You can say that again.

    https://www.instagram.com/reel/C3NVgcOMZVF/?igsh=aDM5NmFjOTBvZHA1
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

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  • Gern Blansten
    Gern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 22,153


    And the crazy thing...virtually all of these magats voting for tRump voted for Mittens...now he's toxic
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

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  • OnWis97
    OnWis97 St. Paul, MN Posts: 5,610


    And the crazy thing...virtually all of these magats voting for tRump voted for Mittens...now he's toxic
    They're the same people who called anyone "Unamerican" for not thinking GW Bush walked on water. The right-wing pundit outrage machine is just telling them different things now. 
    1995 Milwaukee     1998 Alpine, Alpine     2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston     2004 Boston, Boston     2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty)     2011 Alpine, Alpine     
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  • mickeyrat
    mickeyrat Posts: 44,342
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • mickeyrat
    mickeyrat Posts: 44,342

    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • mickeyrat
    mickeyrat Posts: 44,342
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • Which side are you on? Has anyone asked POOTWH for his comments on the death of Navalny or is he too busy hawking his branded sneakers at $400 a pop?

    Opinion  Alexei Navalny and the fight to save Russian democracy

    When Alexei Navalny returned to Russia in 2021, after treatment abroad for a near-fatal poisoning by Russian government agents, he knew he would likely be imprisoned for his opposition to President Vladimir Putin. And he knew that, in Russia, a prison sentence could become a death sentence. Despite the risks, he went back to confront Mr. Putin’s deepening repression, and refused to be silent, even when he was sentenced to 19 years on trumped-up charges — which he was serving at a remote Russian penal colony in the Arctic. That is where Mr. Navalny died on Friday at the age of 47; we don’t know exactly how he met his end, but we know why. Mr. Putin bears responsibility.

    The Kremlin leader has a taste for the trappings of wealth but only distaste for true political competition. After coming to power in 2000, he easily shoved aside wealthy oligarchs, muted the independent media and installed his own cronies as the new elite. But in later years, he faced in Mr. Navalny a true rival. Mr. Navalny summoned tens of thousands of people to the streets to protest the “party of crooks and thieves,” as he called Mr. Putin and his cadre of former KGB men. Mr. Navalny captured the hopes of many Russians to be a normal country — a democratic one.

    Mr. Putin undoubtedly hopes that Mr. Navalny’s death not only eliminates an irrepressible, principled and courageous opponent, but also will squelch the aspirations he embodied for so many others: to live without fear from the state, to choose their leaders, to say and think what they believe, to make free choices in a free market and to travel the world. All of these liberties were denied in the Soviet Union, where Mr. Navalny was born; they were unleashed tentatively under the last Soviet leader, Mikhail Gorbachev, and then fully during the presidency of Boris Yeltsin, when Mr. Navalny came of age.

    Yeltsin failed in one crucial respect, to establish the rule of law. Russia was thrust into an era of fierce oligarchic capitalism: wild, violent and corrupt. This profoundly shaped Mr. Navalny’s early career after law school, when he focused on fighting corruption by exposing it. He was also a youthful nationalist who campaigned against immigration to Russia from Central Asia and who took part in a march in Moscow that drew some extremists.

    As Mr. Putin pushed Russia deeper into dictatorship, especially after the protests of 2011-2012, Mr. Navalny evolved into more of a champion of democracy and practical political action. His campaign for mayor of Moscow in 2013 displayed a flair for grass-roots mobilization. It spawned a national movement. Mr. Navalny pioneered Smart Voting, an app that challenged United Russia, the Kremlin-backed party, by helping voters find local candidates opposed to Mr. Putin’s party. Mr. Navalny and his associates also demonstrated extraordinary talent with video, creating a series of YouTube documentaries that exposed the lavish lifestyles of Mr. Putin and his elite. Even from his Arctic jail cell, Mr. Navalny just a few weeks ago proposed ways that millions of Russians could protest on the day of Russia’s upcoming presidential election, which Mr. Putin is certain to win without serious competition.

    Through it all, Mr. Putin tried desperately to repress Mr. Navalny and his movement using censorship, subversion, arrests and the attempted poisoning of Mr. Navalny with the nerve agent Novichok while he was on a trip in central Russia in August 2020. Mr. Navalny survived and fought back with an incredible, steely determination. An Oscar-winning documentary film about his struggle shows him on the phone with one of the poisoning’s perpetrators — an officer of Russia’s Federal Security Service — coaxing the man into a devastating confession.

    For all his personal suffering, Mr. Navalny never succumbed to despair or lost his mordant sense of humor. Trapped in solitary confinement in prison, he noted on X (formerly Twitter) that he was held in “a 2.5 x 3 meter concrete kennel.” Most of the time, these cells were cold and damp, he said, but “I got the beach version — it’s very hot and there’s almost no air.” He was often denied a pencil and paper but, in November, having been imprisoned for more than 1,000 days, he posted an appeal for Russians to read books about their own recent history.

    Mr. Navalny’s death is a reminder to the United States and its allies that, in Mr. Putin, they are up against a ruthless foe whose primary method is to use force. Mr. Navalny’s death is an enormous loss to his family and friends, and to the ideal of a free and democratic Russia. But such ideals cannot be slain. Mr. Navalny’s legacy will be a never-ending struggle to realize them.

    Opinion | Alexei Navalny died in struggle for democracy - The Washington Post

    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

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