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What are the odds ...

kw18kw18 Posts: 3,909
edited June 2013 in All Encompassing Trip
I had my music player on shuffle, and Habit from No Code came on. The next song? Habit, from the 1998 Barrie show.

What are the odds? 1 out of 246,197.

...

I think. I was an English major, after all.

What were the odds for some inexplicable event that occurred for you?
"Where's KW?"
"Let's check Idaho."
Post edited by Unknown User on

Comments

  • davidtriosdavidtrios Posts: 9,732
    habit playing back to back is a habit in itself
  • afroannnieafroannnie Posts: 12,995
    kw18 wrote:
    I had my music player on shuffle, and Habit from No Code came on. The next song? Habit, from the 1998 Barrie show.

    What are the odds? 1 out of 246,197.

    ...

    I think. I was an English major, after all.

    What were the odds for some inexplicable event that occurred for you?

    Can I see your calculations? :corn:
    Show #13 was a lucky one for me....
  • peacefrompaulpeacefrompaul Posts: 25,293
    I was born

    What are the odds

    borat-dance.gif
  • pearljam133pearljam133 Posts: 202
    I'd be pretty pissed since Habit is by far my least favorite PJ song.
    5/2/2003 - Buffalo, NY
    5/9/2010 - Cleveland, OH
    9/11/2011 - Toronto, ONT
    9/12/2011 - Toronto, ONT
    7/19/2013 - Wrigley Field
    10/11/2013 - Pittsburgh, PA
    10/12/2013 - Buffalo, NY
  • kw18kw18 Posts: 3,909
    davidtrios wrote:
    habit playing back to back is a habit in itself

    :lol::lol:
    afroannnie wrote:

    Can I see your calculations? :corn:

    I have 11 versions of Habit, and 5,458 songs on my mp3 player. So 1/[(11/5,458)*(11/5,458)].

    Right? :?
    "Where's KW?"
    "Let's check Idaho."
  • kw18kw18 Posts: 3,909
    peacefrompaul wrote:
    I was born

    What are the odds

    borat-dance.gif

    Basically zero: http://visual.ly/what-are-odds

    That's either frightening or liberating, depending on your point of view, I suppose.
    "Where's KW?"
    "Let's check Idaho."
  • afroannnieafroannnie Posts: 12,995
    kw18 wrote:
    afroannnie wrote:

    Can I see your calculations? :corn:

    I have 11 versions of Habit, and 5,458 songs on my mp3 player. So 1/[(11/5,458)*(11/5,458)].

    Right? :?

    I think it depends on if your shuffler repeats? If not, I think it's whatever songs were left to be played...say there were 4,002 left, then it would be 1/4,002? I think it's the same as the old flipping a quarter question....what are the odds of getting heads? it's always 1/2..even if the previous 100 flips were heads.

    I think this is right...? :?
    Show #13 was a lucky one for me....
  • JonnyPistachioJonnyPistachio Posts: 10,217
    I remember when I posed a question to the woman I just met (who turned out to be my wife).
    I think I said, "what are the odds that you would like to get on my handlebars and come back to my place and listen to records?"

    the answer was: slim to none...
    thankfully.
    I was hammered and would've made a sloppy move on her.

    and PS - by "handlebars" I meant my bike, not my mustache. :P
    Pick up my debut novel here on amazon: Jonny Bails Floatin (in paperback) (also available on Kindle for $2.99)
  • mysticweedmysticweed Posts: 3,710
    JonnyPistachio wrote:

    and PS - by "handlebars" I meant my bike, not my mustache. :P

    too bad
    fuck 'em if they can't take a joke

    "what a long, strange trip it's been"
  • afroannnieafroannnie Posts: 12,995
    JonnyPistachio wrote:
    and PS - by "handlebars" I meant my bike, not my mustache. :P

    If you meant the mustache...her answer would have been yes for sure.
    I mean nobody ever says no to this guy...

    elliott.jpg
    Show #13 was a lucky one for me....
  • afroannnieafroannnie Posts: 12,995
    What are the odds of flying over 2,200 miles into the middle of nowhere and finding the most awesome person ever? :think:
    Show #13 was a lucky one for me....
  • RKCNDYRKCNDY Posts: 31,013
    afroannnie wrote:
    What are the odds of flying over 2,200 miles into the middle of nowhere and finding the most awesome person ever? :think:

    there was some arm twisting to figure into your calculations arm grabbed at 'x'°, rotated at 'y' angle, with 'z' torque...or something like that

    ...and to think, they also traveled (how many miles Dirty Frank-ing organizer?!?!?!) to go to a campground in the middle of nowhere and pick up dog poop. :lol:
    The joy of life comes from our encounters with new experiences, and hence there is no greater joy than to have an endlessly changing horizon, for each day to have a new and different sun.

    - Christopher McCandless
  • afroannnieafroannnie Posts: 12,995
    RKCNDY wrote:
    afroannnie wrote:
    What are the odds of flying over 2,200 miles into the middle of nowhere and finding the most awesome person ever? :think:

    there was some arm twisting to figure into your calculations arm grabbed at 'x'°, rotated at 'y' angle, with 'z' torque...or something like that

    ...and to think, they also traveled (how many miles Dirty Frank-ing organizer?!?!?!) to go to a campground in the middle of nowhere and pick up dog poop. :lol:

    and then the odds that I picked you to give my alpine ticket to...but then you passed it to unlost, who was my mt ticket (factor in odds of getting tix via public sale) buddy and master kidnapper....
    Show #13 was a lucky one for me....
  • RKCNDYRKCNDY Posts: 31,013
    afroannnie wrote:
    RKCNDY wrote:
    afroannnie wrote:
    What are the odds of flying over 2,200 miles into the middle of nowhere and finding the most awesome person ever? :think:

    there was some arm twisting to figure into your calculations arm grabbed at 'x'°, rotated at 'y' angle, with 'z' torque...or something like that

    ...and to think, they also traveled (how many miles Dirty Frank-ing organizer?!?!?!) to go to a campground in the middle of nowhere and pick up dog poop. :lol:

    and then the odds that I picked you to give my alpine ticket to...but then you passed it to unlost, who was my mt ticket (factor in odds of getting tix via public sale) buddy and master kidnapper....

    who was also the master planner of getting the cops off our trail whilst I was driving a very illegal clown car..."lemmie just get out and pretend like we're getting directions because we're lost"...
    The joy of life comes from our encounters with new experiences, and hence there is no greater joy than to have an endlessly changing horizon, for each day to have a new and different sun.

    - Christopher McCandless
  • afroannnieafroannnie Posts: 12,995
    RKCNDY wrote:
    who was also the master planner of getting the cops off our trail whilst I was driving a very illegal clown car..."lemmie just get out and pretend like we're getting directions because we're lost"...

    :lol::lol: Classic. :fp:
    Show #13 was a lucky one for me....
  • shepshep Posts: 5,761
    kw18 wrote:

    I have 11 versions of Habit, and 5,458 songs on my mp3 player. So 1/[(11/5,458)*(11/5,458)].

    Right? :?

    Correct, assuming that your shuffle feature is set on repeats.

    if not, it changes to 1/ [(11/5458)*(10/5458)] = 1 in 270,766 chance.
    Houston, Texas... Believe it or not, there are 7 million people here... must be a couple of fans who'd love to see you play.
  • kw18kw18 Posts: 3,909
    RKCNDY wrote:

    ...and to think, they also traveled (how many miles Dirty Frank-ing organizer?!?!?!) to go to a campground in the middle of nowhere and pick up dog poop. :lol:

    1,600, each way, give or take.

    And, hey, someone had to do it. :)
    "Where's KW?"
    "Let's check Idaho."
  • mookeywrenchmookeywrench Posts: 5,868
    shep wrote:
    kw18 wrote:

    I have 11 versions of Habit, and 5,458 songs on my mp3 player. So 1/[(11/5,458)*(11/5,458)].

    Right? :?

    Correct, assuming that your shuffle feature is set on repeats.

    if not, it changes to 1/ [(11/5458)*(10/5458)] = 1 in 270,766 chance.

    But doesn't this equation use the assumption that order matters?
    350x700px-LL-d2f49cb4_vinyl-needle-scu-e1356666258495.jpeg
  • ldent42ldent42 Posts: 7,859
    NO MATH ALLOWED ON THE FORUM!!!!!!!!!! :nono: :nono:

    besides the economics guy monitoring PJ ticket resale values for Wrigley.
    NYC 06/24/08-Auckland 11/27/09-Chch 11/29/09-Newark 05/18/10-Atlanta 09/22/12-Chicago 07/19/13-Brooklyn 10/18/13 & 10/19/13-Hartford 10/25/13-Baltimore 10/27/13-Auckland 1/17/14-GC 1/19/14-Melbourne 1/24/14-Sydney 1/26/14-Amsterdam 6/16/14 & 6/17/14-Milan 6/20/14-Berlin 6/26/14-Leeds 7/8/14-Milton Keynes 7/11/14-St. Louis 10/3/14-NYC 9/26/15
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  • RKCNDYRKCNDY Posts: 31,013
    duska3419 wrote:
    NO MATH ALLOWED ON THE FORUM!!!!!!!!!! :nono: :nono:

    besides the economics guy monitoring PJ ticket resale values for Wrigley.

    what about science? is science okay? :?
    The joy of life comes from our encounters with new experiences, and hence there is no greater joy than to have an endlessly changing horizon, for each day to have a new and different sun.

    - Christopher McCandless
  • ldent42ldent42 Posts: 7,859
    RKCNDY wrote:
    duska3419 wrote:
    NO MATH ALLOWED ON THE FORUM!!!!!!!!!! :nono: :nono:

    besides the economics guy monitoring PJ ticket resale values for Wrigley.

    what about science? is science okay? :?


    Science is okay as long as the math parts are not emphasised lol :lol::lol::lol:
    NYC 06/24/08-Auckland 11/27/09-Chch 11/29/09-Newark 05/18/10-Atlanta 09/22/12-Chicago 07/19/13-Brooklyn 10/18/13 & 10/19/13-Hartford 10/25/13-Baltimore 10/27/13-Auckland 1/17/14-GC 1/19/14-Melbourne 1/24/14-Sydney 1/26/14-Amsterdam 6/16/14 & 6/17/14-Milan 6/20/14-Berlin 6/26/14-Leeds 7/8/14-Milton Keynes 7/11/14-St. Louis 10/3/14-NYC 9/26/15
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