Please Answer: Why don't citizens care...
Comments
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riotgrl wrote:I would like a real discussion about the role that capitalism has played in our current economic crisis. Capitalism may be the "best" economic system out there but surely the amount of getting ahead, do anything to be wealthy, be a success, mentality has played a role in this situation. However, calling capitalism into question is a big no-no. You're un-American and certainly bordering on being a socialist if you wonder about the effects of a system that only awards "winners" and if you're a "loser" then its because your stupid or lazy or any number of other derogatory adjectives.
I think this is interesting, but no offense, I'm not sure it really fits in this thread...
For example, quick question:
Would you consider a Central Bank to be a capitalist institution?Here's a new demo called "in the fire":
<object height="81" width="100%"> <param name="movie" value="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869"></param> <param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param> <embed allowscriptaccess="always" height="81" src="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="100%"></embed> </object> <span><a href=" - In the Fire (demo)</a> by <a href="0 -
inlet13 wrote:riotgrl wrote:I would like a real discussion about the role that capitalism has played in our current economic crisis. Capitalism may be the "best" economic system out there but surely the amount of getting ahead, do anything to be wealthy, be a success, mentality has played a role in this situation. However, calling capitalism into question is a big no-no. You're un-American and certainly bordering on being a socialist if you wonder about the effects of a system that only awards "winners" and if you're a "loser" then its because your stupid or lazy or any number of other derogatory adjectives.
I think this is interesting, but no offense, I'm not sure it really fits in this thread...
For example, quick question:
Would you consider a Central Bank to be a capitalist institution?
No offense taken. No I don't think a central bank of any sort is a capitalist institution but if the government has no hand in the system then would that leave it all to private industry? Private banks for instance? With no regulations imposed on the system by the government? I guess I am assuming that many people to whom I have spoken that want to get rid of the Fed or any central banking system want it to be purely privately run, therefore, a more capitalist system. If that is not your take on it, then I apologize for my assumption.
Edit: However, you're right my comments don't fit the context of the discussion you initiated. But thanks for addressing my comment.Are we getting something out of this all-encompassing trip?
Seems my preconceptions are what should have been burned...
I AM MINE0 -
riotgrl wrote:inlet13 wrote:riotgrl wrote:I would like a real discussion about the role that capitalism has played in our current economic crisis. Capitalism may be the "best" economic system out there but surely the amount of getting ahead, do anything to be wealthy, be a success, mentality has played a role in this situation. However, calling capitalism into question is a big no-no. You're un-American and certainly bordering on being a socialist if you wonder about the effects of a system that only awards "winners" and if you're a "loser" then its because your stupid or lazy or any number of other derogatory adjectives.
I think this is interesting, but no offense, I'm not sure it really fits in this thread...
For example, quick question:
Would you consider a Central Bank to be a capitalist institution?
No offense taken. No I don't think a central bank of any sort is a capitalist institution but if the government has no hand in the system then would that leave it all to private industry? Private banks for instance? With no regulations imposed on the system by the government? I guess I am assuming that many people to whom I have spoken that want to get rid of the Fed or any central banking system want it to be purely privately run, therefore, a more capitalist system. If that is not your take on it, then I apologize for my assumption.
You said "with no regulations imposed on the system by the government"... I'd respond - what exactly are the regulations (or better put the checks and balances or constraints) to limit "the Fed's" power? Are there any whatsoever?
I think most who are for the removal of the Fed want to return to a Gold Standard. This provides a check in the form of the gold's value. I see a lot of positives with this.
For me, personally, I do think Free Banking is another possibility. I understand why this would concern someone though, but I think one can make a real argument that the market is more of a constraint then the current constraints against the Fed.
At the end of the day, however, I think most people really want the Fed if it exists to have "regulations" or "checks and balances" regarding what it does. All other aspects of our government does. That seems to be a reasonable compromise. In my opinion, this problem isn't as simple as free-market vs. government. The Fed is a psuedo-government organization with very limited checks against it. Anyone arguing that the Fed provides regulatory safety should ask themselves... who oversees the Fed?Here's a new demo called "in the fire":
<object height="81" width="100%"> <param name="movie" value="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869"></param> <param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param> <embed allowscriptaccess="always" height="81" src="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="100%"></embed> </object> <span><a href=" - In the Fire (demo)</a> by <a href="0 -
inlet13 wrote:
My point is - this affects us too. When we see the price of bread, milk, oil and BEER (my biggest pet peeve) jumping... when we see house prices jumping or falling... when we deal with economic problems by turning on the printers... when we rationalize why everyone (citizens, banks, corporations, and now even nations) need bailouts.
That's what I was trying to explain (probably not very well!). Most people do not 'see' how this 'monetary policy' affects our daily lives. Taxes - yes - means less take home pay. But monetary policy? Isn't that for the 'big guys up there'? What they talk about during their G8 summits or whatever meetings? Bailouts? Pfft... won't affect me. So they think.... Now, if the basic media would come out and say 'policy x agreed at the summit will mean that your beer will double in price because.... then people may start to try and educate themselves about this. I believe, for most, this is just above their heads. They think it's a 'country to country' thing and not something that trickles down to the individual. I guess people are like that - it doesn't affect them directly, there is an apathy about things.0 -
redrock wrote:inlet13 wrote:
My point is - this affects us too. When we see the price of bread, milk, oil and BEER (my biggest pet peeve) jumping... when we see house prices jumping or falling... when we deal with economic problems by turning on the printers... when we rationalize why everyone (citizens, banks, corporations, and now even nations) need bailouts.
That's what I was trying to explain (probably not very well!). Most people do not 'see' how this 'monetary policy' affects our daily lives. Taxes - yes - means less take home pay. But monetary policy? Isn't that for the 'big guys up there'? What they talk about during their G8 summits or whatever meetings? Bailouts? Pfft... won't affect me. So they think.... Now, if the basic media would come out and say 'policy x agreed at the summit will mean that your beer will double in price because.... then people may start to try and educate themselves about this. I believe, for most, this is just above their heads. They think it's a 'country to country' thing and not something that trickles down to the individual. I guess people are like that - it doesn't affect them directly, there is an apathy about things.
I get what your saying. Good point. That's probably it. I hope that changes, but I suppose it won't.Here's a new demo called "in the fire":
<object height="81" width="100%"> <param name="movie" value="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869"></param> <param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param> <embed allowscriptaccess="always" height="81" src="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="100%"></embed> </object> <span><a href=" - In the Fire (demo)</a> by <a href="0 -
inlet13 wrote:
I get what your saying. Good point. That's probably it. I hope that changes, but I suppose it won't.
I think it will inlet. The 'younger' generation is a lot more savvy now. I guess it is a bit different in the US than it is in Europe and that Europeans are a bit more au-fait with these matters. (Note: not an 'anti-US' jibe, just the political nature of the countries). It may take a little while but it will change.0 -
riotgrl wrote:if the government has no hand in the system then would that leave it all to private industry? Private banks for instance? With no regulations imposed on the system by the government? I guess I am assuming that many people to whom I have spoken that want to get rid of the Fed or any central banking system want it to be purely privately run[...]
If you are talking about the role of the "central bank" (ie. US Federal Reserve Bank) in monetary policy ...The Congress shall have power [...] To coin money, regulate the value thereof, and of foreign coin, and fix the standard of weights and measures;
The CONGRESS shall have the power.
You have to be a "loose construction-ist" and support "implied powers" (as opposed to being an adherent of "strict construction" and "enumeration of powers") to buy the notion that Congress can delegate its explicitly enumerated power to regulate the value of money on to a seperate, INDEPENDENT, authority (ie. The Fed) of which Congress then has NO CONTROL over.
The 10th Amendment saysThe powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the states, are reserved to the states respectively, or to the people.
So either you believe the drafters of the constitution literally meant what they said, and spend much time, energy, and debate formulating ... and which they added an entire Amendment seemingly to enforce ... or you believe, like the loose-constructionists that the Founders (after having watched their rights under British rule gradually erode down the slope of "interpretation" and abuse) for some odd reason left "loop holes" in the one thing which they specifically crafted to guard their liberties (against encroachment from the government they were in the process of forming) and thought that the government they were making should be allowed to decide itself what it ought and ought not be able to do.
Just think about it for a minute.
It shouldn't be hard to deduce that the Founders intentions were fairly straightforward and clear.
It should also be fairly clear that ONLY A POLITICIAN would want to argue that this is not the case -- "wait wait, you mean because the constitution doesn't say we can do this, it means we can't do it? Oh no no no! I think it just means that we have the IMPLIED power to do it."
:( :roll: :roll: :nono: :fp: :fp: :nono: :roll: :roll: :(
Does the Constitution give the Federal Government the IMPLIED power to violate the Constitution?
What are the IMPLIED limits on IMPLIED power?
Why enumerate ANY powers if you believe in implied power?
Does "The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution" not contradict the notion of "implied powers"? Doesn't it EXPLICITLY state that any such powers "are reserved to the states respectively, or to the people"?
Just read this sub-section, Judicial Interpretation of the 10th Amendment of the Wikipedia page for 10th Amendment to see just how far your powers of "logic" have to devolve to accept the seemingly currently-accepted notion of "implied powers". (read the first section regarding Madison and the ratification of it as well) Even up to the 1940's the Supreme Court accepted as a TRUISIM ("so obvious or self-evident as to be hardly worth mentioning, except as a reminder or as a rhetorical or literary device") that powers must be EXPLICITLY ENUMERATED.
"The amendment states but a truism that all is retained which has not been surrendered."
United States v. Darby, 312 U.S. 100, 124 (1941)If I was to smile and I held out my hand
If I opened it now would you not understand?0 -
inlet13 wrote:riotgrl wrote:inlet13 wrote:I would like a real discussion about the role that capitalism has played in our current economic crisis. Capitalism may be the "best" economic system out there but surely the amount of getting ahead, do anything to be wealthy, be a success, mentality has played a role in this situation. However, calling capitalism into question is a big no-no. You're un-American and certainly bordering on being a socialist if you wonder about the effects of a system that only awards "winners" and if you're a "loser" then its because your stupid or lazy or any number of other derogatory adjectives.
I think this is interesting, but no offense, I'm not sure it really fits in this thread...
For example, quick question:
Would you consider a Central Bank to be a capitalist institution?
No offense taken. No I don't think a central bank of any sort is a capitalist institution but if the government has no hand in the system then would that leave it all to private industry? Private banks for instance? With no regulations imposed on the system by the government? I guess I am assuming that many people to whom I have spoken that want to get rid of the Fed or any central banking system want it to be purely privately run, therefore, a more capitalist system. If that is not your take on it, then I apologize for my assumption.
You said "with no regulations imposed on the system by the government"... I'd respond - what exactly are the regulations (or better put the checks and balances or constraints) to limit "the Fed's" power? Are there any whatsoever?
I think most who are for the removal of the Fed want to return to a Gold Standard. This provides a check in the form of the gold's value. I see a lot of positives with this.
For me, personally, I do think Free Banking is another possibility. I understand why this would concern someone though, but I think one can make a real argument that the market is more of a constraint then the current constraints against the Fed.
At the end of the day, however, I think most people really want the Fed if it exists to have "regulations" or "checks and balances" regarding what it does. All other aspects of our government does. That seems to be a reasonable compromise. In my opinion, this problem isn't as simple as free-market vs. government. The Fed is a psuedo-government organization with very limited checks against it. Anyone arguing that the Fed provides regulatory safety should ask themselves... who oversees the Fed?[/quote]
I agree with you that there is no check on the Fed and there should be. Actually, most govt. agencies seem to be able to run as they see fit with no oversight at all which I think is a huge problem but I digress and I've already hijacked your thread. So to address your original question....I don't care about monetary policy becuase it is too complicated. I have a pretty strong understanding of economics and monetary policy and the scope often exceeds my grasp so at the end of the day it takes alot of my brain power to wrap my head around what should be ideas that we can all easily understand. Going back to a gold standard would be my first choice as I think it would simplify matters...to an extent.Are we getting something out of this all-encompassing trip?
Seems my preconceptions are what should have been burned...
I AM MINE0 -
DriftingByTheStorm wrote:riotgrl wrote:if the government has no hand in the system then would that leave it all to private industry? Private banks for instance? With no regulations imposed on the system by the government? I guess I am assuming that many people to whom I have spoken that want to get rid of the Fed or any central banking system want it to be purely privately run[...]
If you are talking about the role of the "central bank" (ie. US Federal Reserve Bank) in monetary policy ...The Congress shall have power [...] To coin money, regulate the value thereof, and of foreign coin, and fix the standard of weights and measures;
The CONGRESS shall have the power.
You have to be a "loose construction-ist" and support "implied powers" (as opposed to being an adherent of "strict construction" and "enumeration of powers") to buy the notion that Congress can delegate its explicitly enumerated power to regulate the value of money on to a seperate, INDEPENDENT, authority (ie. The Fed) of which Congress then has NO CONTROL over.
The 10th Amendment saysThe powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the states, are reserved to the states respectively, or to the people.
So either you believe the drafters of the constitution literally meant what they said, and spend much time, energy, and debate formulating ... and which they added an entire Amendment seemingly to enforce ... or you believe, like the loose-constructionists that the Founders (after having watched their rights under British rule gradually erode down the slope of "interpretation" and abuse) for some odd reason left "loop holes" in the one thing which they specifically crafted to guard their liberties (against encroachment from the government they were in the process of forming) and thought that the government they were making should be allowed to decide itself what it ought and ought not be able to do.
Just think about it for a minute.
It shouldn't be hard to deduce that the Founders intentions were fairly straightforward and clear.
It should also be fairly clear that ONLY A POLITICIAN would want to argue that this is not the case -- "wait wait, you mean because the constitution doesn't say we can do this, it means we can't do it? Oh no no no! I think it just means that we have the IMPLIED power to do it."
:( :roll: :roll: :nono: :fp: :fp: :nono: :roll: :roll: :(
Does the Constitution give the Federal Government the IMPLIED power to violate the Constitution?
What are the IMPLIED limits on IMPLIED power?
Why enumerate ANY powers if you believe in implied power?
Does "The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution" not contradict the notion of "implied powers"? Doesn't it EXPLICITLY state that any such powers "are reserved to the states respectively, or to the people"?
Just read this sub-section, Judicial Interpretation of the 10th Amendment of the Wikipedia page for 10th Amendment to see just how far your powers of "logic" have to devolve to accept the seemingly currently-accepted notion of "implied powers". (read the first section regarding Madison and the ratification of it as well) Even up to the 1940's the Supreme Court accepted as a TRUISIM ("so obvious or self-evident as to be hardly worth mentioning, except as a reminder or as a rhetorical or literary device") that powers must be EXPLICITLY ENUMERATED.
"The amendment states but a truism that all is retained which has not been surrendered."
United States v. Darby, 312 U.S. 100, 124 (1941)
While I agree with your statement about ONLY Congress having the ability to coin money, regulate money, etc. I disagree with your statement about the intentions of the founding fathers. Since you did not specifically name a founding father that you had in mind with your statement, I will only address two of them. First, Alexander Hamilton was a loose constructionist as evidenced by his creation of the First Bank of the US (and his own writings which verify this belief) which was designed to help achieve Hamilton's vision of the US as an industrial power so business could more easily get loans to expand business. On the opposite side is Thomas Jefferson who is widely acknowledged as being a strict constructionist. Jefferson very much opposed the creation of a central bank in part because he saw the US as continuing to evolve as an agrarian society and there would be little need for business loans and the like. However, the founding fathers beliefs evolved over time and even the most vociferous champion of strict constructionism and states rights invoked implied powers as he saw fit. Jefferson used implied powers to justify his purchase of the Louisiana territory and took quite a few hits from other founding fathers (namely Hamilton) for his changing views. While debating the relative merits, of implied versus enumerated powers would be an interesting argument, I don't think the founding fathers would all agree with your statement, if we look at both their words AND their actions.Are we getting something out of this all-encompassing trip?
Seems my preconceptions are what should have been burned...
I AM MINE0 -
riotgrl wrote:While I agree with your statement about ONLY Congress having the ability to coin money, regulate money, etc. I disagree with your statement about the intentions of the founding fathers. Since you did not specifically name a founding father that you had in mind with your statement, I will only address two of them. First, Alexander Hamilton was a loose constructionist as evidenced by his creation of the First Bank of the US (and his own writings which verify this belief) which was designed to help achieve Hamilton's vision of the US as an industrial power so business could more easily get loans to expand business. On the opposite side is Thomas Jefferson who is widely acknowledged as being a strict constructionist. Jefferson very much opposed the creation of a central bank in part because he saw the US as continuing to evolve as an agrarian society and there would be little need for business loans and the like. However, the founding fathers beliefs evolved over time and even the most vociferous champion of strict constructionism and states rights invoked implied powers as he saw fit. Jefferson used implied powers to justify his purchase of the Louisiana territory and took quite a few hits from other founding fathers (namely Hamilton) for his changing views. While debating the relative merits, of implied versus enumerated powers would be an interesting argument, I don't think the founding fathers would all agree with your statement, if we look at both their words AND their actions.
Well I will grant you that, from the first Administration of our newly formed country, ALREADY the POLITICIANS were at work weaseling their way past the very constraints that they had just formulated.
I guess what would have been better stated is that the *compromised intent* or *homogenized wisdom* of our Founding Fathers, put to paper in a formalized legal document indicates that the sum total of their collaborative wisdom seems to indicate that they well understood the dangers of unlimited Federal power ... or rather, virtually unlimited, or IMPLICITLY (har har) unlimited Federal power, and that they deliberately added safe guards to the constitution to express their own sentiment\warning against such formulation of "implied powers".
That being said, I reckon you are right in the jist of what you say. Generalizations are generally dangerous.
I have real mixed feeling about Hamilton. More so than any of the other high profile founding fathers, to be sure. His over focus on Federalism and Economic Growth seemed to leave him blind to the dangers of the system he was constructing. Also, while it has been a while since I have read them, I recall being put off more than once by both the nature of the language used against the anti-federalists (essentially accusing them of being outright ignorant) in The Federalist Papers (largely authored by Hamilton) and in several cases by what seemed to be to be obviously rhetorical and somewhat-dishonest (or naive) counter-arguments about the sure-fire safety of Federalism.
On the flip side, I think Jefferson is probably the one who speaks to me the most in terms of what seems from his writings to me to indicate the detailed and explicit understanding he had of human nature, of liberty, and of his skeptical-enthusiasm for organized government, period. TO YOUR\MY POINT though, I think Jefferson probably makes one of the best cases for illustrating the dichotomy between how great a great thinker can be in the abstract or outside of specific instance ... and yet fail miserably to stick to their own conclusions when forced in to the POLITICAL arena. In other words, ONLY POLITICIANS would want to argue for Loose Constructionism, no sane CITIZEN would do so. Here Jefferson was as guilty as the rest.If I was to smile and I held out my hand
If I opened it now would you not understand?0 -
riotgrl wrote:You said "with no regulations imposed on the system by the government"... I'd respond - what exactly are the regulations (or better put the checks and balances or constraints) to limit "the Fed's" power? Are there any whatsoever?
I think most who are for the removal of the Fed want to return to a Gold Standard. This provides a check in the form of the gold's value. I see a lot of positives with this.
For me, personally, I do think Free Banking is another possibility. I understand why this would concern someone though, but I think one can make a real argument that the market is more of a constraint then the current constraints against the Fed.
At the end of the day, however, I think most people really want the Fed if it exists to have "regulations" or "checks and balances" regarding what it does. All other aspects of our government does. That seems to be a reasonable compromise. In my opinion, this problem isn't as simple as free-market vs. government. The Fed is a psuedo-government organization with very limited checks against it. Anyone arguing that the Fed provides regulatory safety should ask themselves... who oversees the Fed?
I agree with you that there is no check on the Fed and there should be. Actually, most govt. agencies seem to be able to run as they see fit with no oversight at all which I think is a huge problem but I digress and I've already hijacked your thread. So to address your original question....I don't care about monetary policy becuase it is too complicated. I have a pretty strong understanding of economics and monetary policy and the scope often exceeds my grasp so at the end of the day it takes alot of my brain power to wrap my head around what should be ideas that we can all easily understand. Going back to a gold standard would be my first choice as I think it would simplify matters...to an extent.
You hit on some good points all over this post.
I would chime in on the following points:
1. Gold Standard
IMHO, this is untenable in a modern economy.
Gold is cumbersome. Period.
If, recognizing that, you resort to gold certificates (ie. gold backed paper currency) you are already dangerously close to being right back at square one. The original gold warehousing agents practically invented fractional-reserve lending, and practiced it with deceitful intent. There is no reason to assume that the government would not do so from the beginning (as i'm sure they probably did, if not to some limited extent). Using physical gold would be essentially impossible in a modern computerized economy. Inter-bank clearing alone would become so costly it would be prohibitive. You are also right back to one of the original problems with the gold standard, which was that of in-flows and out-flows of bullion from national economies being highly restrictive. The point of going off the gold standard was to remove (what was perceived as, and probably are best thought of as) artificial constraints to the economy. The absolute danger of going off the gold standard, ironically, was the removal of any and all constraints on the growth of the Money Base.
2. Free Banking
I believe, as you say, provides no assurance to savers of the safety of their funds. You can argue that this is okay, and would force better self regulation, say, in the form of the ratings institutions, but we know from recent history that ratings institutions (which in this scenario would be KEY for the average person to assess which institutions, and which scripts, were the most sound) are horribly susceptible to all sorts of pressures and are pretty much worthless, particularly in times of stress\distress.
I think Milton Friedman probably came up with the best "ultimate" solution in the form of his combined or two-level currency economy, although, since it has never been practiced, it is hard to say what the ultimate ramifications would be for the top-level (read: national) currency. It is also hard to formulate a "way out" of the current ABHORENT MESS
Essentially Friedman's favorite solution was, CAP "HIGH-POWERED" MONEY ... in other words, kill the fed. Remove ALL human intervention from the inflation of the national money supply. This would provide a stable base for savers and the general public. Allow "Free Banking" as well, so that competing currencies could float in the market and compete for users.
This necessitates two things that unfortunately will probably never happen ... only one of which Friedman even bothered to mention ...
a. (mentioned) a period of adjustment and acute pain for the markets, wherein they resolve to the notion of a stagnant high-powered which implied DEFLATIONARY economics and a necessary restructuring of ALL investment classes & markets to the notion that prices will go DOWN and not UP (as denominated in High Powered money).
b. There are HUGE political reasons why I think it would never happen. Namely that inflation is THE name of the game for our\most governments. The Money Masters would (imho) NEVER give up this game. EVER.
The only other solution (although Friedman offered a couple of lesser solutions in the paper i'm referencing, which i will try to dig up and post a copy of when i get a few more minutes) is The New World Order ... a cashless society ... and a cooperative world structure that relies on need based resource distribution and the restructuring of "work" to non-competitive ends only. People CHOOSE how they want to contribute, and everyone cooperates. Good luck on that one guys. I know they are perpetually trying for it, though.
PS - i believe that Friedman paper is "The Case for Overhauling the Federal Reserve" (Challenge Magazine), though I can't seem to find a free copy to read \ verify online.If I was to smile and I held out my hand
If I opened it now would you not understand?0 -
Well, here's a short answer.
I just read all three pages of this thread and blacked out.
One guy was talking about taxes, one guy about beer, and the other about Alexander Hamilton. That's about all I got out of this.0 -
UpSideDown wrote:Well, here's a short answer.
I just read all three pages of this thread and blacked out.
One guy was talking about taxes, one guy about beer, and the other about Alexander Hamilton. That's about all I got out of this.
It's not really that complicated. But, I get it... when people start talking about the history, eyes certainly glaze over. To be honest, I don't see why the history even matters to form an opinion on the subject. But, anyways, sometimes threads here start one way and go in another direction.
Anyway, the point here is - monetary policy affects prices. Hence, your beer, your wine, your milk, your house, your stocks... even the price received when you save or price paid when you obtain a loan. Prices affect everything. This is pretty much why it matters in a nutshell.
An aside - I would love to hear Mr. Vedder's thoughts on Monetary Policy and the Fed. I mean this guy is pretty engaged in politics, right? So, let's hear his thoughts on Bernanke.Here's a new demo called "in the fire":
<object height="81" width="100%"> <param name="movie" value="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869"></param> <param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param> <embed allowscriptaccess="always" height="81" src="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="100%"></embed> </object> <span><a href=" - In the Fire (demo)</a> by <a href="0 -
DriftingByTheStorm wrote:riotgrl wrote:You said "with no regulations imposed on the system by the government"... I'd respond - what exactly are the regulations (or better put the checks and balances or constraints) to limit "the Fed's" power? Are there any whatsoever?
I think most who are for the removal of the Fed want to return to a Gold Standard. This provides a check in the form of the gold's value. I see a lot of positives with this.
For me, personally, I do think Free Banking is another possibility. I understand why this would concern someone though, but I think one can make a real argument that the market is more of a constraint then the current constraints against the Fed.
At the end of the day, however, I think most people really want the Fed if it exists to have "regulations" or "checks and balances" regarding what it does. All other aspects of our government does. That seems to be a reasonable compromise. In my opinion, this problem isn't as simple as free-market vs. government. The Fed is a psuedo-government organization with very limited checks against it. Anyone arguing that the Fed provides regulatory safety should ask themselves... who oversees the Fed?
I agree with you that there is no check on the Fed and there should be. Actually, most govt. agencies seem to be able to run as they see fit with no oversight at all which I think is a huge problem but I digress and I've already hijacked your thread. So to address your original question....I don't care about monetary policy becuase it is too complicated. I have a pretty strong understanding of economics and monetary policy and the scope often exceeds my grasp so at the end of the day it takes alot of my brain power to wrap my head around what should be ideas that we can all easily understand. Going back to a gold standard would be my first choice as I think it would simplify matters...to an extent.
You hit on some good points all over this post.
I would chime in on the following points:
1. Gold Standard
IMHO, this is untenable in a modern economy.
Gold is cumbersome. Period.
If, recognizing that, you resort to gold certificates (ie. gold backed paper currency) you are already dangerously close to being right back at square one. The original gold warehousing agents practically invented fractional-reserve lending, and practiced it with deceitful intent. There is no reason to assume that the government would not do so from the beginning (as i'm sure they probably did, if not to some limited extent). Using physical gold would be essentially impossible in a modern computerized economy. Inter-bank clearing alone would become so costly it would be prohibitive. You are also right back to one of the original problems with the gold standard, which was that of in-flows and out-flows of bullion from national economies being highly restrictive. The point of going off the gold standard was to remove (what was perceived as, and probably are best thought of as) artificial constraints to the economy. The absolute danger of going off the gold standard, ironically, was the removal of any and all constraints on the growth of the Money Base.
2. Free Banking
I believe, as you say, provides no assurance to savers of the safety of their funds. You can argue that this is okay, and would force better self regulation, say, in the form of the ratings institutions, but we know from recent history that ratings institutions (which in this scenario would be KEY for the average person to assess which institutions, and which scripts, were the most sound) are horribly susceptible to all sorts of pressures and are pretty much worthless, particularly in times of stress\distress.
I think Milton Friedman probably came up with the best "ultimate" solution in the form of his combined or two-level currency economy, although, since it has never been practiced, it is hard to say what the ultimate ramifications would be for the top-level (read: national) currency. It is also hard to formulate a "way out" of the current ABHORENT MESS
Essentially Friedman's favorite solution was, CAP "HIGH-POWERED" MONEY ... in other words, kill the fed. Remove ALL human intervention from the inflation of the national money supply. This would provide a stable base for savers and the general public. Allow "Free Banking" as well, so that competing currencies could float in the market and compete for users.
This necessitates two things that unfortunately will probably never happen ... only one of which Friedman even bothered to mention ...
a. (mentioned) a period of adjustment and acute pain for the markets, wherein they resolve to the notion of a stagnant high-powered which implied DEFLATIONARY economics and a necessary restructuring of ALL investment classes & markets to the notion that prices will go DOWN and not UP (as denominated in High Powered money).
b. There are HUGE political reasons why I think it would never happen. Namely that inflation is THE name of the game for our\most governments. The Money Masters would (imho) NEVER give up this game. EVER.
The only other solution (although Friedman offered a couple of lesser solutions in the paper i'm referencing, which i will try to dig up and post a copy of when i get a few more minutes) is The New World Order ... a cashless society ... and a cooperative world structure that relies on need based resource distribution and the restructuring of "work" to non-competitive ends only. People CHOOSE how they want to contribute, and everyone cooperates. Good luck on that one guys. I know they are perpetually trying for it, though.
PS - i believe that Friedman paper is "The Case for Overhauling the Federal Reserve" (Challenge Magazine), though I can't seem to find a free copy to read \ verify online.
Just to point something out real quick - riotgrl accidentally quoted things wrong and the first part of her quote is actually my quote.
But, regardless, this is interesting stuff.Here's a new demo called "in the fire":
<object height="81" width="100%"> <param name="movie" value="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869"></param> <param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param> <embed allowscriptaccess="always" height="81" src="https://player.soundcloud.com/player.swf?url=http://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/28998869" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="100%"></embed> </object> <span><a href=" - In the Fire (demo)</a> by <a href="0 -
inlet13 wrote:UpSideDown wrote:Well, here's a short answer.
I just read all three pages of this thread and blacked out.
One guy was talking about taxes, one guy about beer, and the other about Alexander Hamilton. That's about all I got out of this.
It's not really that complicated. But, I get it... when people start talking about the history, eyes certainly glaze over. To be honest, I don't see why the history even matters to form an opinion on the subject. But, anyways, sometimes threads here start one way and go in another direction.
Anyway, the point here is - monetary policy affects prices. Hence, your beer, your wine, your milk, your house, your stocks... even the price received when you save or price paid when you obtain a loan. Prices affect everything. This is pretty much why it matters in a nutshell.
An aside - I would love to hear Mr. Vedder's thoughts on Monetary Policy and the Fed. I mean this guy is pretty engaged in politics, right? So, let's hear his thoughts on Bernanke.
that is a great point. I do a fair amount of it myself for some reason...i try to be as pragmatic as possible, but it is almost impossible to have a discussion on a topic without the history being brought up.
In government there seem to be two constants, ideas and what ifs. The what ifs always seem to win out over the ideas and gov't doesn't do a lot of things based on the fear of the what ifs...I think governance over the Fed falls prey to this line of thinking... worries about the what ifs of politicizing the monetary policy, that political influence and even lobbyist influence could effect how the government would watch the Fed.
Until economics becomes a core program in high school or even younger, it will continue to be a mystery to most...and mysteries are confusing to people. They would rather focus on something they perceive as black and white... It is startling when you look at the amount of federally elected leaders that make very important decisions on this topic and others that have no formally degrees or anything other than a cursory knowledge of how economies work...
A bright spot for me is that Dr. Paul has many 18, 19 year old students chanting end the fed...hopefully that translates into learning about why the fed should end and what reasonable alternatives would be to our current policies.
I am honestly worried about the inflation that arises from record low interest rates for a very long extended period and QEs...I wish I understood the measure more, but it seems that not having food and energy in the equation seems crazy to me...that’s right! Can’t we all just get together and focus on our real enemies: monogamous gays and stem cells… - Ned Flanders
It is terrifying when you are too stupid to know who is dumb
- Joe Rogan0 -
Question for inlet and other versed in economics: I've had various bank accounts with interest since I got my first check book about forty years ago and in all that time I've never seen interest on checking, saving, and certificate of deposits so low for such a long time. How does this fit into our current economic status and what do you see as the long term effect?"It's a sad and beautiful world"-Roberto Benigni0
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inlet13 wrote:...about Monetary Policy?
Definition of 'Monetary Policy'
The actions of a central bank, currency board or other regulatory committee that determine the size and rate of growth of the money supply, which in turn affects interest rates. Monetary policy is maintained through actions such as increasing the interest rate, or changing the amount of money banks need to keep in the vault (bank reserves).
I'd particularly like to hear from those who rarely discuss the subject. Please answer why you don't care. I'm curious. Thanks!
not that I don't care, sorry to say I don't understand how it works.
Godfather.0 -
brianlux wrote:Question for inlet and other versed in economics: I've had various bank accounts with interest since I got my first check book about forty years ago and in all that time I've never seen interest on checking, saving, and certificate of deposits so low for such a long time. How does this fit into our current economic status and what do you see as the long term effect?
Fed's Interest Rate Trap Demonstrates The Danger of Its Policy
I was just reading about this fairly in depth over the past couple days, what with all this bull shit about "sterilized QE" being considered. It's just beyond the pale ridiculous. Its a farce. Its a farce of a farce. Its a longer term farce loan in exchange for a short term farce note.
The long and short of it is the Fed CAN NOT allow interest rates to rise ... now or ever, probably.
We're approaching end-game type scenarios here, with the volume of debt owed by the Federal government being so ridiculously high that it
a. can't pay it off
b. can hardly (really not) manage the INTEREST payments
To even feign managing the cost of interest payments it MUST keep rates LOW LOW LOW.
Unfortunately, becuase the US credit rating (real or perceived, it doesn't matter, the street knows the truth) is slipping badly, it (the US Treasury's Public Debt Department) is having a VERY HARD TIME SELLING TREASURIES.
It's "answer" to this quandry is simple.
SELL THEM TO YOURSELF ... vis-a-vis the Federal Reserve, which is technically "NOT" the government, and therefore can buy the Government's debt. It does this, of course, in exchange for cash which it (the Fed) PRINTS OUT OF THIN AIR.
This game is beyond dangerous. it is DEADLY as hell.
It (the money masters of our system) also by the way is having ALL its banks BUY TREASURIES BY THE HEEBS AND GOBS with the money it (the Fed) is giving to them for essentially FREE (or REAL negative rates) ...
US Banking System total treasury purchases for JANUARY AND FEBRUARY 2012 *ALONE* was something like 74 Billion Dollars. US Banking System Total Treasury Purchases FOR ALL OF 2011 was something like 68 Billion Dollars.
You tell me whats going on here.
:roll::shock:
:?
More food for thought:
Sack of Nonsense - ReduxTurdFurgeson wrote:For the sake of clarity, I'm going to rely again upon my old friend, Mr. Black Dot Chronology:
*All of this...all of the QE, all of the ZIRP, all of the LTRO...it's all about funding government debt.
*The only way The Great Ponzi can now be maintained is through low interest rates. Simple economic growth cannot and will not produce the tax revenue necessary to "grow our way out of it".
*If rates move higher, the economy will slow even further, exacerbating this problem.
*More importantly, if rates move higher, the interest on the accumulated debt will take up an accelerating portion of the U.S. federal budget.
*QE1 and QE2 was the method through which The Fed purchased U.S. bonds outright, thereby creating an artificial demand for U.S. government paper and keeping rates low.
*ZIRP and Operation Twist is the method through which the Fed continues to suppress long-term rates. It's been estimated that the Fed is currently soaking up as much as 90% of the 10-30 year auctions.
*ZIRP and Operation Twist require regular, "traditional" demand for short-term U.S. debt. This demand is managed through the creation of uncertainty regarding Europe, Iran, etc.
So, now, here we sit. Three years of this centrally-planned fiasco and The Fed is pressed back against the wall again. Their Primary Dealers have balance sheets that are completely chock-full of treasuries and a PD cannot raise funds to continue buying even more without a) selling some of their current holdings, OR, b) getting some fresh, new cash from The Fed to use. Option "A" is off the table because selling holdings will push down price and, as you know, lower prices means higher rates and, as you know, higher rates cannot be allowed. But Option "B" doesn't look too good, either. Calling something overt Quantitative Easing isn't going to fly in an election year and, additionally, much time and energy has been spent convincing The Sheep that the U.S. banks are completely healthy and recovered. Giving them billions of dollars to spend on treasuries might dispel that myth.If I was to smile and I held out my hand
If I opened it now would you not understand?0 -
Thanks, Drifting. I'm not sure I understand all of that but the general sense I get is- dare I use the term?- clusterfuck."It's a sad and beautiful world"-Roberto Benigni0
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brianlux wrote:Thanks, Drifting. I'm not sure I understand all of that but the general sense I get is- dare I use the term?- clusterfuck.
TOTAL cluster fuck.
It's not that hard to understand, really.
The US Government operates on a massive continual deficit, and also must perpetually fund its existing debt (ie. it must pay back expiring Treasury notes, and also make semi-annual interest payments on existing unexpired notes).
To finance this ongoing regime of deficit spending and existing massive debt, the Government must, of course, ISSUE NEW DEBT ... in the form of Treasury Bills.
With such a LARGE debt burden at this time, any rise in interest rates (paid on those bills) would be CRIPPLING.
To keep rates "artificially" (i don't even know why i quotation-ed that, they do out right artificially suppress prices with their "open market" operations) low the Fed does several things.
But, as I said, the long and short of it is that, because of the massive debt, the Fed is in an all-out-war with interest rates, doing a great many things ... some so convoluted (like this "sterilized QE" they are proposing) that i doubt even their best minds can wrap their heads around the domino like consequences of their actions.
If you want to understand in detail how the Fed affects rates:
in brief, from the Fed itself
from another guy who seems to get it pretty well
from a pretty big skeptic of current Fed policy ...
once you start to wrap your head around the rules underlying the silly little game that is being played right now ... you can start to actually follow current Fed policy ... and once you start doing that ... it gets pretty alarming pretty quick.
Read some of that stuff, then come back to The Interest Rate Trap article, and start shaking your head.
You start to see why all the policies being enacted are designed only to inflate (both because this influx of new money helps get banks the cash they need to keep their rates low, and because currently the Fed itself is using gobs of its newly created cash to purchase Treasuries directly from the Government -- since REAL demand for them is more or less on a downward trajectory) ... and yet conversely, the programs being designed to inflate are fabricated in such a convoluted fashion so as to be hopefully too "confusing" for the market to get the appropriate inflationary signals ... because if the market got accurate inflationary feedback, it would just go ahead and raise rates itself (because if your money is losing value at X% a year, you will not accept a (X-1)% [or worse] APR on an investment\treasury, right? and then the government would be forced to raise rates) ...
Also, sadly, it means the government\Fed is forced to NOT PARTICIPATE IN HELPING ANY SORT OF **REAL** ECONOMIC GROWTH in the economy, because if the government\fed DID actively participate in helping to improve the real economy it would be SHOOTING THEMSELVES IN THE FACE ... because as the velocity of money in the economy increases (increased velocity of money is implicit with a growing economy -- the better the economy, the faster\more people spend) so does the vector of inflation grow ... this is traditional Price Inflation ... compounded by fractional reserve lending ... lending which always picks up steadily in a growing economy ...
thus, if the government helps improve the economy, it effectively causes inflation to rear it's ugly head ... then putting pressure on interest rates to increase (remember, you can't accept X-1%) ... THEN FUCKING THE GOVERNMENT (with it's massive debt, which it is paying interest on) IN THE FACE.
no es bueno,
si?
no?
:(If I was to smile and I held out my hand
If I opened it now would you not understand?0
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