Dave knows how to play the game! It really isn't a game though. It is common sense. There are plenty of tickets to go around except for the high demand markets. This is true regardless of whether F5 is still applicable or not.
1 - NY2 GA lost 2 - Columbia GA won 3 - Tampa res won 4 - Greenville res lost 5 - Quebec res won 6 - Philly 2 res lost 7 - Lexington res lost 8 - Ottawa res lost 9 - Hampton res lost 10 - Raleigh res won 11-25 bunch of GA and NY/Philly/Toronto selections I knew I wouldn't win but put them in because it didn't matter.
1. Toronto reserved - lost 2. Ottawa reserved - won 3. Quebec reserved - won
2000: Montreal 2003: Toronto 2005: Toronto 2006: Toronto x2 2008: MSG x2, Montreal x2 (EV), Toronto x2 (EV) 2009: Toronto 2010: Buffalo 2011: Detroit (EV), PJ20 x2, Montreal, Toronto x2, Ottawa, Hamilton 2013: London, Buffalo, Brooklyn x2, Philly x2 2014: Detroit 2016: Quebec City, Ottawa, Toronto x2, Fenway x2 2018: Home Shows x2 2020: L.A. x2, Oakland x2 2023: Seattle x2 (EV) 2024: Vancouver x2, Seattle x2 (ISO: 1 N1 Seattle GA)
Dave knows how to play the game! It really isn't a game though. It is common sense. There are plenty of tickets to go around except for the high demand markets. This is true regardless of whether F5 is still applicable or not.
Thanks buddy... I kind of think of the lottery as a game of Blackjack. It is a lot of luck, but there is a little skill involved in ordering your selections!! The only show I was really worried about was Toronto, so I made it my #1 pick and went for reserved instead of chancing the riskier GA ticket. I went with Lexington next, because we have a crew of 6 people heading down for this show and the odds looked really good to still get this one as a #2 reserved pick. We decided to do the Lexington show as a one-off... because it's the closest thing to a "hometown" show for us, and we can get there and back in the same day! The two SE US shows were at 99% at the end of the lottery period... and by not doubling up or wasting my choices on trying for GA tickets for the same selections, I won these as my 4th and 5th choices. I'm doing the 4 shows in 6 day run in SC/VA/NC as well. My ticket buddy AnotherTourPlease picked up our Greenville and Hampton Roads reserved tickets with her first and second choices!! Then we are wrapping up the tour in Canada with the Ottawa and Toronto shows... sure would be nice if the rumors of a second show are true!!! My ticket buddy for the Canada shows took Toronto first and Ottawa second to give us a better shot at scoring tickets...we both won Toronto and Ottawa tickets!! He got Lexington Reserved as his third pick too!! We all have pretty decent 10 Club #'s and have done tons of GA shows, so we went for the easier to acquire reserved seats. I may head over to New Orleans and do Jazz Fest after the Columbia show, haven't made up my mind yet!!
Post edited by derbydave on
'96: Seattle: Key Arena '98: Seattle: Memorial Stadium 1 & 2 '00: Columbus: Polaris '03: Columbus: Germain '10: Columbus: Nationwide Arena '11: East Troy: Alpine Valley - PJ20 1 & 2 + EV Detroit '12: Missoula + EV Jacksonville 1 & 2 '13: Chicago / Pittsburgh / Buffalo / Seattle '14: Cincinnati / St. Louis / Tulsa / Lincoln / Memphis / Detroit / Moline '15: New York City - Global Citizen Festival '16: Greenville / Hampton / Raleigh / Columbia / Lexington / Ottawa / Toronto 1 & 2 / Wrigley 1 & 2 '17: Brooklyn - Rock & Roll Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony '18: London 1 & 2 / Seattle 1 & 2 / Missoula / Wrigley 1 '22: Nashville / St. Louis
I would have had a snowballs chance in hell at anything past my 3rd selection, but I maybe, possibly could have landed a Philly-Res if I got super duper lucky...
'I know I was born and I know that I'll die, the in between is mine.'
I would have had a snowballs chance in hell at anything past my 3rd selection, but I maybe, possibly could have landed a Philly-Res if I got super duper lucky...
Yep..exactly what i post to your previous post..thats the reasonable way to go
"...Dimitri...He talks to me...'.."The Ghost of Greece..".
"..That's One Happy Fuckin Ghost.."
“..That came up on the Pillow Case...This is for the Greek, With Our Apologies.....”
1st Choice Lexington Reserved - Won 2nd Choice Lexington GA - Lost
8/23/2009- Chicago- United Center
5/6/2010- Columbus- Nationwide Arena
6/26/2011- Detroit- Fox Theater- EV Solo
9/22/2012- Atlanta- Piedmont Park
10/11/2013- Pittsburgh - Consol Energy Center
11/26/2013 - Oakland - Oracle Arena
10/1/2014 - Cincinnati - US Bank Arena
10/16/2014 - Detroit - Joe Lewis Arena
4/26/2016 - Lexington - Rupp Arena (Hometown Show)
8/20/2016 - Chicago - Wrigley Field
1. MSG 2 RES - won 2. Lex RES - won 3. Greenville RES - lost 4. Lex GA - lost 5. Greenville GA - lost 6. MSG 1 RES - lost 7. MSG 2 GA - lost 8. MSG 1 GA - lost 9. Phlly 1 RES - lost 10. Philly 2 RES - lost 11. Philly 1 GA - lost 12. Philly 2 GA - lost
Everything after pick number 3 was basically for fun. Chances I'd hit any of those were next to nothing, but hey...you never know lol. just wanted to see what would happen. Never been to NYC before, and was able to get Philly in 13, so I decided to go for MSG as my number 1. My ticket buddy put in for MSG 1 as his #1, but didn't win. But at least we'll be there one night. Lexington was the other one I really wanted, so put that as #2. Thought about putting the Lex GA as #2, but was afraid I'd get shut out on that one and then possibly lost Lex altogether if I dropped it to #3, But very happy with my picks
First Choice: Greenville Reserved- WON Second Choice: Lexington Reserved- WON Third Choice: Raleigh Reserved- WON Fourth Choice: Columbia Reserved- WON
Since Greenville was the show with the lowest odds out of my 4, and it was the one I wanted the most, I had to place it first to have the best chance of getting it. Similarly for Lexington, it's odds were better than Gville, but worse than Raleigh and Columbia, so it came second to have best chance in terms of priorities. Then Raleigh and Columbia could come last as my 3rd and 4th because they were at 99%, and as a 3rd or 4th pick, the odds were still very good. I appreciate many fans sharing their knowledge and experience of how the lottery works and how to have best odds. I studied up on it before I made my choices/priorities, and it worked. Plus, the odds of all my shows were either pretty good or excellent. However, placing Greenville for example, last at 50% odds or less at that point in my list would have been a mistake. I may have lost it then.
2008: Bonnaroo
2010: Bristow
2012: Atlanta
2013: Charlottesville, Charlotte
2014: Cincinnati
2016: Greenville, Hampton, Raleigh (cancelled), Columbia, Lexington
First Choice: Greenville Reserved- WON Second Choice: Lexington Reserved- WON Third Choice: Raleigh Reserved- WON Fourth Choice: Columbia Reserved- WON
Since Greenville was the show with the lowest odds out of my 4, and it was the one I wanted the most, I had to place it first to have the best chance of getting it. Similarly for Lexington, it's odds were better than Gville, but worse than Raleigh and Columbia, so it came second to have best chance in terms of priorities. Then Raleigh and Columbia could come last as my 3rd and 4th because they were at 99%, and as a 3rd or 4th pick, the odds were still very good. I appreciate many fans sharing their knowledge and experience of how the lottery works and how to have best odds. I studied up on it before I made my choices/priorities, and it worked. Plus, the odds of all my shows were either pretty good or excellent. However, placing Greenville for example, last at 50% odds or less at that point in my list would have been a mistake. I may have lost it then.
excellent,..there was no way not to score 3-4 with the odds and 1-2 was almost sure..cos the odds wasnt like raleighn but was high and not alot have them in high priority as u did.. if i saw this for exable before the draw i would i assumed u will get all 4 as u did
"...Dimitri...He talks to me...'.."The Ghost of Greece..".
"..That's One Happy Fuckin Ghost.."
“..That came up on the Pillow Case...This is for the Greek, With Our Apologies.....”
1st choice Hampton, VA- GA Standing WON 2nd choice Columbia, SC- GA Standing WON 3rd choice Lexington, KY- GA Standing LOST 4th choice Hampton, VA- Reserved Seating LOST 5th choice Columbia, SC- Reserved Seating LOST 6th choice Lexington, KY- Reserved Seating LOST
1st - Philly 1 Reserved - WON 2nd - Philly 2 Reserved - LOST
0
KP_McMinn
West Philadelphia born and raised Posts: 748
1st- Philly 1 WON res 2nd- MSG 1- LOST res
if i were to put a #3,4 5 pick down, say Philly 2 GA, MSG 1 GA etc, woudl that have hurt my chances for my 1st and 2nd pick? I dont think it would, but i didnt want to lower my chances for either of them
1. Greenville GA - WON 2. Greenville Reserved - LOST 3. Raleigh GA - LOST 4. Raleigh Reserved - WON
Was worried about somehow getting shut out of Greenville because of putting GA #1 (would have found a way to go regardless), and Raleigh GA was just taking a shot at #3 as I felt pretty confident with the 99% odds that I would get reserved at #4. And then my friend from Seattle texts me that she got Raleigh GA tickets, and wants to give me her other (like winning the lotto all over again)!!!! So I gifted my Raleigh Reserved to some friends in Raleigh who are putting me up for the night. Gonna be a fun trip!
1995 Soldier Field, Chicago
1998 Alpine Valley, WI
2000 Indianapolis, IN
2011 PJ20 Alpine Valley
2013 Wrigley Field
2013 Voodoo Fest New Orleans, LA
2014 Moline, IL (No Code)
2014 Milwaukee, WI (Yield)
2016 Greenville, SC (Vs)
2016 Columbia, SC
2016 Bonnaroo
2016 Wrigley I & II
First Choice: Greenville Reserved- WON Second Choice: Lexington Reserved- WON Third Choice: Raleigh Reserved- WON Fourth Choice: Columbia Reserved- WON
Since Greenville was the show with the lowest odds out of my 4, and it was the one I wanted the most, I had to place it first to have the best chance of getting it. Similarly for Lexington, it's odds were better than Gville, but worse than Raleigh and Columbia, so it came second to have best chance in terms of priorities. Then Raleigh and Columbia could come last as my 3rd and 4th because they were at 99%, and as a 3rd or 4th pick, the odds were still very good. I appreciate many fans sharing their knowledge and experience of how the lottery works and how to have best odds. I studied up on it before I made my choices/priorities, and it worked. Plus, the odds of all my shows were either pretty good or excellent. However, placing Greenville for example, last at 50% odds or less at that point in my list would have been a mistake. I may have lost it then.
excellent,..there was no way not to score 3-4 with the odds and 1-2 was almost sure..cos the odds wasnt like raleighn but was high and not alot have them in high priority as u did.. if i saw this for exable before the draw i would i assumed u will get all 4 as u did
Thanks, Dimi! Prior to the drawing, I read your advice for the best chances of winning, and your advice worked! I appreciate you sharing that.
2008: Bonnaroo
2010: Bristow
2012: Atlanta
2013: Charlottesville, Charlotte
2014: Cincinnati
2016: Greenville, Hampton, Raleigh (cancelled), Columbia, Lexington
1st choice New York, NY Night 2- Reserved LOST 2nd choice Ft Lauderdale, FL- GA LOST 3rd choice Miami, FL- GA LOST 4th choice Ft Lauderdale, FL- Reserved LOST 5th choice Miami, FL- Reserved LOST 6th choice New York, NYNight 1- Reserved LOST 7th choice Philadelphia, PA- Reserved LOST
my 6th and 7th picks were just for the F of it, I knew I had no shot at those.
1) Raleigh GA - Won 2) Hampton GA - Lost 3) Columbia GA - Lost 4) Hampton Reserved - Won 5) Raleigh Reserved - Lost 6) Columbia Reserved - Won
My Wife 1) Hampton GA Won 2) Philly Night 1 Ga Lost 3) Philly Night 2 GA Lost
My wife really wanted Hampton. Looking over everyones results if I would have placed Columbia second and gambled I probably would have won Ga for Columbia. No complaints. Luck of the draw.
1st choice Hampton, VA- GA Standing WON 2nd choice Columbia, SC- GA Standing WON 3rd choice Lexington, KY- GA Standing LOST 4th choice Hampton, VA- Reserved Seating LOST 5th choice Columbia, SC- Reserved Seating LOST 6th choice Lexington, KY- Reserved Seating LOST
My number is high 458xxx
I think if you would of put Lexington reserved third you may of gotten all three shows. Getting GA after your second choice for any show are pretty slim chances.
Comments
Me: MSG1 Reserved (Won)
Wife: MSG1 Reserved (Lost)
Miami - res - won
Ft Lauderdale GA - lost
Miami GA - lost
2006-East Rutherford
2008-West Palm Beach
2009- Philadelphia
2016- Fort Lauderdale and Miami
2 - Columbia GA won
3 - Tampa res won
4 - Greenville res lost
5 - Quebec res won
6 - Philly 2 res lost
7 - Lexington res lost
8 - Ottawa res lost
9 - Hampton res lost
10 - Raleigh res won
11-25 bunch of GA and NY/Philly/Toronto selections I knew I wouldn't win but put them in because it didn't matter.
LOST
2nd choice 04/28/2016 Philadelphia, PA- Reserved Seating $172.00
LOST
3rd choice 04/28/2016 Philadelphia, PA- GA Standing $172.00
LOST
4th choice 04/11/2016 Tampa, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
WON
5th choice 05/01/2016 New York, NY- Reserved Seating $188.00
LOST
6th choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- Reserved Seating $188.00
LOST
7th choice 05/01/2016 New York, NY- GA Standing $188.00
LOST
8th choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- GA Standing $188.00
LOST
2010: Newark 5/18 MSG 5/20-21 2011: PJ20 9/3-4 2012: Made In America 9/2
2013: Brooklyn 10/18-19 Philly 10/21-22 Hartford 10/25 2014: ACL10/12
2015: NYC 9/23 2016: Tampa 4/11 Philly 4/28-29 MSG 5/1-2 Fenway 8/5+8/7
2017: RRHoF 4/7 2018: Fenway 9/2+9/4 2021: Sea Hear Now 9/18
2022: MSG 9/11 2024: MSG 9/3-4 Philly 9/7+9/9 Fenway 9/15+9/17
LOOKING FOR A SINGLE TICKET TO MSG NIGHT 2
2. Ottawa reserved - won
3. Quebec reserved - won
2023: Seattle x2 (EV) 2024: Vancouver x2, Seattle x2 (ISO: 1 N1 Seattle GA)
Thanks buddy...
I kind of think of the lottery as a game of Blackjack.
It is a lot of luck, but there is a little skill involved in ordering your selections!!
The only show I was really worried about was Toronto,
so I made it my #1 pick and went for reserved instead of chancing the riskier GA ticket.
I went with Lexington next, because we have a crew of 6 people heading down for this show and the odds looked really good to still get this one as a #2 reserved pick.
We decided to do the Lexington show as a one-off...
because it's the closest thing to a "hometown" show for us,
and we can get there and back in the same day!
The two SE US shows were at 99% at the end of the lottery period...
and by not doubling up or wasting my choices on trying for GA tickets for the same selections,
I won these as my 4th and 5th choices.
I'm doing the 4 shows in 6 day run in SC/VA/NC as well.
My ticket buddy AnotherTourPlease picked up our Greenville and Hampton Roads reserved tickets with her first and second choices!!
Then we are wrapping up the tour in Canada with the Ottawa and Toronto shows...
sure would be nice if the rumors of a second show are true!!!
My ticket buddy for the Canada shows took Toronto first and Ottawa second to give us a better shot at scoring tickets...we both won Toronto and Ottawa tickets!!
He got Lexington Reserved as his third pick too!!
We all have pretty decent 10 Club #'s and have done tons of GA shows,
so we went for the easier to acquire reserved seats.
I may head over to New Orleans and do Jazz Fest after the Columbia show,
haven't made up my mind yet!!
'98: Seattle: Memorial Stadium 1 & 2
'00: Columbus: Polaris
'03: Columbus: Germain
'10: Columbus: Nationwide Arena
'11: East Troy: Alpine Valley - PJ20 1 & 2 + EV Detroit
'12: Missoula + EV Jacksonville 1 & 2
'13: Chicago / Pittsburgh / Buffalo / Seattle
'14: Cincinnati / St. Louis / Tulsa / Lincoln / Memphis / Detroit / Moline
'15: New York City - Global Citizen Festival
'16: Greenville / Hampton / Raleigh / Columbia / Lexington / Ottawa / Toronto 1 & 2 / Wrigley 1 & 2
'17: Brooklyn - Rock & Roll Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony
'18: London 1 & 2 / Seattle 1 & 2 / Missoula / Wrigley 1
'22: Nashville / St. Louis
http://www.livefootsteps.org/user/?usr=170
I won, but if I could redo it I would have went:
-MSG1-GA
-Philly2-Res
-Philly1-Res
-Philly2-GA
-Philly1-GA
-MSG1-Res
-MSG2-Res
-MSG2-GA.
I would have had a snowballs chance in hell at anything past my 3rd selection, but I maybe, possibly could have landed a Philly-Res if I got super duper lucky...
"..That's One Happy Fuckin Ghost.."
“..That came up on the Pillow Case...This is for the Greek, With Our Apologies.....”
2nd Choice Lexington GA - Lost
5/6/2010- Columbus- Nationwide Arena
6/26/2011- Detroit- Fox Theater- EV Solo
9/22/2012- Atlanta- Piedmont Park
10/11/2013- Pittsburgh - Consol Energy Center
11/26/2013 - Oakland - Oracle Arena
10/1/2014 - Cincinnati - US Bank Arena
10/16/2014 - Detroit - Joe Lewis Arena
4/26/2016 - Lexington - Rupp Arena (Hometown Show)
8/20/2016 - Chicago - Wrigley Field
2. Lex RES - won
3. Greenville RES - lost
4. Lex GA - lost
5. Greenville GA - lost
6. MSG 1 RES - lost
7. MSG 2 GA - lost
8. MSG 1 GA - lost
9. Phlly 1 RES - lost
10. Philly 2 RES - lost
11. Philly 1 GA - lost
12. Philly 2 GA - lost
Everything after pick number 3 was basically for fun. Chances I'd hit any of those were next to nothing, but hey...you never know lol. just wanted to see what would happen. Never been to NYC before, and was able to get Philly in 13, so I decided to go for MSG as my number 1. My ticket buddy put in for MSG 1 as his #1, but didn't win. But at least we'll be there one night. Lexington was the other one I really wanted, so put that as #2. Thought about putting the Lex GA as #2, but was afraid I'd get shut out on that one and then possibly lost Lex altogether if I dropped it to #3, But very happy with my picks
Toronto RES - won
Toronto GA - lost
Ottawa RES - lost
Ottawa GA - lost
I even sat on the My Tickets page and hit F5 for an hour just in case. Didn't help.
Second Choice: Lexington Reserved- WON
Third Choice: Raleigh Reserved- WON
Fourth Choice: Columbia Reserved- WON
Since Greenville was the show with the lowest odds out of my 4, and it was the one I wanted the most, I had to place it first to have the best chance of getting it. Similarly for Lexington, it's odds were better than Gville, but worse than Raleigh and Columbia, so it came second to have best chance in terms of priorities. Then Raleigh and Columbia could come last as my 3rd and 4th because they were at 99%, and as a 3rd or 4th pick, the odds were still very good. I appreciate many fans sharing their knowledge and experience of how the lottery works and how to have best odds. I studied up on it before I made my choices/priorities, and it worked. Plus, the odds of all my shows were either pretty good or excellent. However, placing Greenville for example, last at 50% odds or less at that point in my list would have been a mistake. I may have lost it then.
2010: Bristow
2012: Atlanta
2013: Charlottesville, Charlotte
2014: Cincinnati
2016: Greenville, Hampton, Raleigh (cancelled), Columbia, Lexington
For your bootleg review needs or recommendations- http://pjbootlegreviews.blogspot.com/
if i saw this for exable before the draw i would i assumed u will get all 4 as u did
"..That's One Happy Fuckin Ghost.."
“..That came up on the Pillow Case...This is for the Greek, With Our Apologies.....”
2nd choice Columbia, SC- GA Standing WON
3rd choice Lexington, KY- GA Standing LOST
4th choice Hampton, VA- Reserved Seating LOST
5th choice Columbia, SC- Reserved Seating LOST
6th choice Lexington, KY- Reserved Seating LOST
My number is high 458xxx
2nd - MSG 1 reserved - LOST
2nd choice 04/29/2016 Philadelphia, PA- Reserved Seating WON
3rd choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- Reserved Seating LOST
4th choice 04/28/2016 Philadelphia, PA- Reserved Seating LOST
2nd - Philly 2 Reserved - LOST
2nd- MSG 1- LOST res
if i were to put a #3,4 5 pick down, say Philly 2 GA, MSG 1 GA etc, woudl that have hurt my chances for my 1st and 2nd pick? I dont think it would, but i didnt want to lower my chances for either of them
Tor GA - Lost
2. Greenville Reserved - LOST
3. Raleigh GA - LOST
4. Raleigh Reserved - WON
Was worried about somehow getting shut out of Greenville because of putting GA #1 (would have found a way to go regardless), and Raleigh GA was just taking a shot at #3 as I felt pretty confident with the 99% odds that I would get reserved at #4. And then my friend from Seattle texts me that she got Raleigh GA tickets, and wants to give me her other (like winning the lotto all over again)!!!! So I gifted my Raleigh Reserved to some friends in Raleigh who are putting me up for the night. Gonna be a fun trip!
1998 Alpine Valley, WI
2000 Indianapolis, IN
2011 PJ20 Alpine Valley
2013 Wrigley Field
2013 Voodoo Fest New Orleans, LA
2014 Moline, IL (No Code)
2014 Milwaukee, WI (Yield)
2016 Greenville, SC (Vs)
2016 Columbia, SC
2016 Bonnaroo
2016 Wrigley I & II
2010: Bristow
2012: Atlanta
2013: Charlottesville, Charlotte
2014: Cincinnati
2016: Greenville, Hampton, Raleigh (cancelled), Columbia, Lexington
For your bootleg review needs or recommendations- http://pjbootlegreviews.blogspot.com/
2nd choice Ft Lauderdale, FL- GA LOST
3rd choice Miami, FL- GA LOST
4th choice Ft Lauderdale, FL- Reserved LOST
5th choice Miami, FL- Reserved LOST
6th choice New York, NYNight 1- Reserved LOST
7th choice Philadelphia, PA- Reserved LOST
my 6th and 7th picks were just for the F of it, I knew I had no shot at those.
2) Hampton GA - Lost
3) Columbia GA - Lost
4) Hampton Reserved - Won
5) Raleigh Reserved - Lost
6) Columbia Reserved - Won
My Wife
1) Hampton GA Won
2) Philly Night 1 Ga Lost
3) Philly Night 2 GA Lost
My wife really wanted Hampton. Looking over everyones results if I would have placed Columbia second and gambled I probably would have won Ga for Columbia. No complaints. Luck of the draw.
Columbus-2003
Cincinnati-2006
Columbus-2010
Wrigley-2013
Cincinnati-2014
Lexington-2016
Wrigley 1 & 2-2018
2. Raleigh Res - Won
10 Columbus, Noblesville
11 Toronto-1
13 Pittsburgh, Baltimore
14 Cincinnati
16 Lexington, Wrigley 1
17 EV-Louisville
18 Rome, Missoula, Wrigley 1, Boston 1
22 Nasville, STL
23 Ft Worth 1/2
2. Philly 2 Res - Lost
3. Philly 1 GA - Lost
4. Philly 2 GA - Lost
Fuckus rules all
Rob
Seattle
MSG 2 GA - Lost
MSG 1 Res - Lost
MSG 2 Res - Lost
First 10c experience. Didn't realize until after how lucky I actually was.
2016: MSG I, MSG II, Fenway I, Fenway II
2018: Fenway I, Fenway II
2. Ft. Liquordale reserved - won