Republicans Eye Return to Gold Standard
inlet13
Posts: 1,979
Here's a new demo called "in the fire":
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Admittedly it would be a task. But, let's start with facts - $35/ounce in 1971 - now - $1672/ounce. Why the change? Dollars are worth less, we've printed too much, as seen here:
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/AMBNS
We could start small. Or we could jump right in, like Jim Grant suggests here:
Getting back to the gold standard
Commentary: Jim Grant says gold, not paper currency, is the future
February 02, 2012|Brett Arends, MarketWatch
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Jim Grant’s rise to power may be delayed.
The legendary Wall Street writer, publisher of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer, has been mentioned by two of the rivals for the Republican presidential nomination. Newt Gingrich said if elected president, he’d name Grant to help run a commission looking at a possible return to the gold standard. And Ron Paul said, if elected president, he’d go all-in and name Grant — one of Wall Street’s best-known gold bugs — as the new chairman of the Federal Reserve.
As Paul wants to abolish the Fed, it would doubtless be a temporary post. But Grant says he found the offer — which came out of the blue — very flattering.
Alas, both men are trailing in the race to front-runner Mitt Romney. “Unfortunately, I haven’t heard from Mr. Romney yet,” joked Grant when I called on him in his offices down on Wall Street. “I’m sitting by the phone, I’m ready.”
He may have to wait some time. Romney, a conventional Wall Street figure, is unlikely to tap him anytime soon.
Jim Grant is a paradox: A legendary, well-established figure on Wall Street who is not part of the Wall Street “establishment.” He is a raging contrarian. A writer from a more elegant age, Grant is also a scathing critic of “too big to fail” banks and the whole Wall Street racket — with its privatized profits and socialized losses.
The latest edition of his Interest Rate Observer carries a cartoon on the front cover, in which a banker is bemoaning his fate to a bartender: “Just one more unconscionable bonus,” he is saying over his beer, “and I would’ve been golden.”
Grant is an old-school conservative, but the cartoon could have appeared without any change in The Nation: It’s a sign of how the principled right and the principled left have often found some common cause in their critique of the amoral, expedient financial “elite.”
Entering Grant’s offices is like a step back in time. There are books and actual papers piled high on his desk. I could spy neither an iPad nor an iPhone. Grant, now in his 60s, wears bow ties and horn-rimmed glasses. He was known for many years as a “perma-bear” on the Street, and there is a giant stuffed bear by the door.
He is best known these days — to Gingrich and Paul, among others — for his long-standing support for the gold standard. The world has moved in his direction. In 12 years, gold has risen from a derided relic trading at $250 an ounce to a hot investment at $1,750. Everywhere paper currency systems are under challenge. In 2008, the world discovered that you can’t just manufacture endless wealth out of thin air, as the gold bugs had long argued, and it is still struggling with the realization.
Many people will think of the gold standard as a relic of a bygone era, something as old-fashioned as bow-ties and stuffed animals. (My caveat: To me, that’s not an insult.) Grant, when we met, argued the reverse. He says paper currencies and our current monetary system are the ones that are out of date.
“The anachronism is today’s system,” he says. We have a “command and control, top down” system whereby the Federal Reserve imposes an interest rate on society. The Fed, in other words, tells us what the price of money should be. It is, Grant says, oddly at odds with the modern age. “We live in a world of collaborative social networks” of the Internet and Facebook, of Wikipedia instead of the old World Book, and so on. And yet when it comes to the price of money, we wait for a committee that sits in private to tell us what it should be.
This, he argues, is the cause of so many of our ills. The Fed has moved from “central banking” to “central planning,” fueling bubbles, encouraging risks, and generally upsetting the equilibrium of the economy.
It’s a good critique. I’m less certain that the gold standard would cure all our ills than I am of how flawed our current system is. Grant calls it “like tennis without a net” and says that the Fed has now inflated a bubble in Treasury bonds comparable to the housing bubble a few years ago, though he notes he’s been warning about Treasurys for several years, and so far they’ve kept going up.
Grant calls the gold standard “the least imperfect monetary system.” He notes that our present regime of purely paper currency is new: It only dates back to Richard Nixon.
I asked him, whimsically, what he’d do if he actually were to be named chairman of the Fed. He said he’d begin by communicating to the public why the present system was so wrong, and needed to be changed. He’d make the case for the gold standard.
“I would then lay out a timeline for the conversion to a constitutional dollar, a dollar as envisaged by the Founding Fathers. “ A dollar, he says, is supposed to be a fixed measure, “like a foot, or a pound,” not something that can be redefined every few weeks by the Fed.
In his ideal world, says Grant, he would lay out a three-year program to convert back to the gold standard, probably at around $2,500 per ounce of gold. He adds that he would take great care to avoid the notorious blunder made by Winston Churchill and the British back in 1925, when they went back on the gold standard at too high a price, and imposed brutal deflation on the economy. Alas, he admits, this would need an act of Congress.
He added that he would also wind down the Fed’s bloated balance sheet, selling assets for gold, and he would shut down the Fed’s open market activities completely, relying instead on the discount window alone. The Fed, he said, shouldn’t be going out into the market to provide liquidity. It should simply be there to provide temporary liquidity to solvent banks when they ask, and on the basis of good collateral.
For good measure, he’d also push for a repeal of a 1935 New Deal law that protected bank investors from runs on their financial institutions. Before the law, he notes, if a bank got into trouble, the investors were on the hook to bail it out: After all, it was their bank. The same was true of the partners in a Wall Street brokerage. The system of taxpayer bailouts, like that of paper money, is a modern innovation.
“We want to reconnect the taking of risk with the bearing of risk,” says Grant. “Our financial titans, especially at the upper echelons, all too often take risks but they do not bear risks.” As people, they are probably no worse than their predecessors, he adds, but today “the consequences of failure are much less severe.”
A decade ago, Jim Grant looked old-fashioned to many on Wall Street. Today, his views look much more in step with the times. His fortnightly Interest Rate Observer, famously, warned about the looming catastrophe in housing debt and mortgage-backed securities as early as 2005 and 2006. Sales are now booming.
Unlike most modern journalists, Jim Grant does not give away his work for free: Instead he charges $965 a year to subscribe. Conventional wisdom keeps telling me this is a doomed business model, but we all know about CW. Grant says paid subscriptions are up an astounding 82% since early 2005, to near-record levels. Apparently quality still sells. I hope that, in this too, he may prove an “old-fashioned” holdover who is ahead of his time.
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People were wondering why Ron Paul would run in the Republican camp. This is why. He was trying to alter party platforms.
In the end, I think this approach is smarter than the Nader-style approach of running alone.
On your post - I'm more terrified if we keep printing money to infinite. Just look at history for why.
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we are so far into this that going back to the gold standard could be very painful, I would think that the value of gold would drop like a Led Zeppelin... which in turn would effect everything else,home values,lending rates etc. in my opinion it would vbe too soon to do this,I don't think the economy could take it.
I don't know much about this stuff so this is just a guess on my part.
Godfather.
Why would the value of gold go down, if demand for it increased?
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...not Trillions of dollars of debt.
Yea I think the value of gold would go way up. I mean like I said right now there is way more cash out there than gold. To put it in a very simple comparison, if there is a billion dollars in circulation, but the US only has one ounce of gold in reserve then all of the sudden an ounce of gold is worth 1 billion dollars. Not only would that fuck up gold prices world wild, but I imagine it would mess up how the US trades with other countries too.
because we have more dollars printed than we have gold but now that I think about it maybe the price of gold would skyrocket to catch up with the amount of dollars that are printed ?
Godfather.
Godfather.
oh that's good! I'm stealing that.
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why not I stole it from a old story of how the Mighty Zepp got their name,something someone said
-oh yea that'll go over like a "Led Zeppelin"-
if that's true or not I don't know but it's a great story.
Godfather.
Here's to a golden Friday
If you read that article I put up there, that individual kinda gets at how it could be implemented. The US would buy gold from people - his bet was at $2500 an ounce. It's at $1670 an ounce now, so I think he's factoring in demand increases.
I don't think it would work the way you're mentioning. I think it probably would involve a few years of transition where the government accumulates enough gold to actually back each dollar. From what I understand, even in the 70s when Nixon officially ended the Gold Standard, we weren't completely "on it". IN other words, our currency was not fully backed by gold, it was partially backed. I think the goal would be to get it to some point similar. Not saying this wouldn't be a task, I think it would take time.
But, the reality is - it's worth it. I'm up for other alternatives too. But, even the consideration of this is a good first step.
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Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
What do we do about that?
Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
They fight less wars? Not sure I'm following you...
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Speaking specifically of DRC Dem Repub Of Congo. Rebels and warlords in control of some of these mines are using the funds from the sale of these products to buy their weapons and fund their conflicts. Gold was one metal mentioned.
Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
I posted a long article on one guy's take on the first page here. Basically the government would buy it.
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This is happening without a Gold Standard though. In my opinion, the reason is because gold is so valuable right now. Like I said, $35/ounce in 1970, now $1670/ounce. That's ridiculous growth.
People are looking for gold because they know there's no value in many currencies. It's not a function of the gold, it's a function of the currencies.
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Guess I'm looking at this backwards. Because then the dollar is valued what it is, this makes the 1670 figure justified?
Does this then expose the dollar in actual terms? what about those countries that value according to the dollar?
Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
It's kinda hinting at the inflation involved inherently. Basically, we printed a shit more dollars. So, each dollar's worth declined in value. And, of course, we were no longer backed by any gold, or anything at all. Moreover, investors know this, and they saw our debt, so they know one day the shit will hit the fan and gold's a good place to be because you can use it to buy stuff when the currency collapses. It kinda acts like $.
No doubt, our currency's relative value would change and countries that peg to our currency would follow.
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Either that or we are going to have one hell of a massive war.
Personally i hope for some organized resettlement of all currencies \ debts in terms of a new global price of gold. Preferably this would all happen in CONJUNCTION with the announcment of the abandonment of the "old way" and the beginning of some new system, in total.
You may say I'm a dreamer, but i'm not.
If I opened it now would you not understand?
jose, i feel your pain. I came damn close to buying gold about 10 years ago when it was easily 1/4th today's price. Honestly I just didn't know how to go about getting trustworthy metal, nor how to get rid of it at a fair price if I needed to.
Hey, but the Led Zeppelin stuff is pretty cool!
-Eddie Vedder, "Smile"
I agree with this. The GOP has done EVERYTHING that they could to screw Ron Paul, yesterday they changed the five state rule to eight so now he can't be nominated from the floor and disrupt things. I so wanted chaos. They are doing this (gold standard) to get the RP votes and save face/create harmony. I'm still voting for RP or Libertarian.
The bone that they threw the Paul camp was an official adoption of some of his issues as official party stands. The gold standard, auditing the Fed, an entire section dedicated to the US Constitution, internet freedom, banning the use of drones domestically, and protecting private property from unfair govt seizure are some of the Paul issues that are now part of the official party agenda. They did not adopt his foreign policy or many social issues, so that was the bad thing. They would not take a stand against NDAA either.
Either way it is a start.