'The Home Shows' X 'The Away Shows'

Tadams163

uberlance

I want to go to both shows in SEA and CHI and would prefer GA (like most judging by the current odds).  It looks like the Chicago shows are in higher demand as the odds are lower, whereas the SEA Reserved seating is 99% and 93%.  I'm a bit confused since after reading this thread it seems that the odds don't take the priorities into account and there seem to be a ton of reserved seats for 10C for these shows.  So, my question is whether it would be a bad idea to make my first four choices the GA for each show and then choices 5-8 as the reserved seating, rather than alternating between GA/reserved for each show with the lowest odds...  Thoughts/suggestions?

derbydave

uberlance said:

I want to go to both shows in SEA and CHI and would prefer GA (like most judging by the current odds).  It looks like the Chicago shows are in higher demand as the odds are lower, whereas the SEA Reserved seating is 99% and 93%.  I'm a bit confused since after reading this thread it seems that the odds don't take the priorities into account and there seem to be a ton of reserved seats for 10C for these shows.  So, my question is whether it would be a bad idea to make my first four choices the GA for each show and then choices 5-8 as the reserved seating, rather than alternating between GA/reserved for each show with the lowest odds...  Thoughts/suggestions?

With the odds the way they are now...
it's highly unlikely you will score GA tickets for the shows you've mentioned with anything other than a #1 choice.
You MAY get lucky and get them with a #2...
but I wouldn't count on it!!

uberlance

derbydave said:

With the odds the way they are now...
it's highly unlikely you will score GA tickets for the shows you've mentioned with anything other than a #1 choice.
You MAY get lucky and get them with a #2...
but I wouldn't count on it!!

So I'm thinking it would make the most sense to pick 2 shows and use picks 1 and 2 for those GA, then picks 3-4 for the reserved shows w/o 99% odds...

German Dominguez

So trying to add shows to enter, but I cant edit. Has the drawing window been closed?

derbydave

German Dominguez said:

So trying to add shows to enter, but I cant edit. Has the drawing window been closed?

You have to cancel your current entry & reenter a new one.

derbydave

uberlance said:

derbydave said:

With the odds the way they are now...
it's highly unlikely you will score GA tickets for the shows you've mentioned with anything other than a #1 choice.
You MAY get lucky and get them with a #2...
but I wouldn't count on it!!

So I'm thinking it would make the most sense to pick 2 shows and use picks 1 and 2 for those GA, then picks 3-4 for the reserved shows w/o 99% odds...

Of the shows you've mentioned...
Seattle 1 has the best odds for scoring GA tickets.
At 49%...half of the people who have requested these tickets won't get them.
The odds for the rest of the shows you want are less than that.
While in theory you could get your 2nd choice,
you have to decide if going for GA is worth the risk to miss out on your other shows!!

uberlance

derbydave said:

uberlance said:

derbydave said:

With the odds the way they are now...
it's highly unlikely you will score GA tickets for the shows you've mentioned with anything other than a #1 choice.
You MAY get lucky and get them with a #2...
but I wouldn't count on it!!

So I'm thinking it would make the most sense to pick 2 shows and use picks 1 and 2 for those GA, then picks 3-4 for the reserved shows w/o 99% odds...

Of the shows you've mentioned...
Seattle 1 has the best odds for scoring GA tickets.
At 49%...half of the people who have requested these tickets won't get them.
The odds for the rest of the shows you want are less than that.
While in theory you could get your 2nd choice,
you have to decide if going for GA is worth the risk to miss out on your other shows!!

 I'm sure I'm overthinking it but I'm trying to wrap my head around the odds not taking priorities into account... If the odds are 99%  for reserved (as they are currently for SEA 1, for example) that means that I shouldn't be concerned having that as an 8th priority pick because there is a 99% chance that all of the people that put in for that choice will get selected (regardless of their priority), right?

NewfieintheUSA

uberlance said:

derbydave said:

uberlance said:

derbydave said:

With the odds the way they are now...
it's highly unlikely you will score GA tickets for the shows you've mentioned with anything other than a #1 choice.
You MAY get lucky and get them with a #2...
but I wouldn't count on it!!

So I'm thinking it would make the most sense to pick 2 shows and use picks 1 and 2 for those GA, then picks 3-4 for the reserved shows w/o 99% odds...

Of the shows you've mentioned...
Seattle 1 has the best odds for scoring GA tickets.
At 49%...half of the people who have requested these tickets won't get them.
The odds for the rest of the shows you want are less than that.
While in theory you could get your 2nd choice,
you have to decide if going for GA is worth the risk to miss out on your other shows!!

 I'm sure I'm overthinking it but I'm trying to wrap my head around the odds not taking priorities into account... If the odds are 99%  for reserved (as they are currently for SEA 1, for example) that means that I shouldn't be concerned having that as an 8th priority pick because there is a 99% chance that all of the people that put in for that choice will get selected (regardless of their priority), right?

 CorrCorr

NewfieintheUSA

danielwryan said:

uberlance said:

derbydave said:

uberlance said:

derbydave said:

With the odds the way they are now...
it's highly unlikely you will score GA tickets for the shows you've mentioned with anything other than a #1 choice.
You MAY get lucky and get them with a #2...
but I wouldn't count on it!!

So I'm thinking it would make the most sense to pick 2 shows and use picks 1 and 2 for those GA, then picks 3-4 for the reserved shows w/o 99% odds...

Of the shows you've mentioned...
Seattle 1 has the best odds for scoring GA tickets.
At 49%...half of the people who have requested these tickets won't get them.
The odds for the rest of the shows you want are less than that.
While in theory you could get your 2nd choice,
you have to decide if going for GA is worth the risk to miss out on your other shows!!

 I'm sure I'm overthinking it but I'm trying to wrap my head around the odds not taking priorities into account... If the odds are 99%  for reserved (as they are currently for SEA 1, for example) that means that I shouldn't be concerned having that as an 8th priority pick because there is a 99% chance that all of the people that put in for that choice will get selected (regardless of their priority), right?

 CorrCorr

 Sorry  meant correct 

justBE23

OK, so I've been a fan since '93, but have never been to a live show...CRAZY, I know!  I'm in for the second Fenway show as my 1st choice, but want to ask the experienced bunch, what is the major plus of going to two shows in the same stadium?  Just trying to gauge if I should consider trying to go to the first show, since it would be tough to be away from my family for 5 days vs 3.  

uberlance

danielwryan said:

danielwryan said:

uberlance said:

derbydave said:

uberlance said:

derbydave said:

With the odds the way they are now...
it's highly unlikely you will score GA tickets for the shows you've mentioned with anything other than a #1 choice.
You MAY get lucky and get them with a #2...
but I wouldn't count on it!!

So I'm thinking it would make the most sense to pick 2 shows and use picks 1 and 2 for those GA, then picks 3-4 for the reserved shows w/o 99% odds...

Of the shows you've mentioned...
Seattle 1 has the best odds for scoring GA tickets.
At 49%...half of the people who have requested these tickets won't get them.
The odds for the rest of the shows you want are less than that.
While in theory you could get your 2nd choice,
you have to decide if going for GA is worth the risk to miss out on your other shows!!

 I'm sure I'm overthinking it but I'm trying to wrap my head around the odds not taking priorities into account... If the odds are 99%  for reserved (as they are currently for SEA 1, for example) that means that I shouldn't be concerned having that as an 8th priority pick because there is a 99% chance that all of the people that put in for that choice will get selected (regardless of their priority), right?

 CorrCorr

 Sorry  meant correct 

Thanks!

amethgr8

I say if I'm making the trip, I will go to two shows vs. one.

misterbean

All my eggs are in the Fenway 1 basket. Should I be feeling confident at 84% odds roughly 17 hours out? 

NewfieintheUSA

misterbean said:

All my eggs are in the Fenway 1 basket. Should I be feeling confident at 84% odds roughly 17 hours out? 

 Yes you sshoul 

PJ_ROCKS

MISSOULA here i come!!!

91% chance at GA as of  5 minutes ago!

woohoo

PJ_ROCKS

Sea
let the guys know that they need a make-up date and book the Gorge this year!!!

would pretty please help with that request?

justBE23

I say if I'm making the trip, I will go to two shows vs. one.

Amy The Great #74594

Thanks.  Just feeling guilty for leaving the fam.  Was watching the 2016 Fenway 2 concert on youTube today and it was awesome

amethgr8

It’s an unusual run and odds, making for a curious lottery.

Chadplam

amethgr8 said:

It’s an unusual run and odds, making for a curious lottery.

Since the odds tool came out would you say that this is one of the best percentages for shows we've seen? This is my first lotto and am just really surprised that Missoula GA is still as high as it is.