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"Odds Feature"

Father HubbardFather Hubbard Chicago Posts: 1,551
in The Porch
At least they added this. So, Chicagoans, Moline on a Friday or Milwaukee on a Monday?:

New Odds Feature on the drawing page:
- This tool has been created to help members know which shows are in highest demand. Drawing odds do not guarantee tickets will be won or lost if entered for.

- Odds will change throughout the drawing entry period as members continue to enter the drawing. The odds will update every 5 minutes and will continue to update until the drawing entry period ends at 10am Pacific on Wednesday, May 28th.

- Each ticket option odds are calculated based on the number of entrants versus the number of tickets available.

- This is a random drawing. Since there is no preferential treatment given to anyone, all members will see the same odds visible, and every eligible Member has the same chance to be drawn.
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Comments

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    MayDay10MayDay10 Posts: 11,611
    i wonder if it weighs preference.

    If 999 people have Moline, and 1 person have Milwaukee as their 1st choice... and then reverse for 2nd choice, will odds read the same? While in reality the dedicated Milwaukeean is a lock?
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    NashvillePJfanNashvillePJfan Posts: 594
    This is going to wreak havoc my emotions. Each time odds drop for shows I want, a little more fear, sadness and then panic seep into my being.
    I gather speed . . . Great Western Forum - Jul 13, 1998; Great Western Forum - Jul 14, 1998; Verizon Wireless Amphitheatre Irvine - Jun 02, 2003; Verizon Wireless Amphitheatre Irvine - Jun 03, 2003; Tweeter Center - Jul 11, 2003; Santa Barbara County Bowl - Oct 28, 2003; Gorge Amphitheatre - Sep 01, 2005; Pepsi Arena - May 12, 2006 Summerfest - Jun 29, 2006; The Forum - Jul 09, 2006; Aloha Stadium - Dec 09, 2006; Bonnaroo - Jun 14, 2008; Tweeter Center - Jun 28, 2008; Tweeter Center - Jun 30, 2008; United Center - Aug 23, 2009
    United Center - Aug 24, 2009; Verizon Wireless Amphitheatre Indiana -May 07, 2010; Madison Square Garden - May 20, 2010; Madison Square Garden - May 21, 2010
    EV Solo 2008: LA1, Boston 1, DC1
    EV Colo 2009: Nashville 1&2
    Dead Man Walking: The Concert: March 29, 1998
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    gforce33gforce33 Posts: 24
    Just remember that no matter what the odds say, someone has to win. It could be you!
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    Ledbetterman10Ledbetterman10 Posts: 16,726
    I think you all have a 100% chance of scoring tix to this midwest tour.
    2000: Camden 1, 2003: Philly, State College, Camden 1, MSG 2, Hershey, 2004: Reading, 2005: Philly, 2006: Camden 1, 2, East Rutherford 1, 2007: Lollapalooza, 2008: Camden 1, Washington D.C., MSG 1, 2, 2009: Philly 1, 2, 3, 4, 2010: Bristol, MSG 2, 2011: PJ20 1, 2, 2012: Made In America, 2013: Brooklyn 2, Philly 2, 2014: Denver, 2015: Global Citizen Festival, 2016: Philly 2, Fenway 1, 2018: Fenway 1, 2, 2021: Sea. Hear. Now. 2022: Camden

    Pearl Jam bootlegs:
    http://wegotshit.blogspot.com
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    jason_94jason_94 Toledo, OH Posts: 1,872
    Just when we thought that it couldn't get anymore stressful ! ;)
    3/22/94 Cleveland, OH
    9/21/96 Toronto, ON
    8/26/98 Cleveland, OH
    5/09/10 Cleveland, OH
    9/03/11 East Troy, WI PJ20
    9/04/11 East Troy, WI PJ20
    7/19/13 Chicago, IL Wrigley Field
    10/11/13 Pittsburgh, PA
    10/12/13 Buffalo, NY
    12/06/13 Seattle, WA
    10/16/14 Detroit, MI
    10/17/14 Moline, IL
    8/20/16 Chicago, IL Wrigley Field
    8/22/16 Chicago, IL Wrigley Field
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    borisdiscoborisdisco Posts: 112
    And may the odds be ever in your favor.
    the whole world will be different soon
    the whole world will be relieved
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    PoncierPoncier Posts: 16,222
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xhWUwOuyMFs
    This weekend we rock Portland
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    RKCNDYRKCNDY Seattle, WA Posts: 31,013
    i see people waiting until the last minute so they can get a better idea of the 'actual odds'
    The joy of life comes from our encounters with new experiences, and hence there is no greater joy than to have an endlessly changing horizon, for each day to have a new and different sun.

    - Christopher McCandless
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    MayDay10MayDay10 Posts: 11,611
    hell no, Im getting in now while its at 99%


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    Dead Man WalkingDead Man Walking Toronto-ish Posts: 2,761
    RKCNDY said:

    i see people waiting until the last minute so they can get a better idea of the 'actual odds'

    But if everyone waits, those odds wont be actual either. I say put your stuff in now, get current odds, then you can always change your order. Don't see how there's any benefit to waiting till the end if a large portion of the fan base is doing that.

  • Options
    CaptainBCaptainB Posts: 57
    i wonder if the odds take into consideration the ranking..... in other words if 10,000 people put milwaukee as a choice (and there's 5,000 tickets for example), your odds would read as 50%.... but in reality of those 10,000 people, 8,000 of them have it as a #3 ranking or higher..... so if you put it as your #1 or #2, your odds are higher, actually 100%.

    i'd actually like to see the odds listed if you've selected it as #1, that would give the people who are hitting fewer shows (or even one local show) a more realistic idea of their odds of winning. 'cause lets face it, if youre planning on hitting 5 shows or more, you're probably going to be going to those shows regardless of whether or not you get fanclub tickets.
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    PoncierPoncier Posts: 16,222
    And Detroit GA becomes our first contestant to drop below 99%, currently at 85%.
    This weekend we rock Portland
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    PJ_SoulPJ_Soul Vancouver, BC Posts: 49,533
    Cool feature.
    With all its sham, drudgery, and broken dreams, it is still a beautiful world. Be careful. Strive to be happy. ~ Desiderata
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    gettingrightgettingright Posts: 550
    Poncier said:

    And Detroit GA becomes our first contestant to drop below 99%, currently at 85%.

    down to 79%

    "...what a different life had i not found this love with you..."
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    Father HubbardFather Hubbard Chicago Posts: 1,551
    gettingright said:

    Poncier said:

    And Detroit GA becomes our first contestant to drop below 99%, currently at 85%.


    down to 79%

    Must be the "East Coast" destination
  • Options
    gettingrightgettingright Posts: 550
    if it drops below 99%, would that mean all 2nd preferences go down to 0%?
    "...what a different life had i not found this love with you..."
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    CaptainBCaptainB Posts: 57
    the other thing is that if you've entered both for reserved and GA, i would presume your numbers are included for both and only 1 entry could win. which would marginally improve the odds but still would impact them.
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    yellowwhoyellowwho Posts: 1,661
    jason_94 said:

    Just when we thought that it couldn't get anymore stressful ! ;)

    That's what I was thinking ! Ha !
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    63schoefflin63schoefflin Posts: 2,581
    Ledbetterman10 said:

    I think you all have a 100% chance of scoring tix to this midwest tour.

    '08- Camden 1-2   '09- Chicago 2; Spectrum 1-4
    '10- MSG 1-2   '11- PJ20
    '12- MIA; DeLuna '13- Wrigley; Pitt; Brooklyn 1-2; Philly 1-2; Baltimore; Seattle
    '14- Denver   '16- Philly 1-2; MSG 2
    '17- Pilgrimage Music Fest (Eddie)
    '18- Fenway
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    PoncierPoncier Posts: 16,222
    I think Santos installed the odds feature just cause he knew it would F with members' heads more than the lottery already does.
    There's probably a group of folks at 10 club HQ sitting watching the board and saying, "OK lets drop the odds for Denver to 37% and see the panic, now raise them back to 66%," then drop them to 29%...etc. etc.
    This weekend we rock Portland
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    MayDay10MayDay10 Posts: 11,611
    image
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    PJ_SoulPJ_Soul Vancouver, BC Posts: 49,533
    Father Hubbard said:

    gettingright said:

    Poncier said:

    And Detroit GA becomes our first contestant to drop below 99%, currently at 85%.


    down to 79%

    Must be the "East Coast" destination
    I think it's actually the Canadian destination. Closest show to Toronto.
    With all its sham, drudgery, and broken dreams, it is still a beautiful world. Be careful. Strive to be happy. ~ Desiderata
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    PJ_SoulPJ_Soul Vancouver, BC Posts: 49,533
    MayDay10 said:

    image

    :))
    With all its sham, drudgery, and broken dreams, it is still a beautiful world. Be careful. Strive to be happy. ~ Desiderata
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    BIGDaddyWilBIGDaddyWil Michigan Posts: 3,032
    gettingright said:

    Poncier said:

    And Detroit GA becomes our first contestant to drop below 99%, currently at 85%.

    down to 79%

    down to 66%
    Pine Knob Music Theatre - Jul 31, 1992 Crisler Arena - Mar 20, 1994
    Summerfest - Jul 09, 1995*Savage Hall - Sep 22, 1996The Palace of Auburn Hills-Aug 23, 1998 Breslin Center- Aug 18, 1998,The Palace of Auburn Hills-Oct 07, 2000 DTE Energy Theatre-Jun5,2003,DTE Energy Music Theatre - Jun 26, 2003Sports Arena - Oct 02, 2004 Van Andel Arena - May 19, 2006Palace of Auburn Hills-May 22, 2006 Quicken Loans Arena-May 09, 2010
    10-16-2014 Detroit
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    RKCNDYRKCNDY Seattle, WA Posts: 31,013
    Poncier said:

    I think Santos installed the odds feature just cause he knew it would F with members' heads more than the lottery already does.
    There's probably a group of folks at 10 club HQ sitting watching the board and saying, "OK lets drop the odds for Denver to 37% and see the panic, now raise them back to 66%," then drop them to 29%...etc. etc.

    this is what they are thinking about people entering:
    image
    The joy of life comes from our encounters with new experiences, and hence there is no greater joy than to have an endlessly changing horizon, for each day to have a new and different sun.

    - Christopher McCandless
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    ikiTikiT USA Posts: 11,007
    Everything's 99% except Detroit GA. So stupid.
    Bristow 05132010 to Amsterdam 2 06132018
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    Father HubbardFather Hubbard Chicago Posts: 1,551
    I wonder if that is the only one that is working right now. Or if the pit is tiny, like twelve feet deep.
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    iamloco724iamloco724 Brooklyn NY Posts: 1,441
    the tiki bomb said:

    Everything's 99% except Detroit GA. So stupid.

    yeah not sure how this even makes sense has to be wrong others should be going down too no?
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    RKCNDYRKCNDY Seattle, WA Posts: 31,013
    iamloco724 said:

    the tiki bomb said:

    Everything's 99% except Detroit GA. So stupid.

    yeah not sure how this even makes sense has to be wrong others should be going down too no?
    I think people are all putting in for Detroit right now...don't forget about the Canadians that are putting in for Detroit too.
    The joy of life comes from our encounters with new experiences, and hence there is no greater joy than to have an endlessly changing horizon, for each day to have a new and different sun.

    - Christopher McCandless
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    drsluggodrsluggo Posts: 4,742
    The other ones cant be working yet - some would be at least at 98 or something?
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