Jobs Report Means Bush Tax Cuts For The Rich Must Be Extende

Boxes&BooksBoxes&Books USA Posts: 2,672
edited December 2010 in A Moving Train
Interesting report- does it make sense?


Republicans Claim Lousy Jobs Report Means Bush Tax Cuts For The Rich Must Be Extended


Today’s jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics paints an ugly picture of lackluster job creation and increasing long-term unemployment. The Federal Reserve — which is taking its own steps to boost employment after dithering for months — has been reduced to pleading with Congress for further fiscal stimulus, in the hopes of averting an even longer jobs slog.

So, naturally, Congress is spending the day debating whether or not the richest two percent of Americans should receive a tax cut (in addition to the tax cut they will receive on their first $250,000 in income if, as everyone in Congress wants, tax rates are extended for the lower- and middle-classes). In fact, many House Republicans are claiming that the richest two percent of Americans desperately need a tax cut because of the bad jobs report:

House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH): Any sign of job growth in this struggling economy is encouraging, but clearly no match for the uncertainty families and small businesses are facing, which is why we must cut spending and stop all the looming tax hikes.

House Minority Whip Eric Cantor (R-VA): Today’s jobs report marks the 19th consecutive month in which unemployment has exceeded nine percent — an unacceptable result. We must do everything possible to bring that number down and get people back to work by ending the uncertainty that is plaguing the private sector. To start, Congress should reassure job creators and investors by taking the impending tax hikes off the table.

Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN): Today’s heartbreaking unemployment report should be yet another wake-up call to Democrats that raising taxes in the middle of the worst economy in 25 years is a mistake. Higher taxes on America’s small businesses won’t get anyone hired. I call on Washington Democrats to abandon their plan to raise taxes on small businesses and get America back to work.

Rep. Tom Price (R-GA): Nationwide, the unemployment rate has stayed at 9.4 percent or higher for 19 straight months. Yet instead of sensible policies to encourage private sector job creation, Democrats have pushed one job-killing idea after another…Well, higher taxes don’t hire Americans.

As The Wonk Room noted, there was no attempt on the part of these Republicans to grapple with the fact that the Bush tax cuts ushered in the weakest period of job growth in the post-war period, or that the Congressional Budget Office ranks extending the Bush tax cuts as the least effective tax measure for promoting economic growth.


http://thinkprogress.org/2010/12/03/jobs-tax-cuts/
Post edited by Unknown User on

Comments

  • JeanwahJeanwah Posts: 6,363
    tonifig8 wrote:
    Interesting report- does it make sense?


    Republicans Claim Lousy Jobs Report Means Bush Tax Cuts For The Rich Must Be Extended


    Today’s jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics paints an ugly picture of lackluster job creation and increasing long-term unemployment. The Federal Reserve — which is taking its own steps to boost employment after dithering for months — has been reduced to pleading with Congress for further fiscal stimulus, in the hopes of averting an even longer jobs slog.

    So, naturally, Congress is spending the day debating whether or not the richest two percent of Americans should receive a tax cut (in addition to the tax cut they will receive on their first $250,000 in income if, as everyone in Congress wants, tax rates are extended for the lower- and middle-classes). In fact, many House Republicans are claiming that the richest two percent of Americans desperately need a tax cut because of the bad jobs report:

    House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH): Any sign of job growth in this struggling economy is encouraging, but clearly no match for the uncertainty families and small businesses are facing, which is why we must cut spending and stop all the looming tax hikes.

    House Minority Whip Eric Cantor (R-VA): Today’s jobs report marks the 19th consecutive month in which unemployment has exceeded nine percent — an unacceptable result. We must do everything possible to bring that number down and get people back to work by ending the uncertainty that is plaguing the private sector. To start, Congress should reassure job creators and investors by taking the impending tax hikes off the table.

    Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN): Today’s heartbreaking unemployment report should be yet another wake-up call to Democrats that raising taxes in the middle of the worst economy in 25 years is a mistake. Higher taxes on America’s small businesses won’t get anyone hired. I call on Washington Democrats to abandon their plan to raise taxes on small businesses and get America back to work.

    Rep. Tom Price (R-GA): Nationwide, the unemployment rate has stayed at 9.4 percent or higher for 19 straight months. Yet instead of sensible policies to encourage private sector job creation, Democrats have pushed one job-killing idea after another…Well, higher taxes don’t hire Americans.

    As The Wonk Room noted, there was no attempt on the part of these Republicans to grapple with the fact that the Bush tax cuts ushered in the weakest period of job growth in the post-war period, or that the Congressional Budget Office ranks extending the Bush tax cuts as the least effective tax measure for promoting economic growth.


    http://thinkprogress.org/2010/12/03/jobs-tax-cuts/

    Weak.
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,308
    oh crap, we had better get to extending them immediately... :roll: :lol:

    they did not create jobs with these cuts this whole time. they bought big ticket items or invested it in this weak ass stock market and lost most of it.

    in fact when taxes were higher they created MORE jobs and did more hiring because hiring and paying salaries and benefits to an employee is a TAX WRITE OFF FOR THE EMPLOYER...

    do not believe the lies that the republicans are spouting off about this issue...
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • Boxes&BooksBoxes&Books USA Posts: 2,672
    oh crap, we had better get to extending them immediately... :roll: :lol:

    they did not create jobs with these cuts this whole time. they bought big ticket items or invested it in this weak ass stock market and lost most of it.

    in fact when taxes were higher they created MORE jobs and did more hiring because hiring and paying salaries and benefits to an employee is a TAX WRITE OFF FOR THE EMPLOYER...

    do not believe the lies that the republicans are spouting off about this issue...

    As The Wonk Room noted, there was no attempt on the part of these Republicans to grapple with the fact that the Bush tax cuts ushered in the weakest period of job growth in the post-war period, or that the Congressional Budget Office ranks extending the Bush tax cuts as the least effective tax measure for promoting economic growth.

    Why isn't this understood? I know it's a complicated issue, but it's not like these people are being taxed to death- It's not like they're not getting kick backs in other areas-

    I just hate how the GOP is so one sided on the issue and unwilling to make a sacrifice/negotiate the issue....
  • CommyCommy Posts: 4,984
    this is class war.
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,308
    suggestions??????
    Commy wrote:
    this is class war.
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • CommyCommy Posts: 4,984
    suggestions??????
    Commy wrote:
    this is class war.
    general strike????????
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,308
    Commy wrote:
    suggestions??????
    Commy wrote:
    this is class war.
    general strike????????
    yeah that will work....

    same as if those that appear to care actually show up.......
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • CommyCommy Posts: 4,984
    yeah that will work....

    same as if those that appear to care actually show up.......
    you have a suggestion other than a general strike? "same as if those" please share....
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,308
    Commy wrote:
    yeah that will work....

    same as if those that appear to care actually show up.......
    you have a suggestion other than a general strike? "same as if those" please share....
    i dunno,

    you have the mega valliant suggestion that will not work in the real world.

    communism will not work in theface of severe ecomomic strife.......

    i'm tired of offering suggestiions with no backing....

    you can offer all you want.

    nothing will ever change,

    why not offer more chomsky

    and have some others support it

    with no change at all...
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • CommyCommy Posts: 4,984
    edited December 2010
    Commy wrote:
    yeah that will work....

    same as if those that appear to care actually show up.......
    you have a suggestion other than a general strike? "same as if those" please share....
    i dunno,

    you have the mega valliant suggestion that will not work in the real world.

    communism will not work in theface of severe ecomomic strife.......

    i'm tired of offering suggestiions with no backing....

    you can offer all you want.

    nothing will ever change,

    why not offer more chomsky

    and have some others support it

    with no change at all...

    how can you be tired of "offering suggestions" when you've yet to offer a suggestion?
    Post edited by Commy on
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,308
    Commy wrote:
    how can you be tired of "offering suggestions" when i've yet to see you offer a suggestion?
    dunno, where is the chomsky explanation?
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • CommyCommy Posts: 4,984
    Commy wrote:
    how can you be tired of "offering suggestions" when i've yet to see you offer a suggestion?
    dunno, where is the chomsky explanation?
    find a chomsky fact that is inaccurate and get back to me.



    or better, come up with your own solution. still waiting for that.
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,308
    Commy wrote:
    Commy wrote:
    how can you be tired of "offering suggestions" when i've yet to see you offer a suggestion?
    dunno, where is the chomsky explanation?
    find a chomsky fact that is inaccurate and get back to me.



    or better, come up with your own solution. still waiting for that.
    nothing that chomsky has to say has very much to do with the bush tax cuts, but chomsky, like all nonfiction writers may be wrong. citations do not matter, if the man is wrong, then the man is wrong..
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • know1know1 Posts: 6,794
    Why are these tax cuts always referred to as the "Bush era taxcuts"?

    Why does it matter when they came into being?

    It's all just politics as usual. I support tax cuts for anyone and everyone.
    The only people we should try to get even with...
    ...are those who've helped us.

    Right 'round the corner could be bigger than ourselves.
  • know1know1 Posts: 6,794
    oh crap, we had better get to extending them immediately... :roll: :lol:

    they did not create jobs with these cuts this whole time. they bought big ticket items or invested it in this weak ass stock market and lost most of it.

    in fact when taxes were higher they created MORE jobs and did more hiring because hiring and paying salaries and benefits to an employee is a TAX WRITE OFF FOR THE EMPLOYER...

    do not believe the lies that the republicans are spouting off about this issue...

    This is hilarious! People don't try to make their income from tax write-offs.

    This is the same kind of misguided logic that drives people to keep a house payment because they don't want to lose the tax break. It's hard to believe people would think that makes sense, but that's the kind of world we live in - the kind where many people can't plan and do for themselves.
    The only people we should try to get even with...
    ...are those who've helped us.

    Right 'round the corner could be bigger than ourselves.
  • know1 wrote:
    Why are these tax cuts always referred to as the "Bush era taxcuts"?

    Why does it matter when they came into being?

    It's all just politics as usual. I support tax cuts for anyone and everyone.

    The problem there is the more you cut taxes, the less money there will be to pay for infrastructure - unless you want privatized roads, police force, firefighters, etc. "I'll cut taxes" is a great buzz phrase to help you win an election, but I don't think in actuality it's that simple. A tax cut is one of the reasons Louisiana is in the shitter right now, and the governor is refusing to even entertain the idea of reinstating it - even though there is now a growing number of people actually asking for the tax to be reinstated.
    And I listen for the voice inside my head... nothing. I'll do this one myself.
  • know1 wrote:
    oh crap, we had better get to extending them immediately... :roll: :lol:

    they did not create jobs with these cuts this whole time. they bought big ticket items or invested it in this weak ass stock market and lost most of it.

    in fact when taxes were higher they created MORE jobs and did more hiring because hiring and paying salaries and benefits to an employee is a TAX WRITE OFF FOR THE EMPLOYER...

    do not believe the lies that the republicans are spouting off about this issue...

    This is hilarious! People don't try to make their income from tax write-offs.

    This is the same kind of misguided logic that drives people to keep a house payment because they don't want to lose the tax break. It's hard to believe people would think that makes sense, but that's the kind of world we live in - the kind where many people can't plan and do for themselves.

    actually, it does make sense to have a mortgage with deductible interest payments if you can get a better return on your money elsewhere. if you have a mortgage with a 4.5% interest rate and can deduct interest payments, your effective interest rate is actually closer to 2-3%. If you can earn more money investing in equities or other investments, then it makes sense to invest in that and continue paying the mortgage and getting the deduction.

    sweet adeline, CFP®
  • know1know1 Posts: 6,794
    know1 wrote:
    oh crap, we had better get to extending them immediately... :roll: :lol:

    they did not create jobs with these cuts this whole time. they bought big ticket items or invested it in this weak ass stock market and lost most of it.

    in fact when taxes were higher they created MORE jobs and did more hiring because hiring and paying salaries and benefits to an employee is a TAX WRITE OFF FOR THE EMPLOYER...

    do not believe the lies that the republicans are spouting off about this issue...

    This is hilarious! People don't try to make their income from tax write-offs.

    This is the same kind of misguided logic that drives people to keep a house payment because they don't want to lose the tax break. It's hard to believe people would think that makes sense, but that's the kind of world we live in - the kind where many people can't plan and do for themselves.

    actually, it does make sense to have a mortgage with deductible interest payments if you can get a better return on your money elsewhere. if you have a mortgage with a 4.5% interest rate and can deduct interest payments, your effective interest rate is actually closer to 2-3%. If you can earn more money investing in equities or other investments, then it makes sense to invest in that and continue paying the mortgage and getting the deduction.

    sweet adeline, CFP®

    I don't think so. If you can earn better interest for your money somewhere, wouldn't you rather take the payments that you're PAYING interest on and put it to somewhere that's EARNING that better interest?

    If you have the cash to pay off the house, you should do it.
    The only people we should try to get even with...
    ...are those who've helped us.

    Right 'round the corner could be bigger than ourselves.
  • know1know1 Posts: 6,794
    cajunkiwi wrote:
    know1 wrote:
    Why are these tax cuts always referred to as the "Bush era taxcuts"?

    Why does it matter when they came into being?

    It's all just politics as usual. I support tax cuts for anyone and everyone.

    The problem there is the more you cut taxes, the less money there will be to pay for infrastructure - unless you want privatized roads, police force, firefighters, etc. "I'll cut taxes" is a great buzz phrase to help you win an election, but I don't think in actuality it's that simple. A tax cut is one of the reasons Louisiana is in the shitter right now, and the governor is refusing to even entertain the idea of reinstating it - even though there is now a growing number of people actually asking for the tax to be reinstated.


    We have a lot of fat the government can trim off before it would need to cut into infrastructure. Of course, our terrible politicians and government would likely cut infrastructure and leave the fat.
    The only people we should try to get even with...
    ...are those who've helped us.

    Right 'round the corner could be bigger than ourselves.
  • cajunkiwi wrote:
    know1 wrote:
    Why are these tax cuts always referred to as the "Bush era taxcuts"?

    Why does it matter when they came into being?

    It's all just politics as usual. I support tax cuts for anyone and everyone.

    The problem there is the more you cut taxes, the less money there will be to pay for infrastructure - unless you want privatized roads, police force, firefighters, etc. "I'll cut taxes" is a great buzz phrase to help you win an election, but I don't think in actuality it's that simple. A tax cut is one of the reasons Louisiana is in the shitter right now, and the governor is refusing to even entertain the idea of reinstating it - even though there is now a growing number of people actually asking for the tax to be reinstated.

    I disagree. Do you realize how enormously bloated the federal government is? It boggles the mind. There are SO many places where the government could cut corners before having to dig into essential programs funding.

    A little fiscal responsibility is all that's needed...well, revising the tax code wouldn't hurt either.
    Bristow, VA (5/13/10)
  • know1 wrote:
    This is hilarious! People don't try to make their income from tax write-offs.

    This is the same kind of misguided logic that drives people to keep a house payment because they don't want to lose the tax break. It's hard to believe people would think that makes sense, but that's the kind of world we live in - the kind where many people can't plan and do for themselves.
    actually, it does make sense to have a mortgage with deductible interest payments if you can get a better return on your money elsewhere. if you have a mortgage with a 4.5% interest rate and can deduct interest payments, your effective interest rate is actually closer to 2-3%. If you can earn more money investing in equities or other investments, then it makes sense to invest in that and continue paying the mortgage and getting the deduction.

    sweet adeline, CFP®
    know1 wrote:
    I don't think so. If you can earn better interest for your money somewhere, wouldn't you rather take the payments that you're PAYING interest on and put it to somewhere that's EARNING that better interest?

    If you have the cash to pay off the house, you should do it.

    i'm not sure we're talking about the same thing, maybe we are.

    what i'm saying is, if you have a $500k mortgage with a 4.5% interest rate, a job, an income stream, and say, $500k in the bank. so, theoretically, if you wanted to, you could pay off the loan on the house.

    what i'm saying is you are better off paying the mortgage payments and sticking the $500k that you have in the bank in an investment that is paying you a higher rate of return. the effective interest rate on a 4.5% mortgage is really closer to 2-3%, so what i'm saying is you can get a higher rate of return than 2-3% on your $500k that you have in the bank, you should do that and NOT pay off the mortgage. it's a cost of money question and a cost of money question. i could show you the math if you want, but this is what i do for a living and the mortgage tax credit is a benefit for most people who want to purchase a home.

    purchasing a home is an investment and if the cost of that investment is only 2-3% and you can take the lump sum that you would otherwise use to payoff the home and earn a better rate of return in another investment, than you are better off paying the mortgage and using the cash to earn a higher return.
  • know1 wrote:
    cajunkiwi wrote:
    know1 wrote:
    Why are these tax cuts always referred to as the "Bush era taxcuts"?

    Why does it matter when they came into being?

    It's all just politics as usual. I support tax cuts for anyone and everyone.

    The problem there is the more you cut taxes, the less money there will be to pay for infrastructure - unless you want privatized roads, police force, firefighters, etc. "I'll cut taxes" is a great buzz phrase to help you win an election, but I don't think in actuality it's that simple. A tax cut is one of the reasons Louisiana is in the shitter right now, and the governor is refusing to even entertain the idea of reinstating it - even though there is now a growing number of people actually asking for the tax to be reinstated.


    We have a lot of fat the government can trim off before it would need to cut into infrastructure. Of course, our terrible politicians and government would likely cut infrastructure and leave the fat.

    You (and Electric_Delta who also posted something similar) may be right - I honestly don't know a hell of a lot about the specific details of the U.S. budgets. It just doesn't make much sense to me, as an outsider, to listen to Republicans say they'll cut taxes and balance the budget, without providing any further details - as if cutting taxes (and reducing the government's income) will somehow lead to more money without any other factors being added in.

    As for governmental fat that can be trimmed - like I said, I'm not an expert on the intricacies of the U.S. governmental spending, but you're probably right. Whether or not the amount of fiscal waste is large enough to balance a budget or lead to a surplus if it's trimmed I have no idea, but I suspect there's a shitload of money being wasted, and it's being wasted with equal efficiency by both sides of the aisle. For all of the talk from some people on here about how they'd eliminate entire government departments to save money if they were in charge (which I argued in another thread will never happen), I'd be happy if they simply started by eliminating pork and pet projects (which will probably also never happen).
    And I listen for the voice inside my head... nothing. I'll do this one myself.
  • cajunkiwi wrote:
    know1 wrote:
    cajunkiwi wrote:

    We have a lot of fat the government can trim off before it would need to cut into infrastructure. Of course, our terrible politicians and government would likely cut infrastructure and leave the fat.

    You (and Electric_Delta who also posted something similar) may be right - I honestly don't know a hell of a lot about the specific details of the U.S. budgets. It just doesn't make much sense to me, as an outsider, to listen to Republicans say they'll cut taxes and balance the budget, without providing any further details - as if cutting taxes (and reducing the government's income) will somehow lead to more money without any other factors being added in.

    As for governmental fat that can be trimmed - like I said, I'm not an expert on the intricacies of the U.S. governmental spending, but you're probably right. Whether or not the amount of fiscal waste is large enough to balance a budget or lead to a surplus if it's trimmed I have no idea, but I suspect there's a shitload of money being wasted, and it's being wasted with equal efficiency by both sides of the aisle. For all of the talk from some people on here about how they'd eliminate entire government departments to save money if they were in charge (which I argued in another thread will never happen), I'd be happy if they simply started by eliminating pork and pet projects (which will probably also never happen).

    You're right, Cajun. If they cut pork projects, they would upset their biggest contributors.

    A vicious cycle, to be sure.
    Bristow, VA (5/13/10)
  • know1know1 Posts: 6,794
    i'm not sure we're talking about the same thing, maybe we are.

    what i'm saying is, if you have a $500k mortgage with a 4.5% interest rate, a job, an income stream, and say, $500k in the bank. so, theoretically, if you wanted to, you could pay off the loan on the house.

    what i'm saying is you are better off paying the mortgage payments and sticking the $500k that you have in the bank in an investment that is paying you a higher rate of return. the effective interest rate on a 4.5% mortgage is really closer to 2-3%, so what i'm saying is you can get a higher rate of return than 2-3% on your $500k that you have in the bank, you should do that and NOT pay off the mortgage. it's a cost of money question and a cost of money question. i could show you the math if you want, but this is what i do for a living and the mortgage tax credit is a benefit for most people who want to purchase a home.

    purchasing a home is an investment and if the cost of that investment is only 2-3% and you can take the lump sum that you would otherwise use to payoff the home and earn a better rate of return in another investment, than you are better off paying the mortgage and using the cash to earn a higher return.

    But that 2-3% you're talking about is interest that you're PAYING and not interest that you're EARNING. If you paid off the house, you could stop PAYING interest immediately and start EARNING it by using the money you would to make house payments to invest in something else.

    If you took 30 years to pay it off at 2.5% interest, you're ultimately going to spend over $200K in interest. Wherever your money is, it's going to have to overcome that deficit before it makes sense to not pay off the house.
    The only people we should try to get even with...
    ...are those who've helped us.

    Right 'round the corner could be bigger than ourselves.
  • know1 wrote:
    But that 2-3% you're talking about is interest that you're PAYING and not interest that you're EARNING. If you paid off the house, you could stop PAYING interest immediately and start EARNING it by using the money you would to make house payments to invest in something else.

    If you took 30 years to pay it off at 2.5% interest, you're ultimately going to spend over $200K in interest. Wherever your money is, it's going to have to overcome that deficit before it makes sense to not pay off the house.

    true, the payments you are making do charge interest, however, the money you'd make on your $500k presents a bigger opportunity. i'll do the math for you:

    option 1, carry a mortgage
    mortgage = $500k
    interest rate = 4.5%
    term = 30 years
    monthly payment = $2,533

    total principle paid = $500,000
    total interest paid = $412,033 (a portion of which is deductible each year)
    total = $912,033

    option 2, invest the $500k in stock market
    present value of lump sum = $500k
    investment return = 8%
    term = 30 years
    future value = $5,031,328

    option 3, save the $2,533 each month instead of paying mortgage
    savings = $2,533
    return = 8%
    term = 30 years
    future value = $3,775,080

    THINGS TO NOTE:
    -the interest you pay in option 1 is deductible each year. in year 1, the deductible interest is ~$22k, which means you get to reduce your taxable income by $22k, which depending on your marginal tax bracket, could be significant.
    -you have to live somewhere, so if you aren't paying a mortgage, you are paying rent (or living in your parents basement), so the money is going out regardless, may as well be going toward buying something and getting the tax deduction.
    -at the end of 30 years of paying on a mortgage, your $500k home that you now own outright with have grown to ~$2.8m in value (real estate has historically appreciated at 6% annually). so you'll own a $2.8m home and have over $5m in cash in the investment account.

    i may not have convinced you, but to me, it's a no-brainer.
  • Boxes&BooksBoxes&Books USA Posts: 2,672
    know1 wrote:
    But that 2-3% you're talking about is interest that you're PAYING and not interest that you're EARNING. If you paid off the house, you could stop PAYING interest immediately and start EARNING it by using the money you would to make house payments to invest in something else.

    If you took 30 years to pay it off at 2.5% interest, you're ultimately going to spend over $200K in interest. Wherever your money is, it's going to have to overcome that deficit before it makes sense to not pay off the house.

    true, the payments you are making do charge interest, however, the money you'd make on your $500k presents a bigger opportunity. i'll do the math for you:

    option 1, carry a mortgage
    mortgage = $500k
    interest rate = 4.5%
    term = 30 years
    monthly payment = $2,533

    total principle paid = $500,000
    total interest paid = $412,033 (a portion of which is deductible each year)
    total = $912,033

    option 2, invest the $500k in stock market
    present value of lump sum = $500k
    investment return = 8%
    term = 30 years
    future value = $5,031,328

    option 3, save the $2,533 each month instead of paying mortgage
    savings = $2,533
    return = 8%
    term = 30 years
    future value = $3,775,080

    THINGS TO NOTE:
    -the interest you pay in option 1 is deductible each year. in year 1, the deductible interest is ~$22k, which means you get to reduce your taxable income by $22k, which depending on your marginal tax bracket, could be significant.
    -you have to live somewhere, so if you aren't paying a mortgage, you are paying rent (or living in your parents basement), so the money is going out regardless, may as well be going toward buying something and getting the tax deduction.
    -at the end of 30 years of paying on a mortgage, your $500k home that you now own outright with have grown to ~$2.8m in value (real estate has historically appreciated at 6% annually). so you'll own a $2.8m home and have over $5m in cash in the investment account.

    i may not have convinced you, but to me, it's a no-brainer.


    excellent post
  • Jason PJason P Posts: 19,165
    true, the payments you are making do charge interest, however, the money you'd make on your $500k presents a bigger opportunity. i'll do the math for you:

    option 1, carry a mortgage
    mortgage = $500k
    interest rate = 4.5%
    term = 30 years
    monthly payment = $2,533

    total principle paid = $500,000
    total interest paid = $412,033 (a portion of which is deductible each year)
    total = $912,033

    option 2, invest the $500k in stock market
    present value of lump sum = $500k
    investment return = 8%
    term = 30 years
    future value = $5,031,328

    option 3, save the $2,533 each month instead of paying mortgage
    savings = $2,533
    return = 8%
    term = 30 years
    future value = $3,775,080

    THINGS TO NOTE:
    -the interest you pay in option 1 is deductible each year. in year 1, the deductible interest is ~$22k, which means you get to reduce your taxable income by $22k, which depending on your marginal tax bracket, could be significant.
    -you have to live somewhere, so if you aren't paying a mortgage, you are paying rent (or living in your parents basement), so the money is going out regardless, may as well be going toward buying something and getting the tax deduction.
    -at the end of 30 years of paying on a mortgage, your $500k home that you now own outright with have grown to ~$2.8m in value (real estate has historically appreciated at 6% annually). so you'll own a $2.8m home and have over $5m in cash in the investment account.

    i may not have convinced you, but to me, it's a no-brainer.
    Option 4 is to move to the midwest and get the same house for $100K and have it paid off in 15 years :D Although I doubt it will grow 6% annually, the cost-of-living savings will offset that easily.

    That said, it is currently 5 degrees outside :shock: I think I may have suffered a head injury while surfing in San Diego . . .
    Be Excellent To Each Other
    Party On, Dudes!
  • A great point was brought up on the Daily Show last night that I'll paraphrase here for anyone who missed it:

    If tax cuts for the rich mean more jobs will be created...
    And the tax cuts that are in place currently have been there since 2003...
    Then where are the jobs?

    By the reasoning of those on the right, extending the tax cuts to the top 2% will lead to more jobs being created. Except, the top 2% have been enjoying those tax cuts for seven years now, and unemployment is roughly 9%. If tax cuts for the rich really do lead to job creation, then shouldn't there already be more than one job for every four unemployed Americans?
    And I listen for the voice inside my head... nothing. I'll do this one myself.
  • Boxes&BooksBoxes&Books USA Posts: 2,672
    cajunkiwi wrote:
    A great point was brought up on the Daily Show last night that I'll paraphrase here for anyone who missed it:

    If tax cuts for the rich mean more jobs will be created...
    And the tax cuts that are in place currently have been there since 2003...
    Then where are the jobs?

    By the reasoning of those on the right, extending the tax cuts to the top 2% will lead to more jobs being created. Except, the top 2% have been enjoying those tax cuts for seven years now, and unemployment is roughly 9%. If tax cuts for the rich really do lead to job creation, then shouldn't there already be more than one job for every four unemployed Americans?


    You can't use common sense, logic, and facts... That simply isn't supported here.
  • Jason PJason P Posts: 19,165
    cajunkiwi wrote:
    A great point was brought up on the Daily Show last night that I'll paraphrase here for anyone who missed it:

    If tax cuts for the rich mean more jobs will be created...
    And the tax cuts that are in place currently have been there since 2003...
    Then where are the jobs?

    By the reasoning of those on the right, extending the tax cuts to the top 2% will lead to more jobs being created. Except, the top 2% have been enjoying those tax cuts for seven years now, and unemployment is roughly 9%. If tax cuts for the rich really do lead to job creation, then shouldn't there already be more than one job for every four unemployed Americans?
    I doubt the tax cut extension is going to impact job creation, but it could very well stop job reduction. Who knows. The only thing certain is that if they are not extended, the government will be taking more money away from it's citizens ... money that could possibly be used for education or updating our nuclear arsenal.

    If the plan is to take more from the rich and continue spending at the current rate, guess who pays up the next time around ...
    Be Excellent To Each Other
    Party On, Dudes!
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