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Which ticket entries option for the 2 PHILADELPHIA SHOWS describes you the best? *** UPDATED w/ math

FrankieGFrankieG Abingdon MD Posts: 9,095
edited January 2016 in The Porch
Ignore the choice number you used, I'm curious about the ratios of the number of entries. Please only answer if you have entered, I want to try to be as accurate as an internet poll can get... haha

If you are doing the seated option and want to comment your 10club number, maybe you will find people around you/the number of people behind/in front of you, etc.

EDIT: ****************

Using the poll data I have tried to figure out the true Ticket Odds given that you can only win 1 pair, even though you have 4 entries. Please see my google doc and let me know what you think. Any mistakes, bad assumptions, incorrect calculations? https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1L59TB34xSfPD9k38ZdC32VrJr1ylqxbLpKJN11oyWnE/edit?usp=sharing

I thought the Ticket Odds would change based on the number of GA tickets. I'm unsure why that is wrong, any ideas?

TI:DR - You have approximately a 68% chance of winning 1 pair of tickets.
2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA
2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7

Which ticket entries option for the 2 PHILADELPHIA SHOWS describes you the best? *** UPDATED w/ math 63 votes

(1 entry) Only Show #1, Only GA
1%
AM277477 1 vote
(1 entry) Only Show #1, Only Seated
7%
Ledbetterman10KP_McMinnrustneversleepspawlowski1097dogfootblues 5 votes
(2 entries) Only Show #1, Both GA and Seated
3%
SVRDhand13ManUnited 2 votes
(1 entry) Only Show #2, Only GA
0%
(1 entry) Only Show #2, Only Seated
9%
blacknapkinswhitepantsHopperYefaDizzleEchoesOnMars 6 votes
(2 entries) Only Show #2, Both GA and Seated
4%
FrankieGbossfan92MsPJ 3 votes
(2 entries) Both Shows, Only GA
3%
PJArtistLongueuil 2 votes
(2 entries) Both Shows, Only Seated
20%
Ms. Haikuxavier mcdanielSPJlolobuggYoullseeDragonsunemployablemamaJC29856MK88178avenathuspaylingMusicDude415PJForceofNatureAlaG 13 votes
(4 entries) Both Shows, Both GA and Seated
47%
YoungJam35my2handsa5pjponner1uson2legsbassmanpforiginalsinbeanpj10RiddledWithMetaphorsBeachman44Empty GlassMS23098CJ23113MB41770BS44325InLukinsFridgeThe LonerBrane_of_JFKblenderman69nicdolas 30 votes
Other Combination
1%
fall by the wayside 1 vote
Post edited by FrankieG on

Comments

  • Options
    SVRDhand13SVRDhand13 NYC Posts: 25,894
    (2 entries) Only Show #1, Both GA and Seated
    Are you happy to see my vote frank? lol
    severed hand thirteen

    2006: Gorge 7/23 2008: Hartford 6/27 Beacon 7/1 2009: Spectrum 10/30-31
    2010: Newark 5/18 MSG 5/20-21 2011: PJ20 9/3-4 2012: Made In America 9/2
    2013: Brooklyn 10/18-19 Philly 10/21-22 Hartford 10/25 2014: ACL10/12
    2015: NYC 9/23 2016: Tampa 4/11 Philly 4/28-29 MSG 5/1-2 Fenway 8/5+8/7
    2017: RRHoF 4/7   2018: Fenway 9/2+9/4   2021: Sea Hear Now 9/18 
    2022: MSG 9/11  2024: MSG 9/3-4 Philly 9/7+9/9 Fenway 9/15+9/17
  • Options
    FrankieGFrankieG Abingdon MD Posts: 9,095
    (2 entries) Only Show #2, Both GA and Seated
    SVRDhand13 said:

    Are you happy to see my vote frank? lol

    :lol: Yes.

    Gonna be a long weekend waiting for this lottery to happen, I am already antsy :lol:
    2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA
    2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
    2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
  • Options
    Ms. HaikuMs. Haiku Washington DC Posts: 7,253
    (2 entries) Both Shows, Only Seated
    This is the cutest poll ever - we get to see the little avatars.
    There is no such thing as leftover pizza. There is now pizza and later pizza. - anonymous
    The risk I took was calculated, but man, am I bad at math - The Mincing Mockingbird
  • Options
    SVRDhand13SVRDhand13 NYC Posts: 25,894
    (2 entries) Only Show #1, Both GA and Seated
    FrankieG said:

    SVRDhand13 said:

    Are you happy to see my vote frank? lol

    :lol: Yes.

    Gonna be a long weekend waiting for this lottery to happen, I am already antsy :lol:
    I'm shockingly feeling fine right now, but I'm sure I'll be a mess on Monday. Next friday is the real deal- miss out for the second time and your tour costs are rising!
    severed hand thirteen

    2006: Gorge 7/23 2008: Hartford 6/27 Beacon 7/1 2009: Spectrum 10/30-31
    2010: Newark 5/18 MSG 5/20-21 2011: PJ20 9/3-4 2012: Made In America 9/2
    2013: Brooklyn 10/18-19 Philly 10/21-22 Hartford 10/25 2014: ACL10/12
    2015: NYC 9/23 2016: Tampa 4/11 Philly 4/28-29 MSG 5/1-2 Fenway 8/5+8/7
    2017: RRHoF 4/7   2018: Fenway 9/2+9/4   2021: Sea Hear Now 9/18 
    2022: MSG 9/11  2024: MSG 9/3-4 Philly 9/7+9/9 Fenway 9/15+9/17
  • Options
    FrankieGFrankieG Abingdon MD Posts: 9,095
    (2 entries) Only Show #2, Both GA and Seated
    @fall by the wayside What combination did you select?
    2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA
    2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
    2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
  • Options
    fall by the waysidefall by the wayside Jericho, VT Posts: 753
    Other Combination
    @FrankieG
    #1 Philly 2 reserved
    #2 Philly 1 GA

    All but guaranteeing that I get into the building for one show, while getting a fairly consequence free gamble at GA should it move into 2nd priority picks.
    9/13/98, 10/4/00, 4/29/03, 6/29/03, 7/2/03, 9/28/04, 9/29/04, 9/15/05, 9/16/05, 5/12/06, 5/13/06, 6/27/08, 6/28/08, 6/30/08, 10/30/09, 10/31/09, 5/15/10, 9/11/11, 9/12/11, 10/19/13, 10/21/13, 10/22/13, 10/25/13, 10/27/13, 9/26/15, 4/28/16, 4/29/16, 8/5/16, 8/7/16, 8/13/18, 9/2/18, 9/4/18, 9/26/21, 9/1/22, 9/2/22, 9/14/22, 9/18/23, 9/19/23
  • Options
    FoxyRedLaFoxyRedLa Lauren / MI Posts: 4,810
    Frankie I don't get to vote nor do I get to see the results sooooooo can you tell me later haha
    Oh please let it rain today.
    Those that can be trusted can change their mind.
  • Options
    FrankieGFrankieG Abingdon MD Posts: 9,095
    (2 entries) Only Show #2, Both GA and Seated
    FoxyRedLa said:

    Frankie I don't get to vote nor do I get to see the results sooooooo can you tell me later haha

    I will be publishing my maths ;)
    2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA
    2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
    2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
  • Options
    PJForceofNaturePJForceofNature Posts: 3,087
    (2 entries) Both Shows, Only Seated
    I'm keeping my fingers crossed for one of the Philly shows, doesn't matter which one!
    "A beacon on dry land"
  • Options
    FrankieGFrankieG Abingdon MD Posts: 9,095
    (2 entries) Only Show #2, Both GA and Seated
    BUMP
    2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA
    2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
    2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
  • Options
    FrankieGFrankieG Abingdon MD Posts: 9,095
    (2 entries) Only Show #2, Both GA and Seated
    Using the poll data I have tried to figure out the true Ticket Odds given that you can only win 1 pair, even though you have 4 entries. Please see my google doc and let me know what you think. Any mistakes, bad assumptions, incorrect calculations? https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1L59TB34xSfPD9k38ZdC32VrJr1ylqxbLpKJN11oyWnE/edit?usp=sharing

    I thought the Ticket Odds would change based on the number of GA tickets. I'm unsure why that is wrong, any ideas?

    TI:DR - You have approximately a 68% chance of winning 1 pair of tickets.
    2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA
    2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
    2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
  • Options
    FoxyRedLaFoxyRedLa Lauren / MI Posts: 4,810
    edited January 2016
    Jesus Frankie I think I just went cross eyed lol. I'll have to look at this after work. I've done enough manual computations before lunch :lol:

    Thanks for the hard work!
    Oh please let it rain today.
    Those that can be trusted can change their mind.
  • Options
    FrankieGFrankieG Abingdon MD Posts: 9,095
    (2 entries) Only Show #2, Both GA and Seated
    FoxyRedLa said:

    Jesus Frankie I think I just went cross eyed :lol: I'll have to look at this after work. I've done enough manual computations before lunch :lol:

    Thanks for the hard work!

    I am snowed in until Sunday, I need to keep myself from going crazy, its only 1pm haha
    2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA
    2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
    2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
  • Options
    FrankieGFrankieG Abingdon MD Posts: 9,095
    (2 entries) Only Show #2, Both GA and Seated
    39 votes, keep'em coming
    2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA
    2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
    2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
  • Options
    FrankieGFrankieG Abingdon MD Posts: 9,095
    (2 entries) Only Show #2, Both GA and Seated
    Bump
    2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA
    2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
    2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
  • Options
    FoxyRedLaFoxyRedLa Lauren / MI Posts: 4,810
    :tired_face: ......... :dizzy:


    I'm sorry Frankie. I tried - you're outta my league :lol:
    Oh please let it rain today.
    Those that can be trusted can change their mind.
  • Options
    FrankieGFrankieG Abingdon MD Posts: 9,095
    (2 entries) Only Show #2, Both GA and Seated
    FoxyRedLa said:

    :tired_face: ......... :dizzy:


    I'm sorry Frankie. I tried - you're outta my league :lol:

    :lol: I think its accurate... but some part of me feels like the GA ticket assumption should change the odds, and it isn't working like that.. Atleast it makes me feel confident that I will win the lottery, so I guess it worked out? :lol:

    Which shows are you trying for?
    2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA
    2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
    2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
  • Options
    FoxyRedLaFoxyRedLa Lauren / MI Posts: 4,810
    Frankie you da man! Lexington Toronto and Wrigley 2. Hoping for more shows later too! :rock_on: Where you headed?
    Oh please let it rain today.
    Those that can be trusted can change their mind.
  • Options
    FrankieGFrankieG Abingdon MD Posts: 9,095
    (2 entries) Only Show #2, Both GA and Seated
    FoxyRedLa said:

    Frankie you da man! Lexington Toronto and Wrigley 2. Hoping for more shows later too! :rock_on: Where you headed?

    Definitely doing Bonnaroo! Hoping for PhiladelphiaX2, NYx2, and FenwayX2 ! Might drop Fenway to do the "PJ25" show if it gets announced, but thats the plan right now!
    2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA
    2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
    2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
  • Options
    FoxyRedLaFoxyRedLa Lauren / MI Posts: 4,810
    Nice! Safe travels!
    Oh please let it rain today.
    Those that can be trusted can change their mind.
  • Options
    FrankieGFrankieG Abingdon MD Posts: 9,095
    (2 entries) Only Show #2, Both GA and Seated
    Dug my car out of 24inches of snow BUMP
    2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA
    2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
    2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
  • Options
    blenderman69blenderman69 philly Posts: 2,104
    (4 entries) Both Shows, Both GA and Seated
    FrankieG said:

    Dug my car out of 24inches of snow BUMP

    23 here in philly.
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