(D) voters leaving party in battleground states

WaveCameCrashinWaveCameCrashin Posts: 2,929
edited December 2011 in A Moving Train
http://decoded.nationaljournal.com/2011 ... -leavi.php



President Obama and his re-election team have prided themselves on their well-oiled get-out-the-vote effort.  But a new study from the centrist think tank Third Way suggests Democrats are losing ground organizationally in nearly all of the key battleground states in the general election.

The group's analysis found that, in the eight politically-pivotal states that register voters by party, a significant number have left the Democratic party since 2008, with many choosing to register as independents.  Over 825,000 registered Democrats in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina and Pennsylvania have departed the party rolls since President Obama's election in 2008, a much more significant share than the number of Republicans (378,000) who have done the same.  Meanwhile, the number of registered independents has ticked upwards by 254,000.



"In 2012, Independents are likely to turn out in their largest numbers in 35 years, and President Obama will need those Independent votes even more than he did in 2008, if he hopes to be re-elected," Third Way analysts Lanae Erickson and Michelle Diggles write in the report.


 
The Democratic decline is especially stark in Iowa and Florida, two early Republican primary states where Democrats have lost significant ground.  In Iowa, the number of registered Democrats has declined 7.9 percent since 2008, while the number of registered Republicans has increased by two percent.   In the Sunshine State, Democratic registration decreased by five percent, while Republican registration dipped 2.2 percent.
 
In New Hampshire, Democratic registration plummeted a whopping 14.6 percent, with Republican registration declining a similarly significant 13.5 percent. 



In every one of the eight battleground states, Democrats lost ground to Republicans.  (In Colorado, Republicans saw a larger rate of growth in voter registration than Democrats, 1.8 to 0.9 percent.)
The report underscores how much different 2012 will be for Obama than 2008.  Back then, it was commonplace to hear how many new voters the Obama campaign was registering.  Now, it looks like some of those voters, newly disenchanted, are leaving the party rolls.

:wave: :wave: :wave: Buh bye...
Post edited by Unknown User on

Comments

  • usamamasan1usamamasan1 Posts: 4,695
    Woot!
  • LikeAnOceanLikeAnOcean Posts: 7,718
    As long as he loses to Ron Paul, I will be thrilled with it.
  • usamamasan1usamamasan1 Posts: 4,695
    I would take that now if I could push a button and call it a day.
  • brianluxbrianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 42,431
    No worries, at the rate things are going soon enough it will be Depublicans vs Remocrats.
    "Pretty cookies, heart squares all around, yeah!"
    -Eddie Vedder, "Smile"

    "Try to not spook the horse."
    -Neil Young













  • Go BeaversGo Beavers Posts: 9,192
    While it could be that some Dems may switch teams in the next election in these states, you should be careful to not make the assumption that 'independent' mean the same thing as 'middle-of-the-road'. There are independents that are left of the mostly centrist Democratic party (Obama included). Also, don't forget that Gingrich has the charisma of one of my dog's turds.
  • Go Beavers wrote:
    While it could be that some Dems may switch teams in the next election in these states, you should be careful to not make the assumption that 'independent' mean the same thing as 'middle-of-the-road'. There are independents that are left of the mostly centrist Democratic party (Obama included). Also, don't forget that Gingrich has the charisma of one of my dog's turds.


    If "charisma" was all it took, Obama would not be a historical failure.
  • brianlux wrote:
    No worries, at the rate things are going soon enough it will be Depublicans vs Remocrats.


    :lol:

    I like this one!!
  • CosmoCosmo Posts: 12,225
    Anyone who has faith that the Republican Party will fix any of America's problems... well, should really look for something else to believe in.
    Allen Fieldhouse, home of the 2008 NCAA men's Basketball Champions! Go Jayhawks!
    Hail, Hail!!!
  • Cosmo wrote:
    Anyone who has faith that the Republican Party will fix any of America's problems... well, should really look for something else to believe in.


    Anyone who has faith in Government, in general... will be inevitably disappointed.

    Reagan said something about the scariest 9 words on the planet:

    "I'm from the Government, and I'm here to help."


    :lol:
  • Go BeaversGo Beavers Posts: 9,192
    Go Beavers wrote:
    While it could be that some Dems may switch teams in the next election in these states, you should be careful to not make the assumption that 'independent' mean the same thing as 'middle-of-the-road'. There are independents that are left of the mostly centrist Democratic party (Obama included). Also, don't forget that Gingrich has the charisma of one of my dog's turds.


    If "charisma" was all it took, Obama would not be a historical failure.

    Charisma isn't all it takes, but it's a large part of how you get the undecideds/the voters in the middle.
  • Cosmo wrote:
    Anyone who has faith that the Republican Party will fix any of America's problems... well, should really look for something else to believe in.


    And the same can be said about the Democratic party for that matter.. Term limits and significant cut in pay. I know I know... One can dream right?
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