Baltimore odds

agentpinckney

I just looked up my confirmation email for my submission to Baltimore, and at 9:56pm Eastern on 1/15, the odds were 15% GA and 68% Reserved.

HollisBrown

Fingers xd for reserved. Good luck

buck502000

So you're saying there is a chance???

agentpinckney

buck502000 said:

So you're saying there is a chance???

Yes! (But also 85% and 32% chances to lose ... maybe even higher numbers because there were still a few hours left to put in requests!)

lmckenney24

Good luck everyone. Let the roller coaster begin 

agentpinckney

lmckenney24 said:

Good luck everyone. Let the roller coaster begin 

LOL!

OceansJenny

Someone’s gotta win!

agentpinckney

OceansJenny said:

Someone’s gotta win!

Bingo!!!

Lowlight11

Baltimore final odds were GA 14% and RS 65%

agentpinckney

Let's not forget that Baltimore was the setting of one of the great police dramas and characters (Andre Braugher as Frank Pembeton), Homicide: Life on the Street.

SHZA

I submitted 3 hours after that (2 hours left) and it was 14% GA. Had it as my first priority so hoping it works out

BennyLaRue

Lowlight11 said:

Baltimore final odds were GA 14% and RS 65%

on2legs

agentpinckney said:

Let's not forget that Baltimore was the setting of one of the great police dramas and characters (Andre Braugher as Frank Pembeton), Homicide: Life on the Street.

Also... The Wire which is the greatest of all police dramas.  Homicide was pretty good.  

hailhail8

I’m gonna say the odds are better due to the amount of mistakes it seems people are making. Like different names on TM and 10C accounts, etc. 

F Me In The Brain

on2legs said:

agentpinckney said:

Let's not forget that Baltimore was the setting of one of the great police dramas and characters (Andre Braugher as Frank Pembeton), Homicide: Life on the Street.

Also... The Wire which is the greatest of all police dramas.  Homicide was pretty good.  

This
I put Balt res as 2nd pick.  Haven't seen a show at that barn, look forward to it 

sanckner

hailhail8 said:

I’m gonna say the odds are better due to the amount of mistakes it seems people are making. Like different names on TM and 10C accounts, etc. 

I’m curious if logging in to check where the odds were at after submitting a request deleted your request — like logging in generated a new request and if you submitted nothing and just closed the browser, you had no entry. I know a lot of people did that. I did. But I got paranoid about it so resubmitted my requests a couple hours before the deadline. So far I’ve gotten my 3 & 4 choices (OAK 1 & 2 BA). First and second are MSG and BAL ... fingers still crossed. 

Lowlight11

sanckner said:

hailhail8 said:

I’m gonna say the odds are better due to the amount of mistakes it seems people are making. Like different names on TM and 10C accounts, etc. 

I’m curious if logging in to check where the odds were at after submitting a request deleted your request — like logging in generated a new request and if you submitted nothing and just closed the browser, you had no entry. I know a lot of people did that. I did. But I got paranoid about it so resubmitted my requests a couple hours before the deadline. So far I’ve gotten my 3 & 4 choices (OAK 1 & 2 BA). First and second are MSG and BAL ... fingers still crossed. 

You just brought my panic to a whole new level! I'm pretty sure that you would get a cancellation notice for your first order and then a new confirmation.

incidental immortality

SHZA said:

I submitted 3 hours after that (2 hours left) and it was 14% GA. Had it as my first priority so hoping it works out

I wonder how they calculated the odds considering BA. Would one BA entry count against both GA and reserved odds?  If so that might help a little. 

sanckner

Lowlight11 said:

sanckner said:

hailhail8 said:

I’m gonna say the odds are better due to the amount of mistakes it seems people are making. Like different names on TM and 10C accounts, etc. 

I’m curious if logging in to check where the odds were at after submitting a request deleted your request — like logging in generated a new request and if you submitted nothing and just closed the browser, you had no entry. I know a lot of people did that. I did. But I got paranoid about it so resubmitted my requests a couple hours before the deadline. So far I’ve gotten my 3 & 4 choices (OAK 1 & 2 BA). First and second are MSG and BAL ... fingers still crossed. 

You just brought my panic to a whole new level! I'm pretty sure that you would get a cancellation notice for your first order and then a new confirmation.

When I rebooked, all I got was a new confirmation. No cancel notice on my prior request. So I don’t know. But I think it is plausible ...

SHZA

sanckner said:

hailhail8 said:

I’m gonna say the odds are better due to the amount of mistakes it seems people are making. Like different names on TM and 10C accounts, etc. 

I’m curious if logging in to check where the odds were at after submitting a request deleted your request — like logging in generated a new request and if you submitted nothing and just closed the browser, you had no entry. I know a lot of people did that. I did. But I got paranoid about it so resubmitted my requests a couple hours before the deadline. So far I’ve gotten my 3 & 4 choices (OAK 1 & 2 BA). First and second are MSG and BAL ... fingers still crossed. 

Ha I wondered the same thing so resubmitted mine as well at the last minute. I doubt it but who knows

andrewcurr

SHZA said:

sanckner said:

hailhail8 said:

I’m gonna say the odds are better due to the amount of mistakes it seems people are making. Like different names on TM and 10C accounts, etc. 

I’m curious if logging in to check where the odds were at after submitting a request deleted your request — like logging in generated a new request and if you submitted nothing and just closed the browser, you had no entry. I know a lot of people did that. I did. But I got paranoid about it so resubmitted my requests a couple hours before the deadline. So far I’ve gotten my 3 & 4 choices (OAK 1 & 2 BA). First and second are MSG and BAL ... fingers still crossed. 

Ha I wondered the same thing so resubmitted mine as well at the last minute. I doubt it but who knows

I was re-logging on to check odds frequently, after putting my requests in on day one. 

I went 3 for 3 on my canadian picks, so I wouldn’t worry about that at all.

pearldavidson

sanckner said:

hailhail8 said:

I’m gonna say the odds are better due to the amount of mistakes it seems people are making. Like different names on TM and 10C accounts, etc. 

I’m curious if logging in to check where the odds were at after submitting a request deleted your request — like logging in generated a new request and if you submitted nothing and just closed the browser, you had no entry. I know a lot of people did that. I did. But I got paranoid about it so resubmitted my requests a couple hours before the deadline. So far I’ve gotten my 3 & 4 choices (OAK 1 & 2 BA). First and second are MSG and BAL ... fingers still crossed. 

This has been confirmed not to be true per other threads and other people doing similar, but still winning tickets.

darnocnad

Baltimore was my only choice, just saw a $1.00 charge on my card minutes ago, dunno if that’s a good sign or not 

agentpinckney

darnocnad said:

Baltimore was my only choice, just saw a $1.00 charge on my card minutes ago, dunno if that’s a good sign or not 

I would say that's a good sign ...